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Trainer profile

Kevin M Prendergast

223 runners in the lifetime window · 44 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2012
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
16–223
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=223
43 (19%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=223 · 0.87 incl. margin
+12.75
£1 level stake
n=223 at SP · +5.7%
£70,778
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (131 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 223 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.2%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.72). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +79.75 to a £1 stake over 131 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also read well over 6f – 7f (14.3%, n=63). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 35 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.9%−3.3
n=51 · A/E 0.72 · £1 +41.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−1.9
n=38 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −26.75
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+7.1
n=7 · A/E 2.50 · £1 +2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.6%−1.6
n=18 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −3.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.2%+2.0
n=131 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +79.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 14.3% vs 7.2% · n=63
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 7.2% · n=35
With Andrew Heffernan 13.3% vs 7.2% · n=30
On Good to Firm going 2.2% vs 7.2% · n=46
In Chase races 2.6% vs 7.2% · n=38
Over 1m – 1m1f 2.9% vs 7.2% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 123 11 8.9% −2.25
Hurdle 58 4 6.9% +49.00
Chase 38 1 2.6% −30.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 66 5 7.6% +34.00
Standard (AW) 48 5 10.4% −5.25
Good to Firm 46 1 2.2% −38.00
Good to Soft 29 1 3.4% −18.00
Soft 28 3 10.7% +38.00
Heavy 5 1 20% +3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 27 3 11.1% +0.25
Catterick 14 0 0% −14.00
Chepstow 14 0 0% −14.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 14 1 7.1% −5.00
Thirsk 11 2 18.2% +37.00
Sedgefield 11 0 0% −11.00
Ludlow 10 0 0% −10.00
Newcastle 9 0 0% −9.00
Newton Abbot 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Wetherby 9 0 0% −9.00
Hereford 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Kempton (AW) 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Worcester 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 6 1 16.7% +75.00
Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 72 7 9.7% +19.25
Class 5 65 4 6.2% −36.50
Class 4 64 4 6.3% +45.50
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 7 3 1 33.3% +3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 4 28.6% 1.42 +2.25
2nd–3rd fav 35 3 8.6% 0.65 −15.50
4th–6th fav 61 5 8.2% 1.07 −17.00
7th+ in betting 113 4 3.5% 1.12 +43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lindoro (GB)from Michael Quinlan · then Brian Ellison 21 2 5 3 Apr 12
Norborne Bandit (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 20 1 7 5 May 11
It's A Mans World (GB)from Simon Dow · then Brian Ellison 19 2 6 19 Jun 12
Convince (USA)from Milton Bradley 18 3 9 4 Jun 11
Out Of Nothing (GB)from F J Bowles · then Dai Burchell 14 2 3 24 Jun 11
Rubi Dia (GB)from Mark Johnston · then Sean Curran 11 1 4 6 Mar 12
Oddshoes (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness · then Philip Hobbs 8 2 4 9 May 09
Hector Spectre (IRE)from Brian Meehan · then David Evans 7 1 1 30 Sep 09
Munching Mike (IRE)from C F Swan · then Tim Vaughan 7 1 2 22 Jul 09
Fair Caterina (GB) 7 0 0 27 May 08
Chargen (IRE)from Thomas Mullins · then Sean Curran 6 0 0 7 Mar 12
Dream Dream Dream (IRE)from C F Swan 6 0 1 13 Aug 11
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian McGuinness (2) and C F Swan (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Brian Ellison (2) and Dai Burchell (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6615137081708720
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Heffernan
13% of all rides
13.3% SR · A/E 1.47
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Heffernan 30 4 13.3% +5.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
22
Archived wins
£101k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 8 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Roussea (IRE) — Vera Davies Memorial Novices' Handicap Chase Ludlow · Dec 2007 · Class 4
£6,263
The Cayterers (GB) — Burton Overy Novices' Hurdle Leicester · Nov 2007 · Class 4
£4,554
Norborne Bandit (IRE) — Totesport.com Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Aug 2009 · Class 4
£4,554
Notable horses
Convince (USA) Ouh Jay (GB) Lindoro (GB) It's A Mans World (GB) Out Of Nothing (GB) Oddshoes (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mt Livermore (USA) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 9% of 156 runs since 2008 (9 horses).
Marju (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2008 (286 horses).
Croco Rouge (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 9% of 723 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.8% from 120.
Kyllachy (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Perryston View (GB) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 8.9% of 112 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Mujadil (USA) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,379 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.7% from 111.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 267 · newest first

The latest 50 of 267 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2006 to 19 June 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Jun 12 Thirsk It's A Mans World (GB)J: Paul Pickard 'Like' Thirsk Racecourse Official Facebook Page Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1
08 Jun 12 Catterick It's A Mans World (GB)J: Paul Pickard We Race Again On July 4th HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 18/1
08 Jun 12 Catterick Indastar (GB)J: Paul Pickard British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 22/1
21 May 12 Redcar Indastar (GB)J: Martin Lane Follow RedcarRacing On Facebook And Twitter Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 6th 14/1
18 May 12 Newcastle It's A Mans World (GB)J: Paul Pickard Escott Signs Handicap (Str)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 13/2
12 May 12 Thirsk Highway Warrior (GB)J: Paul Pickard Abf The Soldiers' Charity Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 33/1
12 May 12 Thirsk It's A Mans World (GB)J: Paul Pickard Rachel Roberts Wins With The Yorkshire Post HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 40/1
03 Apr 12 Southwell (AW) It's A Mans World (GB)J: Robert Winston Follow Southwell On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 25/1
03 Apr 12 Southwell (AW) Lindoro (GB)J: Barry McHugh Call 01636 814481 To Sponsor A Race HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 10/1
27 Mar 12 Southwell (AW) Highway Warrior (GB)J: Martin Lane Free Online Bingo At Freebetting.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 66/1
07 Mar 12 Catterick Chargen (IRE)J: Brian Toomey Jp Morgan Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 33/1
06 Mar 12 Southwell (AW) Lindoro (GB)J: Justin Newman Southwell Racecourse For Conferences HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 9/2
06 Mar 12 Southwell (AW) Rubi Dia (GB)J: Justin Newman Southwell-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 11/4
22 Feb 12 Ludlow Chargen (IRE)J: William Kennedy Attwood Memorial Trophy Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 50/1
26 Jan 12 Newcastle Chargen (IRE)J: Tom Messenger S.v. Rutter Ltd Best Wishes For 2012 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran PU 25/1
18 Jan 12 Southwell Sugarloaf Sarah (GB)J: Barry Keniry Southwell Mares' Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 50/1
12 Jan 12 Southwell (AW) Lindoro (GB)J: Barry McHugh Play Roulette At Bluesq.com/casino HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 14/1
12 Jan 12 Southwell (AW) Rubi Dia (GB)J: Barry McHugh Follow Us On Twitter At bluesq HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 16/1
27 Dec 11 Southwell (AW) Rubi Dia (GB)J: Barry McHugh Bet Totepool Text Tote To 89660 HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 7/1
21 Dec 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Lindoro (GB)J: Barry McHugh wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin M Prendergast's strike rate?
Kevin M Prendergast has won 16 of 223 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Kevin M Prendergast's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 223 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).