Matt Griffiths
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (133 rides). Rides mostly for Jeremy Scott — 47% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.3% (n=133, Fair A/E 1.16), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.48). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −159.20 to a £1 stake over 291 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jeremy Scott supplies 47% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.1% vs 10.7%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 3.1% over 64 rides, 7.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfair Ascot Chase at Ascot (Feb 2021, £59,620). The standout partner of the record: Unison (IRE) — 8 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,306 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,306 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 December 2008 to 18 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Matt Griffiths's strike rate?
- Matt Griffiths has won 140 of 1,306 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Matt Griffiths do best at?
- Uttoxeter by strike rate: 12 wins from 78 rides (15.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Matt Griffiths ride most for?
- Jeremy Scott, with 613 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (13.1%).
- What is Matt Griffiths's Fair A/E?
- 1.12, from 1,304 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.