Skip to content
Jockey profile

Milly Naseb

274 rides in the lifetime window · 134 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2018 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
23–274
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=274
73 (27%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=274 · 0.80 incl. margin
−95.07
£1 level stake
n=274 at SP · −34.7%
£176k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (30 rides). Rode mostly for Stuart Williams — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 274 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Stuart Williams: 9.4% from 117 LTO winners: 20% Claiming: 8.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford (AW) (14.3%, n=49), clear of the rider's 8.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.14). Stuart Williams supplied 43% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 0.87). The rider also read well at trips under 6f (12.2%, n=41). The record read poorly on Good going — 2.6% over 38 rides, 5.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.7%−1.7
n=134 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −34.59
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+11.6
n=30 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −5.31
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.3%−0.1
n=36 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +6.83
When favourite
37.5%
n=8 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +0.27
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.8%+0.4
n=251 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −75.82
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.3%−4.1
n=23 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20% vs 8.4% · n=30
At Chelmsford (AW) 14.3% vs 8.4% · n=49
On Good going 2.6% vs 8.4% · n=38
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 4.5% vs 8.4% · n=44
At trips under 6f 12.2% vs 8.4% · n=41
In Class 5 10.8% vs 8.4% · n=83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 139 13 9.4% −33.42
Good to Firm 62 6 9.7% −29.98
Good 38 1 2.6% −32.00
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −14.67
Soft 13 2 15.4% +18.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford (AW) 49 7 14.3% −14.00
Lingfield (AW) 28 2 7.1% −19.92
Yarmouth 28 3 10.7% −8.25
Kempton (AW) 25 3 12% +24.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Newmarket 18 0 0% −18.00
Brighton 15 1 6.7% −13.56
Nottingham 13 0 0% −13.00
Southwell (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield 10 2 20% +15.33
Newmarket 8 1 12.5% −3.67
Newcastle (AW) 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Windsor 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00
Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 113 9 8% −24.40
Class 5 83 9 10.8% −35.67
Class 4 42 4 9.5% −12.00
Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 3 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 7 3 1 33.3% +10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 3 25% 0.93 −3.73
2nd–3rd fav 59 12 20.3% 1.20 +0.16
4th–6th fav 86 5 5.8% 0.68 −42.50
7th+ in betting 117 3 2.6% 0.69 −49.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lunar Deity (GB) 17 3 8 26 Aug 18
Human Nature (IRE) 15 2 6 30 Jul 18
Welease Bwian (IRE) 15 3 6 1 Dec 16
Doctor Parkes (GB) 14 1 4 10 Jul 17
Our Cilla (GB) 6 2 3 27 Aug 18
Spirit Of Sarwan (IRE) 6 0 2 3 Aug 18
Excellent George (GB) 5 1 1 20 Sep 18
Pitch High (IRE) 5 1 1 16 Aug 18
Forward Thinker (GB) 4 2 3 21 Sep 18
Sir Fred (IRE) 4 0 2 17 Sep 18
In The Red (IRE) 4 1 2 2 Sep 18
Dark Side Dream (GB) 4 0 4 22 Aug 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 134 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1461164959452219
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardStuart Williams
43% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.87
TrainerRWSR£1
Stuart Williams 117 11 9.4% −61.98
Julia Feilden 41 3 7.3% −2.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
23
Archived wins
£176k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 11 wins
Excellent George (GB) — totetrifecta Pick The 1,2,3 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Mar 2018 · Class 4
£7,310
In The Red (IRE) — Layla's 40th Birthday Apprentice Handicap Goodwood · Jun 2017 · Class 4
£6,469
Human Nature (IRE) — Bet Totetrifecta At Betfred.com Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2017 · Class 4
£6,469
Notable horses
Lunar Deity (GB) Welease Bwian (IRE) Human Nature (IRE) Our Cilla (GB) Forward Thinker (GB) India's Song (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kheleyf (USA) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Medicean (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Diktat (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Dream Ahead (USA) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,710 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,530 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 327.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 274 · newest first

The latest 50 of 274 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2014 to 22 September 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Sep 18 Wolverhampton (AW) Lethal Angel (GB)T: Stuart Williams sportnation.bet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 4/1
22 Sep 18 Newmarket Conkering Hero (IRE)T: Joseph Tuite Pantile Stud Cesarewitch Trial HandicapClass 2 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 10th 33/1
22 Sep 18 Newmarket Compas Scoobie (GB)T: Stuart Williams cjmurfitt.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 5th 25/1
21 Sep 18 Newcastle (AW) Forward Thinker (GB)T: David Simcock Flame Bathrooms Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 7/2
21 Sep 18 Newcastle (AW) Stirling Value (GB)T: David Simcock Conex Banniger Race For Excellence HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 14/1
20 Sep 18 Yarmouth Excellent George (GB)T: Stuart Williams Infobond Personnel Services 25th Anniversary HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 20/1
18 Sep 18 Kempton (AW) Highway Robbery (GB)T: Julia Feilden Bet At racinguk.com NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 9th 40/1
17 Sep 18 Brighton Sir Fred (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Brighton Business Expo 2018 October 11 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 5/1
02 Sep 18 Brighton In The Red (IRE)T: Martin Smith Joan Angela Harvey 80th Birthday Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 8/1
27 Aug 18 Southwell (AW) Our Cilla (GB)T: Julia Feilden Visit toals.com The Bookmaker HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1
26 Aug 18 Yarmouth Lunar Deity (GB)T: Stuart Williams BMW/Mini Cooper Norwich Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 7th 7/2
25 Aug 18 Windsor Forward Thinker (GB)T: David Simcock Octopus Electric Vehicle Professional Horsepower Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/1
25 Aug 18 Newmarket Late Change (GB)T: David Simcock Price Bailey Action Medical Research HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 14/1
24 Aug 18 Goodwood Hart Stopper (GB)T: Stuart Williams Chelsea Barracks HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 10th 20/1
21 Aug 18 Yarmouth Lunar Deity (GB)T: Stuart Williams Eastern Festival At Yarmouth Racecourse HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 2/1F
17 Aug 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Pactolus (IRE)T: Stuart Williams Bet Totequadpot At Totesport.com HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 10/1
16 Aug 18 Yarmouth Pitch High (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Seadell Chalets At Hemsby HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 12/1
16 Aug 18 Yarmouth Sir Fred (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Grosvenor Casino Of Great Yarmouth HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/2
16 Aug 18 Yarmouth Jan's Joy (GB)T: Stuart Williams Haven Seashore Holiday Park HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 11/2
11 Aug 18 Redcar Horsted Keynes (FR)T: David Simcock Racing UK Handicap (Racing UK Straight Mile Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Milly Naseb's strike rate?
Milly Naseb has won 23 of 274 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Milly Naseb do best at?
Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Milly Naseb ride most for?
Stuart Williams, with 117 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.4%).
What is Milly Naseb's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 274 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).