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Trainer profile

Martin Smith

106 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2023 90% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–106
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=106
24 (23%)
Placed
0.30
Fair A/E
n=105 · 0.25 incl. margin
−80.92
£1 level stake
n=106 at SP · −76.3%
£52,796
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.30).

Deterministic profile computed from 106 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (6.3%, n=32). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.32 across 95 runners (3.2% strike, −69.92 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: In The Red (IRE) — 7 wins from 56 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.7%+4.9
n=13 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.8
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 6.3% vs 2.8% · n=32
On Standard (AW) going 5.4% vs 2.8% · n=56
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.8% · n=40
In Class 6 4.2% vs 2.8% · n=72 · A/E 0.36
In Flat races 3.2% vs 2.8% · n=95 · A/E 0.32
With a new jockey booking 2.7% vs 2.8% · n=75 · A/E 0.30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 95 3 3.2% −69.92
Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 56 3 5.4% −30.92
Good 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 13 2 15.4% +8.33
Southwell (AW) 12 1 8.3% −8.25
Huntingdon 6 0 0% −6.00
Yarmouth 6 0 0% −6.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Catterick 5 0 0% −5.00
Kempton (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Goodwood 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Windsor 3 0 0% −3.00
Newcastle (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Fakenham 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 72 3 4.2% −46.92
Class 5 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 1 7.7% 0.28 −9.25
2nd–3rd fav 18 1 5.6% 0.35 −13.67
4th–6th fav 33 0 0% 0.00 −33.00
7th+ in betting 42 1 2.4% 1.00 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shabs (GB)then Joseph Parr 17 0 8 3 May 23
All About Alice (IRE)then Dylan Cunha 17 2 5 5 Apr 23
Morani Kali (GB) 15 0 3 16 Mar 23
Guitar (GB)from Richard Hannon 14 1 3 25 Feb 23
Show Me Now (GB) 8 0 0 27 May 22
Ace Rothstein (USA)from Michael Bell · then Dylan Cunha 7 0 1 6 May 23
Aleatoric (IRE) 6 0 3 3 May 22
Riffa Fort (GB)then Clare Ellam 5 0 0 12 Apr 23
Thecolourofmagic (GB) 4 0 0 7 Jun 22
Girl From Ipanema (IRE)from Robert Stephens 3 0 0 4 Nov 22
Happy Craf (ARG) 3 0 0 27 Jul 22
Fullofbrightideas (GB)then Clare Ellam 2 0 0 1 May 23
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Clare Ellam (3) and Dylan Cunha (2); 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
70000002500025
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Joey Haynes 10 1 10% +7.00
Hector Crouch 9 0 0% −9.00
Luke Morris 7 1 14.3% −2.67
Eoin Walsh 7 0 0% −7.00
Jimmy Quinn 6 0 0% −6.00
Paul Mulrennan 6 0 0% −6.00
Jacob Clark 6 0 0% −6.00
Richard Kingscote 6 1 16.7% −2.25
Tabitha Worsley 5 0 0% −5.00
Cieren Fallon 3 0 0% −3.00
David Egan 3 0 0% −3.00
Tom Marquand 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
61
Archived wins
£435k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 9 wins
Ossie's Dancer (GB) — Speedcut Contractors Racing Excellence Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Final Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · May 2015 · Class 3
£9,747
The Emperor Within (FR) — Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet Handicap Sandown · Aug 2018 · Class 3
£9,338
Hillbilly Boy (IRE) — Lloyds Bank Cardnet Handicap Newmarket · May 2014 · Class 3
£9,057
Notable horses
In The Red (IRE) Affluence (IRE) Bridge Of Sighs (GB) Aleatoric (IRE) Friends Don't Ask (GB) Ossie's Dancer (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mayson (GB) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,354 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,724. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.9% from 105.
Aclaim (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Excelebration (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2008 (244 horses).
Charming Thought (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,000 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 178.
More Than Ready (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.5% of 1,719 runs since 2008 (180 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.4% from 135. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.5% from 122.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,486 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 780 · newest first

The latest 50 of 780 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 July 2013 to 6 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 May 23 Newmarket Ace Rothstein (USA)J: Jimmy Quinn Howden HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1
03 May 23 Pontefract Shabs (GB)J: David Egan Trustees Of The National Horseracing College Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1
01 May 23 Beverley Fullofbrightideas (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 80/1
18 Apr 23 Newmarket Fullofbrightideas (GB)J: Adam Farragher Pat Smullen Memorial British Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 125/1
12 Apr 23 Nottingham Riffa Fort (GB)J: David Egan Watch On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1
05 Apr 23 Kempton (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 2nd 11/4
29 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Shabs (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 3/1
27 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Richard Kingscote Betuk's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Classified StakesClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 3/1
16 Mar 23 Southwell (AW) Morani Kali (GB)J: Jacob Clark Betuk's Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 11/2
05 Mar 23 Huntingdon Ace Rothstein (USA)J: Tabitha Worsley Join Racing TV Now Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 16/1
01 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 12/1
01 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Shabs (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 13/8F
28 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Morani Kali (GB)J: Hector Crouch Top Odds Every Day With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/1
25 Feb 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Guitar (GB)J: Hector Crouch Chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1
17 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Shabs (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Spreadex Sports In-Play Racing Betting Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1
17 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Guitar (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Spreadex Sports In-Play Racing Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 12/1
16 Feb 23 Chelmsford City (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Ladies Day HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 11/1
11 Feb 23 Newbury Ace Rothstein (USA)J: Nick Scholfield Daily Tips On betting.betfair.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 80/1
03 Feb 23 Lingfield (AW) Riffa Fort (GB)J: Robert Havlin BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 18/1
28 Jan 23 Lingfield (AW) Guitar (GB)J: Luke Morris Top Odds Every Day With Betuk Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Martin Smith's strike rate?
Martin Smith has won 3 of 106 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Martin Smith's Fair A/E?
0.30, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).