Skip to content
Jockey profile

Miss Ally Stirling

166 rides in the lifetime window · 92 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2018 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
19–166
Wins / Runs
11.4%
Strike rate
n=166
48 (29%)
Placed
1.17
Fair A/E
n=166 · 1.01 incl. margin
−30.88
£1 level stake
n=166 at SP · −18.6%
£80,466
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 166 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fergal O'Brien: 11.5% from 61 First rides: 12%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.88). Fergal O'Brien supplied 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.5%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 3.3% over 30 rides, 8.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12%+0.6
n=92 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −13.88
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.6%+2.2
n=22 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%−4.3
n=42 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −25.50
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −1.63
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.6%−0.8
n=151 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −39.88
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.7%−5.7
n=35 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −12.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 3.3% vs 11.4% · n=30
In Class 4 7.9% vs 11.4% · n=38
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.5% vs 11.4% · n=47
In Class 5 13.9% vs 11.4% · n=79
In Chase races 12.6% vs 11.4% · n=87 · A/E 1.25
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 87 11 12.6% −5.00
Hurdle 67 7 10.4% −23.88
NH Flat 9 1 11.1% +1.00
Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 89 11 12.4% +1.37
Good to Soft 30 1 3.3% −24.50
Soft 25 3 12% −12.00
Good to Firm 12 3 25% +7.75
Heavy 10 1 10% −3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Stratford 19 1 5.3% −12.00
Worcester 17 2 11.8% +8.00
Fakenham 16 2 12.5% −5.00
Ludlow 16 0 0% −16.00
Cheltenham 16 1 6.3% −1.00
Newton Abbot 13 4 30.8% +15.75
Market Rasen 9 3 33.3% +4.62
Uttoxeter 9 2 22.2% +5.00
Towcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Huntingdon 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Wetherby 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 79 11 13.9% −5.38
Class 4 38 3 7.9% −19.25
Class 3 20 1 5% −5.00
Class 6 20 4 20% +7.75
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.72 −5.63
2nd–3rd fav 39 9 23.1% 1.39 +11.25
4th–6th fav 61 7 11.5% 1.31 +3.50
7th+ in betting 55 1 1.8% 0.60 −40.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73.4% completed · 154 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 87 63.2% 6 4 22 0 0
Hurdle 67 86.6% 1 2 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gud Day (IRE) 10 1 7 23 Nov 14
Annamult (IRE) 6 0 1 15 Oct 16
Watch House (IRE) 6 2 4 6 Oct 13
Chilli Romance (IRE) 5 0 2 20 Oct 18
Are They Your Own (IRE) 5 1 2 22 Jul 17
Dark Energy (GB) 5 1 2 8 Oct 14
Troika Steppes (GB) 4 1 3 6 Jun 18
Lord Landen (IRE) 4 0 0 8 Dec 16
Full Ov Beans (GB) 4 3 3 30 Oct 14
Crack At Dawn (IRE) 4 1 2 10 Oct 13
Findlay's Find (IRE) 4 1 1 7 Jun 13
Perfect Candidate (IRE) 3 0 0 17 Mar 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 92 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
180627165813258100
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardFergal O'Brien
37% of all rides
11.5% SR · A/E 0.97
TrainerRWSR£1
Fergal O'Brien 61 7 11.5% −7.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
19
Archived wins
£80,466
Prize money
2014
Best season · 7 wins
Troika Steppes (GB) — Ryman Stationery Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Oct 2016 · Class 3
£7,195
Plum Pudding (FR) — Packexe Fleece Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Jul 2014 · Class 4
£5,198
Watch House (IRE) — Derek Fower Transport Novices' Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Sep 2013 · Class 4
£3,833
Notable horses
Full Ov Beans (GB) Watch House (IRE) Gud Day (IRE) Are They Your Own (IRE) Dark Energy (GB) Troika Steppes (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Aussie Rules (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Deploy (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 9.5% of 839 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 149.
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Observatory (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 166 · newest first

The latest 50 of 166 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2010 to 26 October 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 18 Cheltenham Bells 'n' Banjos (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Ryman Stationery Cheltenham Business Club Amateur Riders' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25f · Good · 19 ran 9th 9/1
20 Oct 18 Stratford Chilli Romance (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Kevin Watson Lady Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 4/1
08 Jul 18 Market Rasen King Muro (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Don Noble Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (Lady Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/2
08 Jun 18 Stratford Milliondollarbill (IRE)T: J Slatter Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Champion 'Point-To-Point' Bumper (Standard NH Flat Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 33/1
08 Jun 18 Stratford Bally River Boy (IRE)T: J Slatter Pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 10/1
06 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Troika Steppes (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien At uttoxetertwit Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 10 ran PU 11/1
18 May 18 Aintree Risky Gold (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Goffs UK Spring Sale P2P Bumper Standard NH Flat Race (Amateurs)Class 3 · 17f · Good · 14 ran 10th 11/2
17 May 18 Fontwell Bally River Boy (IRE)T: J Slatter Peter Mendoza Memorial 'placepot Pete' Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 26f · Good · 9 ran 1st 8/1
17 May 18 Fontwell Hammer And Anvil (IRE)T: Laura Horsfall Henry Carr's 24th Birthday Celebrations Ladies' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 40/1
25 Mar 18 Ascot Deadly Sting (IRE)T: Paul Henry Webb Colts & Fillies Club Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 12/1
14 Mar 18 Huntingdon Chilli Romance (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien 188bet Ladies Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 9/2
09 Jan 18 Taunton Chilli Romance (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Taunton Racecourse Annual Membership Available Today Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 17 ran 3rd 6/1J
19 Dec 17 Catterick Frankie Ballou (IRE)T: Joanne Foster Racinguk.com Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 20/1
21 Nov 17 Fakenham Chilli Romance (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien East Rudham Amateur Riders' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 15/8
01 Nov 17 Fakenham Owen Na View (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Greene King Ipa Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 12th 33/1
26 Oct 17 Ludlow Lined With Silver (IRE)T: Alan Phillips Bob Hagan 70th Birthday Amateur Riders' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 4/1F
21 Oct 17 Stratford Chilli Romance (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Lady Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
22 Jul 17 Market Rasen Are They Your Own (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Betfred 'Celebrating 50 Years Of Success' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran PU 7/4F
27 Jun 17 Newton Abbot Scorpion Star (IRE)T: Martin Hill Voice Of Racing Day This Friday Handicap Hurdle (Lady Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 14/1
22 Jun 17 Ffos Las Are They Your Own (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Persimmon Homes Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 11/10F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Ally Stirling's strike rate?
Miss Ally Stirling has won 19 of 166 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Miss Ally Stirling ride most for?
Fergal O'Brien, with 61 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.5%).
What is Miss Ally Stirling's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 166 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).