No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 11.1%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.5%−1.0
n=21 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −7.38
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+22.8
n=3 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −0.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.7%−2.8
n=13 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
75%
n=4 · A/E 2.44 · £1 +4.62
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.1%+0.6
n=36 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −16.38
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−10.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase25312%−16.38
Hurdle1317.7%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft17317.6%−0.13
Good to Soft9111.1%−6.25
Good700%−7.00
Heavy400%−4.00
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Sandown19421.1%+0.62
Wincanton300%−3.00
Huntingdon300%−3.00
Cheltenham200%−2.00
Hexham200%−2.00
Aintree200%−2.00
Market Rasen200%−2.00
Plumpton100%−1.00
Musselburgh100%−1.00
Fakenham100%−1.00
Hereford100%−1.00
Lingfield100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 315320%−6.38
Class 41218.3%−1.00
Class 5900%−9.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6350%1.95+2.62
2nd–3rd fav800%0.00−8.00
4th–6th fav1218.3%1.06−1.00
7th+ in betting1200%0.00−12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m22313.6%−13.38
1m5f – 2m7114.3%+4.00
2m1f – 2m4f600%−6.00
Over 3m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008100%−1.00
2009300%−3.00
2015400%−4.00
2016400%−4.00
20174250%+1.37
201810110%−6.75
20199111.1%+2.00
2020300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2015%−9.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners17211.8%−11.00
5-7 runners9222.2%+4.62
11-13 runners800%−8.00
17+ runners300%−3.00
14-16 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 21 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
020130····0000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rathlin Rose (IRE) — Royal Artillery Gold Cup (Military Amateur Riders' Chase) Sandown · Feb 2017 · Class 3
£7,798
Rathlin Rose (IRE) — Castel Royal Artillery Gold Cup Sandown · Feb 2018 · Class 3
£7,736
Rathlin Rose (IRE) — Grand Military Gold Cup (Military Amateur Riders' Chase) Sandown · Mar 2017 · Class 3
Progeny have won 13.3% of 465 runs since 2010 (45 horses).
Portrait Gallery (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11% of 1,448 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 223.
Kayf Tara (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
September Storm (GER)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,131 runs since 2012 (103 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 148. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.9% from 101.
Flemensfirth (USA)33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Ballingarry (IRE)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 43 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Mr Guy Disney's 43 archived rides, from 23 February 2006 to 7 March 2020, newest first — 4 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr Guy Disney's strike rate?
Mr Guy Disney has won 4 of 38 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Guy Disney's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 38 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr Guy Disney·SR 10.5%·A/E 0.95
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