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Jockey profile

Natalie Hambling

167 rides in the lifetime window · 96 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2017 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
16–167
Wins / Runs
9.6%
Strike rate
n=167
40 (24%)
Placed
1.32
Fair A/E
n=167 · 1.13 incl. margin
−8.50
£1 level stake
n=167 at SP · −5.1%
£78,539
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.32). Rode mostly for Richard Fahey — 41% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 167 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Richard Fahey: 13.2% from 68 Claiming: 10.7%
The read

Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 10.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.44 and +8.50 to a £1 stake over 150 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Richard Fahey supplied 41% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.2% vs 9.6%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 6 (13.6%, n=66).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.4%−0.2
n=96 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −8.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
5.3%−4.3
n=19 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −10.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5%−4.6
n=20 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −12.50
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.91 · £1 +2.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.7%+1.1
n=150 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +8.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
9.1%−0.5
n=33 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 13.6% vs 9.6% · n=66
With Richard Fahey 13.2% vs 9.6% · n=68
Off a 15-30-day break 12.3% vs 9.6% · n=65
On Standard (AW) going 7.5% vs 9.6% · n=80
At trips under 6f 12.1% vs 9.6% · n=33
When claiming 10.7% vs 9.6% · n=150 · A/E 1.44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 80 6 7.5% −38.50
Good 27 2 7.4% −4.50
Good to Firm 26 3 11.5% −3.50
Soft 16 3 18.8% +18.00
Good to Soft 15 2 13.3% +23.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 25 4 16% +7.50
Southwell (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Newcastle (AW) 17 1 5.9% −13.50
Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00
Lingfield (AW) 8 1 12.5% −2.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Thirsk 6 1 16.7% +11.00
Chester 6 1 16.7% +2.00
York 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 5 1 20% +16.00
Redcar 5 0 0% −5.00
Leicester 5 1 20% +2.00
Beverley 5 0 0% −5.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Hamilton 4 1 25% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 66 9 13.6% +20.50
Class 5 47 5 10.6% +8.00
Class 4 29 2 6.9% −12.00
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 3 100% 4.85 +10.00
2nd–3rd fav 23 3 13% 0.86 −5.00
4th–6th fav 59 7 11.9% 1.39 +9.50
7th+ in betting 82 3 3.7% 1.00 −23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Coiste Bodhar (IRE) 12 3 5 13 Dec 16
Sir Geoffrey (IRE) 6 0 1 6 Dec 16
Bayan Kasirga (IRE) 6 1 1 25 Jun 16
Chiswick Bey (IRE) 5 2 2 10 Feb 17
Safira Menina (GB) 5 1 3 29 Sep 16
Ingleby Spring (IRE) 5 1 3 21 Sep 16
Pearl Noir (GB) 4 1 1 20 Dec 16
Manatee Bay (GB) 3 1 1 20 Oct 17
Rubis (GB) 3 0 1 30 Dec 16
Royal Connoisseur (IRE) 3 2 2 4 Nov 16
Character Onesie (IRE) 3 1 1 24 Sep 16
Arctic Feeling (IRE) 3 0 0 30 Aug 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 96 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0200201817135131440
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardRichard Fahey
41% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 1.38
TrainerRWSR£1
Richard Fahey 68 9 13.2% −9.50
Scott Dixon 41 4 9.8% +21.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
16
Archived wins
£78,539
Prize money
2016
Best season · 8 wins
Character Onesie (IRE) — Cruise Nightclub Apprentice Handicap Chester · Jul 2015 · Class 4
£6,469
Royal Connoisseur (IRE) — racinguk.com Handicap (Div 1) Catterick · Oct 2016 · Class 4
£5,175
Royal Connoisseur (IRE) — Jonathan Letham Memorial Handicap Hamilton · Sep 2016 · Class 5
£3,881
Notable horses
Coiste Bodhar (IRE) Chiswick Bey (IRE) Royal Connoisseur (IRE) Bayan Kasirga (IRE) Safira Menina (GB) Ingleby Spring (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Camacho (GB) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Aussie Rules (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.
Elusive City (USA) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,429 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Paco Boy (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since 2014 (269 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
Zebedee (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).
Milk It Mick (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 5.9% of 726 runs since 2011 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 9.2% from 152.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 167 · newest first

The latest 50 of 167 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2013 to 24 October 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Oct 17 Newcastle (AW) Ghostly Arc (IRE)T: Noel Wilson Betway Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 14/1
20 Oct 17 Newcastle (AW) Manatee Bay (GB)T: Noel Wilson Global North East Trick Or Treat HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1
01 Oct 17 Musselburgh Lackaday (GB)T: Noel Wilson Ubs Wealth Management Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 12/1
28 Sep 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Kicking The Can (IRE)T: Noel Wilson Bet toteWin At betfred.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1
26 Sep 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Compass Rose (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Bet toteplacepot At betfred.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1
23 Sep 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Hayward Field (IRE)T: Noel Wilson Hobgoblin HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 17/2
20 Sep 17 Beverley Silk Mill Blue (GB)T: Richard Whitaker Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Apprentice Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 16/1
19 Sep 17 Redcar Manatee Bay (GB)T: Noel Wilson Weatherbys Bank Foreign Exchange Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 9/1
09 Sep 17 Thirsk Majdool (IRE)T: Noel Wilson Personal Touches HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 50/1
08 Sep 17 Musselburgh Kicking The Can (IRE)T: Noel Wilson Cala Homes HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 20/1
31 Aug 17 Musselburgh Lackaday (GB)T: Noel Wilson Scott Coppola Electrical Distributors HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 7/1
29 Aug 17 Carlisle Manatee Bay (GB)T: Noel Wilson Kingmoor Park Properties HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 20/1
14 Feb 17 Newcastle (AW) Lady Turpin (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Betway Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 9/2
10 Feb 17 Newcastle (AW) Major Cornwallis (IRE)T: Richard Fahey 32Red.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 11/4
10 Feb 17 Newcastle (AW) Chiswick Bey (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 5/2F
09 Jan 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Q Ten Girl (IRE)T: James Unett Sunbets.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 50/1
07 Jan 17 Lingfield (AW) Footlight (GB)T: Richard Fahey 32Redsport.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 3/1
07 Jan 17 Lingfield (AW) Mica Mika (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Betway Best Odds Guaranteed Plus HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 10/1
04 Jan 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Dose (GB)T: Richard Fahey Betway Middle Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 5/1
03 Jan 17 Newcastle (AW) Luis Vaz De Torres (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Betway Best Odds Guaranteed Plus HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Natalie Hambling's strike rate?
Natalie Hambling has won 16 of 167 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Natalie Hambling ride most for?
Richard Fahey, with 68 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.2%).
What is Natalie Hambling's Fair A/E?
1.32, from 167 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).