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Jockey profile

Nicky Lawes

133 rides in the lifetime window · 104 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2009 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–133
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=133
25 (19%)
Placed
0.53
Fair A/E
n=132 · 0.45 incl. margin
−63.75
£1 level stake
n=133 at SP · −47.9%
£47,337
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.53). First rides on a horse are a strength: 5% on the first captured pairing (94 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 133 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 5.3%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.40 and −51.50 to a £1 stake over 109 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.25 across 51 rides (2% strike, −42.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.3%+1.5
n=94 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −24.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.7%+3.9
n=26 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −9.50
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +0.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.8%−1.0
n=109 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −51.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−3.8
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With David Nicholls 7.1% vs 3.8% · n=42
In Class 6 2% vs 3.8% · n=51 · A/E 0.25
On first rides for the horse 5.3% vs 3.8% · n=94 · A/E 0.79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 33 1 3% −29.25
Standard (AW) 33 1 3% −25.00
Good 27 2 7.4% +15.50
Good to Soft 21 0 0% −21.00
Soft 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Southwell (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Newcastle 10 0 0% −10.00
Beverley 10 0 0% −10.00
Redcar 10 0 0% −10.00
York 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Pontefract 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Ripon 6 0 0% −6.00
Ayr 6 0 0% −6.00
Hamilton 6 0 0% −6.00
Thirsk 5 0 0% −5.00
Haydock 4 0 0% −4.00
Catterick 4 0 0% −4.00
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 51 1 2% −42.50
Class 5 44 1 2.3% −40.25
Class 4 21 2 9.5% +21.00
Class 3 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.67 −3.25
2nd–3rd fav 20 1 5% 0.34 −12.00
4th–6th fav 32 1 3.1% 0.41 −23.50
7th+ in betting 74 2 2.7% 0.78 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ahlawy (IRE) 4 0 0 16 May 08
Indian Trail (GB) 3 0 0 18 Oct 08
Poppy Day (GB) 3 0 0 24 Aug 08
Fenners (USA) 3 0 1 13 Aug 08
Bright Sparky (GER) 3 0 1 24 Jan 08
McCormack (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Sep 09
King Pin (GB) 2 0 0 3 Sep 09
Northern Bolt (GB) 2 0 0 19 Aug 09
Hitches Dubai (BRZ) 2 0 0 8 Aug 09
Buy On The Red (GB) 2 0 0 4 Aug 09
Minority Report (GB) 2 1 1 28 Jul 09
Flash McGahon (IRE) 2 0 0 25 Jul 09
The 60 most-raced of 104 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00177000613000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDavid Nicholls
32% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.86
TrainerRWSR£1
David Nicholls 42 3 7.1% +15.00
Michael Easterby 35 1 2.9% −26.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
9
Archived wins
£78,380
Prize money
2009
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bencoolen (IRE) — Bluesquarecasino.com Apprentice Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2009 · Class 3
£12,952
Fonthill Road (IRE) — Flying Five Handicap Beverley · Apr 2005 · Class 3
£9,818
St Savarin (FR) — Warrington Guardian Handicap Haydock · Apr 2005 · Class 4
£7,223
Notable horses
Minority Report (GB) Fremen (USA) St Savarin (FR) Baltimore Jack (IRE) Bencoolen (IRE) Berrymead (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Green Desert (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11% of 3,324 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.
Indian Ridge (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).
Namid (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.
Pivotal (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,785 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Bal Harbour (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.7% of 183 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Dashing Blade (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 635 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 276 · newest first

The latest 50 of 276 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2005 to 6 November 2009.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 09 Southwell (AW) Vain Boteli (GER)T: Richard Ford All Weather 'hands And Heels' Apprentice Series HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 22/1
17 Oct 09 Catterick Lost Soldier Three (IRE)T: David Nicholls Bet On Today's Football At Totesport.com Apprentice Claiming StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 2/1J
15 Oct 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Minwir (IRE)T: Mark Brisbourne Dine In The Horizons Restaurant Apprentice HandicapClass 7 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 25/1
09 Oct 09 York Motafarred (IRE)T: Micky Hammond wewillbuyyourcar.com Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 33/1
28 Sep 09 Wolverhampton (AW) King's Revenge (GB)T: Shaun Lycett Williamhill.com/bonus25 - Get 25 Free Bet Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1
21 Sep 09 Hamilton Circus Clown (IRE)T: P Monteith totesportcasino.com Apprentice Handicap (Final)Class 6 · 11f · Good · 8 ran 6th 22/1
19 Sep 09 Ayr Striking Spirit (GB)T: David Nicholls William Hill (Ayr) Gold Cup Heritage HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 26 ran 17th 20/1
17 Sep 09 Pontefract Baltimore Jack (IRE)T: Tim Walford Pontefract Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 11/4F
16 Sep 09 Beverley McCormack (IRE)T: Tina Jackson Stars Of The Future Apprentice Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 25/1
14 Sep 09 Redcar Minturno (USA)T: Ann Duffield Redcar Racecourse Conference & Events Venue Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th 18/1
06 Sep 09 York They All Laughed (GB)T: Marjorie Fife Play Live Casino At Betinternet.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 22/1
05 Sep 09 Thirsk Guest Connections (GB)T: David Nicholls See You Next Year HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 9/1
04 Sep 09 Catterick Bonnie Prince Blue (GB)T: David Nicholls Racing Uk HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/2J
03 Sep 09 Redcar King Pin (GB)T: Tracy Waggott 'Go Racing' In Yorkshire Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 12th 13/2
01 Sep 09 Leicester McCormack (IRE)T: Tina Jackson Levy Board Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 40/1
31 Aug 09 Ripon Joel The Mole (GB)T: David Nicholls Racing Again Tomorrow Selling StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 18 ran 18th 33/1
29 Aug 09 Beverley Kool Katie (GB)T: Geraldine Rees Ssangyong It Works For Me 'hands And Heels' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 10/1
28 Aug 09 Newcastle Avontuur (FR)T: Ruth Carr Parklands Golfcourse Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 7/1
27 Aug 09 Ayr Jamieson Gold (IRE)T: Linda Perratt Armitage Venesta Open Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 14/1
21 Aug 09 Chester Parisian Pyramid (IRE)T: David Nicholls Global Travel Group HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicky Lawes's strike rate?
Nicky Lawes has won 5 of 133 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Nicky Lawes's Fair A/E?
0.53, from 132 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).