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Trainer profile

John McShane

71 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2010 97% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–71
Wins / Runs
8.5%
Strike rate
n=71
14 (20%)
Placed
1.26
Fair A/E
n=70 · 1.07 incl. margin
−36.50
£1 level stake
n=71 at SP · −51.4%
£24,634
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−8.5
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%−1.8
n=15 · A/E 1.96 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−5.9
n=38 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −29.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 2.6% vs 8.5% · n=38
With a new jockey booking 5% vs 8.5% · n=40
In Flat races 8.7% vs 8.5% · n=69 · A/E 1.26
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 69 6 8.7% −34.50
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Firm 19 4 21.1% +2.50
Standard (AW) 13 1 7.7% −9.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 2 1 50% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Hamilton 19 3 15.8% −1.50
Musselburgh 17 0 0% −17.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Ayr 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Carlisle 6 1 16.7% −2.00
Newcastle 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Perth 2 0 0% −2.00
Pontefract 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 28 2 7.1% −18.00
Class 6 24 3 12.5% −3.50
Class 4 17 1 5.9% −13.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.71 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 4 57.1% 3.95 +14.50
4th–6th fav 24 1 4.2% 0.71 −15.00
7th+ in betting 35 0 0% 0.00 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Argentine (IRE)from L Lungo · then George Foster 27 5 9 8 Oct 10
Burnwynd Boy (GB)from David Nicholls · then Ian Semple 7 0 0 30 Sep 10
Quick Gourmet (GB)from George Foster · then Alan Swinbank 6 0 2 19 Aug 09
Beaumont Boy (GB)from George Foster 6 0 1 19 Jun 09
Sams Spirit (GB)from Philip McBride · then Ian Semple 4 0 0 27 Nov 10
Old Firm (GB)from Donal Nolan · then Ian Semple 4 0 0 27 Nov 10
Asserting (GB)from George Foster 4 1 2 15 Jun 09
Psalm Twentythree (GB)from Michael Dods · then Ian Semple 3 0 0 8 Oct 10
Blues Jazz (GB)from Gay Kelleway · then Ian Semple 3 0 0 8 Oct 10
Orpenia (IRE)from Linda Perratt 1 0 0 18 Aug 10
Jack Kane (GB)then Josie Ross 1 0 0 14 Aug 09
Malguru (GB)from George Foster 1 0 0 11 Aug 09
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from George Foster (7); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian Semple (5); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
33···033000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Paul Mulrennan 12 3 25% +4.00
Lee Topliss 10 0 0% −10.00
Steve Drowne 6 1 16.7% −2.00
Michael O'Connell 5 0 0% −5.00
Billy Cray 5 1 20% +4.00
Barry McHugh 3 0 0% −3.00
Andrew Heffernan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr S Feeney 2 0 0% −2.00
David Allan 2 0 0% −2.00
Campbell Gillies 2 0 0% −2.00
Greg Fairley 1 0 0% −1.00
Garry Whillans 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
6
Archived wins
£24,634
Prize money
2009
Best season · 5 wins
Argentine (IRE) — Happy 58th Birthday Richard Archer Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2010 · Class 4
£4,209
Argentine (IRE) — Turftv Handicap Hamilton · Jun 2009 · Class 5
£3,238
Argentine (IRE) — Bell & Plate 24th June Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2009 · Class 5
£2,914
Notable horses
Argentine (IRE) Asserting (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fasliyev (USA) 18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Foxhound (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 5.5% of 1,106 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 9.7% from 144. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 8.6% from 360.
Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).
Lend A Hand (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.5% from 130. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 71 · newest first

The latest 50 of 71 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2009 to 27 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Old Firm (GB)J: Michael O'Connell Play Roulette At totesport.com Selling StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 5th 50/1
27 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Sams Spirit (GB)J: Michael O'Connell Play Bingo At totesport.com Selling StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 66/1
08 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Psalm Twentythree (GB)J: Steve Drowne Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 66/1
08 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Argentine (IRE)J: Steve Drowne Bet Euro 2012 Qualifiers - Betdaq HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1
08 Oct 10 Musselburgh Blues Jazz (GB)J: Barry McHugh Scottish Racing Your Better Bet HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 50/1
07 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Argentine (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan SIS The Number 1 Industry Supplier HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 12/1
30 Sep 10 Ayr Argentine (IRE)J: Michael O'Connell Giles Insurance Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 7/1
30 Sep 10 Ayr Burnwynd Boy (GB)J: Lee Topliss Bud And Joe Pieroni Memorial Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 20/1
20 Sep 10 Hamilton Burnwynd Boy (GB)J: Dale Swift Play Slots At Totesport.com HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1
20 Sep 10 Hamilton Argentine (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Play Slots At Totesport.com HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/2F
20 Sep 10 Hamilton Psalm Twentythree (GB)J: David Allan Play Roulette At Totesport.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 66/1
20 Sep 10 Hamilton Sams Spirit (GB)J: Adam Carter Play Bingo At totesport.com Apprentice Handicap (Final Of The Hamilton Park Apprentice Series)Class 6 · 11f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 66/1
16 Sep 10 Ayr Burnwynd Boy (GB)J: Lee Topliss Brewin Dolphin Investment Management HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 19 ran 8th 40/1
16 Sep 10 Ayr Argentine (IRE)J: Seb Sanders Brewin Dolphin Investment Management HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 19 ran 2nd 12/1
13 Sep 10 Musselburgh Argentine (IRE)J: Lee Topliss Watch Racing Uk Online At Racinguk.com HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 25/1
10 Sep 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Blues Jazz (GB)J: Michael O'Connell Black Country's Only Racecourse Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 100/1
10 Sep 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Argentine (IRE)J: Michael O'Connell Play Vegas Games At Williamhillvegas.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 33/1
06 Sep 10 Newcastle Old Firm (GB)J: Barry McHugh freebetting.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 12th 28/1
06 Sep 10 Newcastle Sams Spirit (GB)J: Lee Topliss North Sea Logistics Handicap (Str)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 12th 50/1
06 Sep 10 Newcastle Blues Jazz (GB)J: Lee Topliss Parklands Golfcourse Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John McShane's strike rate?
John McShane has won 6 of 71 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John McShane's Fair A/E?
1.26, from 70 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).