No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83).
Deterministic profile computed from 309 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceCharlie Huxley: 9.2% from 76Claiming riders: 7.4%
The read
The record is strongest at Sedgefield (16.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 6.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.00). Charlie Huxley rode 25% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.2% vs 6.8%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well beyond 3m (13.5%, n=52) and off a 31-60-day break (12.1%, n=66). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 47 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Alpha Victor (IRE) — 5 wins from 25 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.8
n=78 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −78.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+0.3
n=28 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +10.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−2.3
n=22 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.3%−2.5
n=23 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −20.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.77
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.4%+0.6
n=136 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +3.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Sedgefield16.7% vs 6.8% · n=30
Beyond 3m13.5% vs 6.8% · n=52
Off a break of 180+ days0% vs 6.8% · n=47
In NH Flat races0% vs 6.8% · n=35
Off a 61-180-day break0% vs 6.8% · n=31
Off a 31-60-day break12.1% vs 6.8% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle141117.8%−2.62
Chase8989%−20.75
Flat4424.5%−35.40
NH Flat3500%−35.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft8344.8%−38.50
Good79810.1%+26.50
Good to Soft7434.1%−62.75
Heavy35411.4%+10.38
Standard (AW)2428.3%−15.40
Good to Firm1400%−14.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield30516.7%+19.13
Bangor-on-Dee2813.6%−2.00
Wetherby2813.6%−23.00
Uttoxeter2200%−22.00
Wolverhampton (AW)19210.5%−10.40
Carlisle1715.9%−13.25
Catterick16318.8%+5.50
Haydock1417.1%−2.00
Aintree10110%+13.00
Warwick1000%−10.00
Ludlow900%−9.00
Cartmel9111.1%+2.00
Newcastle800%−8.00
Ayr800%−8.00
Hexham8112.5%−5.25
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4130129.2%−37.25
Class 57045.7%−32.52
Class 65511.8%−42.00
Class 340410%+32.00
Class 2800%−8.00
Class 1600%−6.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14535.7%1.23+2.23
2nd–3rd fav5359.4%0.60−30.00
4th–6th fav12397.3%1.01+4.00
7th+ in betting11921.7%0.51−70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m9066.7%+21.00
2m1f – 2m4f7645.3%−27.00
1m5f – 2m5935.1%−36.75
Over 3m52713.5%−21.12
1m2f – 1m4f1616.3%−13.90
6f – 7f800%−8.00
1m – 1m1f500%−5.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200813215.4%+7.50
2010100%−1.00
2011100%−1.00
20126369.5%+38.75
201310387.8%−57.77
20146646.1%−29.25
20152900%−29.00
20162214.5%−11.00
20171100%−11.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps196168.2%−47.77
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners10676.6%−32.87
11-13 runners7411.4%−48.00
5-7 runners74912.2%−1.50
14-16 runners3226.3%−13.50
2-4 runners1317.7%−10.90
17+ runners10110%+13.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 52 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Thomas Kinsey (6) and Donald McCain (3); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.
18 have since run for another yard, most often for Clare Ellam (2) and Oliver Sherwood (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
147106900025037
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
21
Archived wins
£181k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 8 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Alpha Victor (IRE) — Blue Square Bet Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Dec 2012 · Class 3
£9,495
Kykate (GB) — Jedforest Deer Park Novices' Handicap Chase Kelso · Apr 2013 · Class 4
£6,498
Alpha Victor (IRE) — Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Feb 2014 · Class 3
Progeny have won 11% of 1,448 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 223.
Old Vic (GB)20% · 5–25
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Alflora (IRE)4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Beat All (USA)8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Hamas (IRE)18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 8.4% of 191 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Beneficial (GB)15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 315 · newest first
The latest 50 of 315 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2006 to 7 June 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is William Kinsey's strike rate?
William Kinsey has won 21 of 309 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Kinsey do best at?
Sedgefield by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for William Kinsey?
Charlie Huxley, with 76 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.2%).
What is William Kinsey's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 306 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
William Kinsey·SR 6.8%·A/E 0.83
KTB
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