What is John Wade's strike rate?

John Wade has won 95 of 1,149 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Wade do best at?

Cartmel by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Wade?

Brian Hughes, with 395 runners since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (11.6%).

What is John Wade's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 1,148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Wade

1,149 runners in the lifetime window · 149 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2016 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

95–1,149

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=1,149

277 (24%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=1,148 · 0.77 incl. margin

−466.75

£1 level stake

n=1,149 at SP · −40.6%

£643k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). New recruits from other yards win at 12% first time out (61 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,149 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Dec 39.1% when favourite Brian Hughes: 11.6% from 395 New recruits: 11.5% Sent off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Cartmel (16.1%, n=31), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 11.5% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.64), but debutants struggle at 3.3% (n=61, Fair A/E 0.79). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −238.16 to a £1 stake over 423 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Brian Hughes rode 34% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.6% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well beyond 3m (14%, n=143). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 3.1% over 98 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Win More With The coral.co.uk Green Tick Grimthorpe Chase at Doncaster (Mar 2011, £29,273). The stable star of the record was Always Right (IRE) — 7 wins from 22 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−1.2

n=340 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −125.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.5%+3.2

n=61 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +15.00

Debutants · first career start

3.3%−5.0

n=61 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −39.62

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%+2.0

n=29 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +10.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

21.4%+13.1

n=14 · A/E 2.64 · £1 +10.00

When favourite

39.1%

n=92 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +17.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.1%−2.2

n=423 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −238.16

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+2.8

n=9 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.6% vs 8.3% · n=102

With C&D winners 15.1% vs 8.3% · n=126

Beyond 3m 14% vs 8.3% · n=143

At Cartmel 16.1% vs 8.3% · n=31

With horses switching code 3.4% vs 8.3% · n=147

In NH Flat races 3.1% vs 8.3% · n=98

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 577 69 12% −124.02

Hurdle 451 23 5.1% −274.73

NH Flat 98 3 3.1% −45.00

Flat 23 0 0% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 334 26 7.8% −121.31

Soft 278 23 8.3% −134.68

Good to Soft 277 19 6.9% −131.62

Heavy 133 15 11.3% −48.68

Good to Firm 123 12 9.8% −26.46

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 254 16 6.3% −149.43

Wetherby 141 9 6.4% −88.87

Newcastle 114 13 11.4% −48.01

Kelso 92 11 12% +7.50

Catterick 81 9 11.1% −24.20

Hexham 78 5 6.4% −35.12

Carlisle 71 8 11.3% −3.56

Musselburgh 59 5 8.5% −19.10

Perth 51 3 5.9% −21.62

Ayr 41 3 7.3% −17.50

Market Rasen 35 2 5.7% −23.67

Cartmel 31 5 16.1% +10.83

Doncaster 31 3 9.7% −5.00

Haydock 19 2 10.5% +0.00

Aintree 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 611 49 8% −278.81

Class 5 198 23 11.6% −66.72

Class 3 180 15 8.3% −35.47

Class 6 114 5 4.4% −69.50

Class 2 34 2 5.9% −25.25

Class 1 12 1 8.3% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 110 38 34.5% 1.33 +9.92

2nd–3rd fav 237 26 11% 0.67 −89.67

4th–6th fav 366 20 5.5% 0.70 −131.00

7th+ in betting 436 11 2.5% 0.86 −256.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.6% completed · 1,028 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 577 75.4% 19 24 96 1 2

Hurdle 451 84.9% 13 9 45 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Riskier (GB)from H J Manners 30 6 13 4 Apr 15

Forty Crown (IRE)then George Bewley 26 4 7 29 Dec 15

General Hardi (GB) 26 4 11 2 Feb 14

Deuteronomy (IRE)from E A Elliott 25 2 12 1 May 12

Walser (IRE)from Howard Johnson 24 1 12 31 Jan 16

Always Right (IRE) 22 7 10 7 Dec 14

Dingo Bay (GB)then Rebecca Menzies 21 4 5 24 Mar 15

Mannered (GB) 20 1 2 20 Jan 15

Chicago Outfit (IRE)from Howard Johnson · then George Bewley 20 1 4 7 Jun 14

Harris Hawk (GB) 20 4 5 25 May 14

Arrow Barrow (IRE)from Howard Johnson 20 2 5 2 Jun 13

Tyrone House (IRE)from John Neilan · then R K Watson 20 3 4 24 Apr 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 149 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Howard Johnson (15) and John Hellens (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for George Bewley (7) and Chris Grant (4); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

86101077400101010

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hughes

34% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hughes 395 46 11.6% −71.37

Mr John Dawson 301 15 5% −193.04

Wilson Renwick 173 19 11% −32.37

James Reveley 54 7 13% −8.35

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

135

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£909k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Always Right (IRE) — Win More With The coral.co.uk Green Tick Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap) Doncaster · Mar 2011 · Class 2

£29,273

General Hardi (GB) — totepool Durham National (Handicap Chase) Sedgefield · Apr 2010 · Class 3

£15,555

Stormy Lord (IRE) — Novices' Chase Kelso · Mar 2005 · Class 2

£13,390

Notable horses

Always Right (IRE) Riskier (GB) Love That Benny (USA) Ryminster (GB) Devil's Run (IRE) General Hardi (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Karinga Bay (GB) 16.9% · 11–65

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 4.8% · 3–63

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Presenting (GB) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Old Vic (GB) 2.4% · 1–42

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Anshan (GB) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.

Court Cave (IRE) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,531 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,531 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 24 June 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Jun 16 Cartmel Colorado Kid (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Furness Fish & Game Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 8/1

29 May 16 Kelso Stilo Blue Native (IRE)J: Tony Kelly Elliot Henderson & Son Plant Hire Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran F 12/1

29 May 16 Kelso Nortonthorpelegend (IRE)J: Mr William Easterby Elliot Henderson & Son Plant Hire Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 8/1

29 May 16 Kelso Alwareed (GB)J: Tony Kelly Border Facilities Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 66/1

28 May 16 Cartmel Clues And Arrows (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Jennings Cumberland Ale Intermediate Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

24 May 16 Hexham Nortonthorpelegend (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Hexham Caravan Site Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 6th 10/1

24 May 16 Hexham Runswick Days (IRE)J: Brian Harding St John Lee Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran PU 28/1

10 May 16 Sedgefield Runswick Days (IRE)J: Ryan Day Paxtons Sell Horsch, Lely And Ifor Williams Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 8/1

05 May 16 Carlisle Nortonthorpelegend (IRE)J: Craig Nichol ApolloBet Bet Through Your Mobile Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 3/1F

04 May 16 Kelso Pikarnia (GB)J: Craig Nichol Ferguson Planning & Development Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 40/1

04 May 16 Kelso Clues And Arrows (IRE)J: Brian Harding Canada Life Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 7th 25/1

28 Apr 16 Sedgefield Alwareed (GB)J: Craig Nichol Jennings Ford Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 25/1

28 Apr 16 Sedgefield Stilo Blue Native (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Wills Property Services Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 9/2

18 Apr 16 Hexham Runswick Days (IRE)J: Danny Cook Ramside Event Catering Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 6/1

03 Apr 16 Carlisle Nortonthorpelegend (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Apollobet Bet Through Your Mobile Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 11/1

27 Mar 16 Sedgefield Stilo Blue Native (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Betfred Lotto Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 7 ran UR 10/1

27 Mar 16 Sedgefield Runswick Days (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Betfred 'supports Jack Berry House' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 14/1

27 Mar 16 Sedgefield Dubai Celebrity (GB)J: Craig Nichol Betfred Tv Conditional Jockeys' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 6 ran PU 20/1

19 Mar 16 Newcastle Stilo Blue Native (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Mtrec Recruitment - Specialists In Automotive Recruitment Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 13/2

13 Mar 16 Kelso Dubai Celebrity (GB)J: Brian Hughes Terry Frame Joiners Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Wade's strike rate?: John Wade has won 95 of 1,149 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Wade do best at?: Cartmel by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Wade?: Brian Hughes, with 395 runners since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (11.6%).
What is John Wade's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 1,148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.