What is R P Walsh's strike rate?

R P Walsh has won 21 of 476 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does R P Walsh do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does R P Walsh ride most for?

Scott Dixon, with 67 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6%).

What is R P Walsh's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 474 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

R P Walsh

476 rides in the lifetime window · 266 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

21–476

Wins / Runs

4.4%

Strike rate

n=476

70 (15%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=474 · 0.67 incl. margin

−299.65

£1 level stake

n=476 at SP · −63.0%

£144k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

50%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 476 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Nov Scott Dixon: 6% from 67 Claiming: 4.6%

The read

The record is strongest at Nottingham (10%, n=30), clear of the rider's 4.4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=86, Fair A/E 0.35). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −205.48 to a £1 stake over 266 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Scott Dixon supplied 14% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (10.3%, n=58). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 30 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−1.4

n=266 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −205.48

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20%+15.6

n=20 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −2.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.2%−3.2

n=86 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −83.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=15 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −0.77

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.6%+0.2

n=461 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −284.65

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.4%+0.0

n=91 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −39.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.4

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With David Evans 16.7% vs 4.4% · n=30

Off a 0-7-day break 10.3% vs 4.4% · n=58

With C&D winners 9.4% vs 4.4% · n=64

At Nottingham 10% vs 4.4% · n=30

With Charles Smith 8.8% vs 4.4% · n=34

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.4% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 240 14 5.8% −166.65

Good to Firm 72 1 1.4% −65.00

Good 67 4 6% −13.00

Soft 60 2 3.3% −18.00

Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 78 5 6.4% −50.98

Wolverhampton (AW) 53 2 3.8% −44.00

Newcastle (AW) 30 1 3.3% −25.00

Nottingham 30 3 10% −3.00

Lingfield (AW) 29 1 3.4% −26.00

Kempton (AW) 21 2 9.5% −11.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 20 1 5% −15.50

Curragh 15 0 0% −15.00

Catterick 15 2 13.3% +6.00

Doncaster 14 0 0% −14.00

Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00

Yarmouth 13 1 7.7% +21.00

Beverley 10 0 0% −10.00

Thirsk 10 0 0% −10.00

Redcar 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 210 9 4.3% −115.50

Class 5 130 7 5.4% −92.88

Class 4 37 1 2.7% −35.60

Class 3 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 7 11 1 9.1% −4.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 6 35.3% 1.09 +2.23

2nd–3rd fav 42 9 21.4% 1.31 +4.12

4th–6th fav 102 2 2% 0.28 −76.00

7th+ in betting 315 4 1.3% 0.52 −230.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Robbian (GB) 15 2 4 10 Jun 17

Socialites Red (GB) 12 2 7 18 Jul 18

Bashkirov (GB) 12 2 3 28 Jul 11

Penny Dreadful (GB) 10 2 2 27 Feb 18

Pearl Noir (GB) 8 0 3 12 Sep 17

Vocalise (GB) 8 0 0 18 Oct 16

King's Bastion (IRE) 8 0 3 23 May 10

Cadeaux Pearl (GB) 7 0 1 22 Apr 17

Odd Ball (IRE) 6 0 0 6 Aug 15

Picks Pinta (GB) 5 1 1 2 May 19

Better Self (GB) 5 3 4 24 Mar 11

Noble Behest (GB) 4 2 4 9 Jan 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 266 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1138552020590

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardScott Dixon

14% of all rides
6% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Scott Dixon 67 4 6% −27.00

Luke Comer 37 2 5.4% −21.67

Charles Smith 34 3 8.8% +10.62

David Evans 30 5 16.7% −8.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£144k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 5 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bashkirov (GB) — Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Race Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2009

£11,402

Bashkirov (GB) — 3 For Free - Wednesday Meetings At Dundalk Handicap (60-90) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2009

£9,329

Tricky Dicky (GB) — Betway Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2019 · Class 4

£5,531

Notable horses

Better Self (GB) Robbian (GB) Socialites Red (GB) Bashkirov (GB) Penny Dreadful (GB) Noble Behest (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Piccolo (GB) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Sakhee's Secret (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,866 runs since 2012 (253 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 772.

Bertolini (USA) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Kheleyf (USA) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 481 · newest first

The latest 50 of 481 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 April 2007 to 9 January 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Jan 20 Newcastle (AW) Noble Behest (GB)T: Ian Williams Betway HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 11/8F

05 Jan 20 Southwell (AW) Noble Behest (GB)T: Ian Williams Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 2/1F

30 Nov 19 Lingfield (AW) Runaiocht (IRE)T: Brian Forsey Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1

30 Nov 19 Lingfield (AW) Puerto Banus (GB)T: Ian Williams Bombardier Golden Beer HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 6/1

28 Nov 19 Lingfield (AW) Sea Sovereign (IRE)T: Ian Williams Play 4 To Score At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 9/2

23 Nov 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Puerto Banus (GB)T: Ian Williams Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 16/1

21 Nov 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Mokaatil (GB)T: Ian Williams Irish Lotto At totesport.com HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 25/1

21 Nov 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Noble Behest (GB)T: Ian Williams Extra Places At totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 7/2

06 Nov 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Sea Sovereign (IRE)T: Ian Williams Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 11/2

21 Oct 19 Windsor Central City (IRE)T: Ian Williams Ben Woollacott Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 20/1

14 Oct 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Noble Behest (GB)T: Ian Williams Wolverhampton Rum Festival 23rd November HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 15/2

07 Oct 19 Windsor Tanqeeb (GB)T: Ian Williams Barry Gould Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 66/1

28 Sep 19 Chester Central City (IRE)T: Ian Williams Raymond & Kathleen Corbett Memorial HandicapClass 3 · 10.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 16/1

14 Sep 19 Lingfield Tanqeeb (GB)T: Ian Williams Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 25/1

31 Aug 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Viking Prince (IRE)T: Ian Williams Visit deskstor.co.uk For Your Business Furniture Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1

01 Aug 19 Nottingham Artic Nel (GB)T: Ian Williams Mansionbet HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 20/1

24 Jul 19 Sandown Sea Sovereign (IRE)T: Ian Williams Pure Storage HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 7th 25/1

20 Jul 19 Newmarket Central City (IRE)T: Ian Williams Samantha Copper HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 7th 25/1

29 Jun 19 Newmarket Tribal Commander (GB)T: Ian Williams Coates & Seely Brut Reserve HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 33/1

20 Jun 19 Ripon Golden Grenade (FR)T: Ian Williams Inn At South Stainley Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R P Walsh's strike rate?: R P Walsh has won 21 of 476 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R P Walsh do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does R P Walsh ride most for?: Scott Dixon, with 67 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6%).
What is R P Walsh's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 474 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.