Sean Bird
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.79). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 4% (95 rides).
The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −71.00 to a £1 stake over 170 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael Mulvany supplies 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (1.7%, A/E 0.64). The market has also underrated the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 1.36 across 51 rides (3.9% strike, +4.00 to a £1 stake).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 297 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 297 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 November 2016 to 20 October 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sean Bird's strike rate?
- Sean Bird has won 4 of 172 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sean Bird do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 37 rides (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Sean Bird ride most for?
- Michael Mulvany, with 59 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.7%).
- What is Sean Bird's Fair A/E?
- 0.79, from 172 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.