What is John Patrick Shanahan's strike rate?

John Patrick Shanahan has won 75 of 645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Patrick Shanahan do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 21 wins from 116 runners (18.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Patrick Shanahan?

Tadhg O'Shea, with 161 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (16.8%).

What is John Patrick Shanahan's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 642 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Patrick Shanahan

645 runners in the lifetime window · 78 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2017 92% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

75–645

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=645

193 (30%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=642 · 0.98 incl. margin

−109.51

£1 level stake

n=645 at SP · −17.0%

£1.00m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). With a claiming rider up the record reads 19% (119 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 645 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 32.6% when favourite Tadhg O'Shea: 16.8% from 161 Claiming riders: 18.5% Sent off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Leopardstown (2.5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 18.5% (n=119, Fair A/E 1.66), but debutants struggle at 1.6% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.29). Tadhg O'Shea rode 25% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.8% vs 11.6%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well in Class 6 (32.4%, n=34) and in Class 5 (19.8%, n=91). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Totepool Queen's Cup Handicap at Musselburgh (Apr 2017, £64,690). The stable star of the record was Split The Atom (IRE) — 5 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.8%−4.8

n=73 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −8.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−7.4

n=24 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −17.00

Debutants · first career start

1.6%−10.0

n=64 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −57.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−8.0

n=28 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −22.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+0.9

n=8 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +7.00

When favourite

32.6%

n=46 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −5.29

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

18.5%+6.9

n=119 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +41.77

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.5%−7.1

n=88 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −38.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 6 32.4% vs 11.6% · n=34

With C&D winners 24.4% vs 11.6% · n=45

With debutants 1.6% vs 11.6% · n=64

In Class 5 19.8% vs 11.6% · n=91

At Leopardstown 2.5% vs 11.6% · n=40

With claiming riders up 18.5% vs 11.6% · n=119

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 592 70 11.8% −112.01

Hurdle 42 3 7.1% −16.50

Chase 6 2 33.3% +24.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 171 21 12.3% −12.78

Good 143 11 7.7% −86.55

Good to Firm 106 13 12.3% +10.06

Heavy 84 8 9.5% −30.64

Standard (AW) 79 14 17.7% +22.10

Good to Soft 58 6 10.3% −13.50

Firm 4 2 50% +1.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hamilton 116 21 18.1% −0.25

Dundalk (AW) 64 9 14.1% −11.10

Curragh 50 3 6% −19.00

Leopardstown 40 1 2.5% −35.50

Gowran Park 37 1 2.7% −30.00

Musselburgh 25 3 12% −3.00

Chester 25 3 12% −8.50

Navan 22 2 9.1% +0.50

Naas 21 0 0% −21.00

Cork 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Listowel 18 3 16.7% +6.00

Limerick 18 2 11.1% −11.14

Tipperary 13 1 7.7% +0.00

Ayr 12 1 8.3% −1.00

Fairyhouse 12 1 8.3% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 91 18 19.8% −1.52

Class 1 88 4 4.5% −38.00

Class 4 71 10 14.1% −5.88

Class 6 34 11 32.4% +47.13

Class 2 29 1 3.4% −16.00

Class 3 25 2 8% −14.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 53 17 32.1% 1.08 −4.79

2nd–3rd fav 159 31 19.5% 1.21 +5.78

4th–6th fav 206 18 8.7% 1.11 −30.50

7th+ in betting 227 9 4% 1.17 −80.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King of The Picts (IRE)then W P Mullins 40 4 12 20 Jun 16

Split The Atom (IRE)then David Marnane 28 5 16 22 Apr 16

Warp Factor (IRE) 26 2 12 8 Oct 17

Taexali (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 24 1 4 17 Nov 17

Hold The Line (IRE)from Tracey Collins 23 2 8 21 Aug 15

Lara Carbonara (IRE) 20 2 9 11 Oct 16

Dancing Cosmos (IRE) 19 4 6 17 Jul 14

Carbon Dating (IRE)then R J Osborne 18 2 4 26 Aug 17

Chicago (IRE)from A P O'Brien 16 1 3 19 Oct 14

Helen's Armada (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 15 0 2 5 Nov 14

Ionization (IRE) 14 2 7 16 Sep 17

Prince Jock (USA)from Tracey Collins · then Albert Moriarty 14 3 5 11 Sep 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tracey Collins (7); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for R J Osborne (6) and Adrian McGuinness (5); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

107611121119911101416

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTadhg O'Shea

25% of all rides
16.8% SR · A/E 1.44

RiderRWSR£1

Tadhg O'Shea 161 27 16.8% +15.44

Ronan Whelan 145 12 8.3% −45.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.00m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 19 wins

Carbon Dating (IRE) — Totepool Queen's Cup Handicap Musselburgh · Apr 2017 · Class 2

£64,690

My Special J's (USA) — Keeneland Debutante Stakes (Fillies Group 2) Curragh · Aug 2012 · Group 2

£61,750

That's Plenty (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Habitat' Handicap Curragh · May 2014

£30,000

Notable horses

Split The Atom (IRE) That's Plenty (IRE) King of The Picts (IRE) Dancing Cosmos (IRE) Set In Stone (IRE) Prince Jock (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

The Carbon Unit (USA) 9.1% · 23–254

Progeny have won 8.2% of 682 runs since 2008 (44 horses).

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,563 runs since 2008 (871 horses).

Oratorio (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.

Famous Name (GB) 22.2% · 6–27

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,510 runs since 2008 (102 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Raven's Pass (USA) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,937 runs since 2008 (453 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 645 · newest first

The latest 50 of 645 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 March 2012 to 24 November 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) What Wonders Weave (IRE)J: Tom Madden Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 11/2

17 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Taexali (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Handicap5f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 12/1

25 Oct 17 Navan What Wonders Weave (IRE)J: Tom Madden Arkle Bar Handicap8f · Heavy · 18 ran 17th 8/1

25 Oct 17 Navan Taexali (IRE)J: Tom Madden Like Navan On Facebook Handicap6f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 9/2F

17 Oct 17 Leicester What Wonders Weave (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Stewards Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 5/1

17 Oct 17 Leicester Taexali (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Racing UK Autumn Sprint HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 10/1

08 Oct 17 Navan Warp Factor (IRE)J: Tom Madden New Troytown Bar Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 18 ran 1st 14/1

08 Oct 17 Navan Taexali (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Navanracecourse.ie Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 4th 7/1

01 Oct 17 Musselburgh Set In Stone (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Irish Stallions Farms EBF Scottish Premier Series Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 6/4F

16 Sep 17 Musselburgh What Wonders Weave (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Deuchers IPA HandicapClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

16 Sep 17 Gowran Park Ionization (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Group 3)9.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 11th 33/1

16 Sep 17 Musselburgh Set In Stone (IRE)J: Rowan Scott EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Scottish Premier Series Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 6/4F

10 Sep 17 Curragh The Tartan Spartan (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1)14f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 66/1

05 Sep 17 Hamilton Souls In The Wind (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Visit The All New racinguk.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 12/1

05 Sep 17 Hamilton What Wonders Weave (IRE)J: Rowan Scott BB Foodservice 'Hopes N Dreams' Selling StakesClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

05 Sep 17 Hamilton Farage (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Always Trying Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 4 ran 4th 40/1

02 Sep 17 Chester Warp Factor (IRE)J: Royston Ffrench Thyme People Staffing And Events HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 10/1

02 Sep 17 Chester Taexali (IRE)J: Royston Ffrench ThembnaTeam HandicapClass 2 · 5.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 25/1

02 Sep 17 Chester Sharp Defence (USA)J: Royston Ffrench Raymond & Kathleen Corbett Memorial HandicapClass 2 · 7.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 8/1

02 Sep 17 Chester The Tartan Spartan (IRE)J: Royston Ffrench corbettsports.com Chester Stakes (Listed Handicap)Class 1 · 13.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Patrick Shanahan's strike rate?: John Patrick Shanahan has won 75 of 645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Patrick Shanahan do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 21 wins from 116 runners (18.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Patrick Shanahan?: Tadhg O'Shea, with 161 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (16.8%).
What is John Patrick Shanahan's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 642 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.