What is Tom Molloy's strike rate?

Tom Molloy has won 47 of 592 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Molloy do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tom Molloy ride most for?

Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 171 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (11.7%).

What is Tom Molloy's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 591 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tom Molloy

592 rides in the lifetime window · 361 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2013 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

47–592

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=592

144 (24%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=591 · 0.85 incl. margin

−173.62

£1 level stake

n=592 at SP · −29.3%

£359k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (42 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 592 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.2% Nigel Twiston-Davies: 11.7% from 171 LTO winners: 23.8% Claiming: 8.9%

The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (16.7%, n=30), clear of the rider's 7.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.8% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.25), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=197, Fair A/E 0.84). Nigel Twiston-Davies supplied 29% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.7% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (11.8%, n=204). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 46 rides, 7.9pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.3%−1.6

n=350 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −110.63

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.8%+15.9

n=42 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +5.81

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.2%+0.3

n=134 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −15.90

When favourite

45.8%

n=24 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +7.01

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.9%+1.0

n=496 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −101.62

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−3.8

n=197 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −102.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.9

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.8% vs 7.9% · n=42

On Heavy going 0% vs 7.9% · n=46

At Stratford 16.7% vs 7.9% · n=30

In Class 1 0% vs 7.9% · n=34

Off a 15-30-day break 11.8% vs 7.9% · n=204

With Nigel Twiston-Davies 11.7% vs 7.9% · n=171

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 365 30 8.2% −93.63

Chase 137 10 7.3% −63.90

NH Flat 90 7 7.8% −16.09

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 223 20 9% −45.89

Good to Soft 135 9 6.7% −48.67

Soft 117 11 9.4% −12.18

Good to Firm 60 4 6.7% −33.38

Heavy 46 0 0% −46.00

Standard (AW) 8 2 25% +11.00

Firm 3 1 33.3% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 49 5 10.2% −29.01

Chepstow 34 4 11.8% +6.50

Cheltenham 32 2 6.3% +17.00

Towcester 32 2 6.3% +9.50

Stratford 30 5 16.7% +3.73

Huntingdon 27 2 7.4% −19.17

Wincanton 27 2 7.4% −3.50

Worcester 24 3 12.5% −6.50

Ludlow 23 1 4.3% −13.00

Kempton 22 2 9.1% −4.50

Southwell 21 2 9.5% −5.75

Warwick 21 2 9.5% −6.67

Fontwell 20 1 5% −3.00

Market Rasen 19 0 0% −19.00

Bangor-on-Dee 18 1 5.6% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 252 25 9.9% −74.52

Class 5 126 7 5.6% −42.13

Class 3 88 7 8% −21.88

Class 6 61 5 8.2% −31.09

Class 1 34 0 0% −34.00

Class 2 26 3 11.5% +35.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 13 32.5% 1.20 −0.49

2nd–3rd fav 92 13 14.1% 0.95 −7.13

4th–6th fav 194 13 6.7% 0.89 −60.00

7th+ in betting 266 8 3% 0.98 −106.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.1% completed · 502 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 137 78.8% 0 4 25 0 0

Hurdle 365 83.3% 6 4 51 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rory Boy (USA) 14 2 5 3 Mar 13

Harry Hunt (GB) 10 3 5 16 Nov 12

Billie Magern (GB) 8 4 4 27 Dec 11

Jay J (GB) 8 1 2 13 Apr 11

Clerk's Choice (IRE) 8 4 5 15 Mar 11

Have You Seen Me (IRE) 8 2 5 17 Jan 11

Ollie Magern (GB) 8 0 0 10 Apr 10

Samtheman (GB) 6 0 2 20 Feb 13

Lombardy Boy (IRE) 6 1 1 26 Dec 12

Wychwoods Mist (GB) 6 0 2 22 May 12

Presented (IRE) 5 0 3 30 Dec 12

Moulin Tour (FR) 5 0 1 11 Oct 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 361 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5577101114561578

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Twiston-Davies

29% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Twiston-Davies 171 20 11.7% −19.32

Graeme McPherson 113 10 8.8% −31.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£550k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Clerk's Choice (IRE) — Sportingbet.com Hurdle Cheltenham · Oct 2010 · Class 2

£31,310

Nudge And Nurdle (IRE) — Bet at Bluesquare.com Handicap Chase Sandown · Nov 2009 · Class 3

£12,524

Mrs Gillow (IRE) — Ladbrokes 1800 777 888 Handicap (60-90) Curragh · Jul 2006

£11,402

Notable horses

Billie Magern (GB) Clerk's Choice (IRE) Harry Hunt (GB) Danticat (USA) Rory Boy (USA) Artiste Bay (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alderbrook (GB) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).

Presenting (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Aldebaran (USA) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 13.8% of 305 runs since 2008 (15 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Bertolini (USA) 30% · 3–10

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 791 · newest first

The latest 50 of 791 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2005 to 10 March 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Mar 13 Market Rasen Sohcahtoa (IRE)T: Andrew Crook Double M Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 40/1

03 Mar 13 Sedgefield Rory Boy (USA)T: Andrew Crook Jardines Catering Handicap Hurdle (Sunday 5k Bonus Race)Class 4 · 27f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/1

20 Feb 13 Ludlow Samtheman (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Shukers Land Rover Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

18 Feb 13 Southwell Rory Boy (USA)T: Andrew Crook Money Back Racing Specials At Bookmakers.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 66/1

07 Feb 13 Doncaster Samtheman (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Eventmasters.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 5/1

04 Feb 13 Doncaster Emily's Flyer (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien 32red Casino Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1

15 Jan 13 Ffos Las Emily's Flyer (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien E.B.F. British Stallion Studs Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 9/2

12 Jan 13 Warwick Timesishard (IRE)T: Graeme McPherson Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Leamington Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 2)Class 1 · 21f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 66/1

09 Jan 13 Ludlow Queen Of Mantua (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien European Breeders' Fund/thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1

30 Dec 12 Taunton Bobbie Magern (GB)T: Graeme McPherson Totepool Mobile Cashback Text Tote To 89660 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 12/1

30 Dec 12 Taunton Presented (IRE)T: Graeme McPherson Bet Toteexacta At Totepool.com Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

29 Dec 12 Newbury Tickatack (IRE)T: Graeme McPherson Betfred Double Delight Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 20/1

26 Dec 12 Towcester Lombardy Boy (IRE)T: Michael Banks totepool Mobile Text Tote To 89660 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 16/1

18 Dec 12 Folkestone Artic Night (FR)T: Graeme McPherson Skelton Family Christmas Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 4/1

17 Dec 12 Ffos Las Presented (IRE)T: Graeme McPherson Argie's Coffee Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

16 Dec 12 Hereford Accordingtoeileen (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Steve Swanick Electrical Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 33/1

14 Dec 12 Bangor-on-Dee Earth Planet (IRE)T: Graeme McPherson Proactive Personnel Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 29.5f · Soft · 3 ran 3rd 3/1

09 Dec 12 Warwick Werenearlyoutofit (IRE)T: Graeme McPherson Connolly's Red Mills Bumper Challenge Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 10/3F

09 Dec 12 Warwick Perfect Reward (GB)T: Graeme McPherson Betfred 'when Both Teams Score' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 28/1

04 Dec 12 Towcester Artic Night (FR)T: Graeme McPherson Best Racing Blogs On gg.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Molloy's strike rate?: Tom Molloy has won 47 of 592 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Molloy do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Molloy ride most for?: Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 171 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (11.7%).
What is Tom Molloy's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 591 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.