1:35 Killarney
This 1m0f30y Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden features an 11-runner field of largely unexposed three-year-olds on yielding to soft ground. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Saliba on 57 with a cluster on 50-52, underlining a race where progressive maiden form and trip suitability will be key. With the official ratings also compressed among those that have one, the contest looks competitive and open on paper.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is tentative with medium confidence, suggesting a possible front-runner but on thin evidence overall. Gliondar has the most forward run-style as a front-runner on limited evidence, while Sron Na Caise and Karrygrant tend to race prominently. Most of the field, including the selection Saliba, Fleur De Provence, Will You Stop, Palina and Xirivella, are held-up types who produce their effort late, so the key question is whether the race develops enough pace to allow the closers to be effective or whether it becomes a muddling affair that favours those closer to the speed.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Saliba KTB Selection57/100
Saliba is a fair performer who has shown consistent form across his four starts, most recently finishing second. He drops back to 1m having been placed at the distance without winning, which looks a sensible move though it remains to be seen how he handles it. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Killarney from 499 runs with an A/E of 0.65, while the jockey has a solid 15% record at the track from 27 rides with an A/E of 1.38. He is held up, usually producing his effort late, with medium confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that element is unproven, and he has no course form on record. With an OR of 80 and recent form figures of 3652 he is the KTB selection.
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2Gliondar52/100
Gliondar is a lightly raced colt with just two runs behind him and a recent second over a longer trip. He drops back to 1m where he has already shown placed form from his one attempt at the distance. The trainer has an 18% strike rate at Killarney from 457 runs with an A/E of 0.95, while the jockey operates at 8% from 76 rides with an A/E of 0.92. He tends to make the running or race on the pace, though that assessment is based on limited evidence with low confidence. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, and he has no course form on record. His recent form figures read 25.
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3Emberelle50/100
Emberelle has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing eighth and then last. The drop back to 1m looks a logical move after her latest effort over further but the bare form remains modest and the small sample means there is not much else to go on. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at Killarney from 481 runs with an A/E of 1.19, while the jockey's 7% record at the track from 201 rides carries an A/E of 0.65. She typically settles in midfield with medium confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, and she has no course form on record. Her recent form figures read 80.
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4Fleur De Provence50/100
Fleur De Provence is a fair performer who has been consistent in four runs this year, finishing no worse than third. She drops back to a trip at which she has already been placed twice, though the shorter distance now asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 23% strike rate at Killarney from 417 runs with an A/E of 1.01, while the jockey's 10% rate from 334 rides carries an A/E of 0.89. She is usually held up and produces her effort late with medium confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, and she has no course form on record. With an OR of 76 her recent form figures read 2293.
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5Will You Stop50/100
Will You Stop is a fair performer who has shown bits of promise in five starts but failed to build on a solid third at this track last time when well held in two subsequent runs. He is dropping back from 1m2f to a trip he has tried once before without success while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at Killarney from 164 runs with an A/E of 1.06, while the jockey has an 8% record from 96 rides with an A/E of 0.87. He is usually held up and produces his effort late with high confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, and he has no course form on record. Carrying an OR of 76 his recent form figures read 53487.
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6Caspian49/100
Caspian is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The trainer has a 0% strike rate at Killarney from 1 run with an A/E of 0, while the jockey has a 50% strike rate from 2 rides with an A/E of 2.18. There is no course win on record and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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7Palina49/100
Palina is a lightly raced filly who showed some promise when third on debut over 1m2½f. She drops back in trip to a distance she has not tried, which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer has an 8% strike rate at Killarney from 26 runs with an A/E of 1.03, while the jockey operates at 9% from 378 rides with an A/E of 0.79. She is usually held up and produces her effort late on limited evidence with low confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, and she has no course form on record. Her recent form figures read 3.
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8Sron Na Caise45/100
Sron Na Caise is a modest performer who has shown some consistency lately with form figures of 460423 and was a clear second over C&D on his only previous visit here. He steps up from 7f today having already placed once at this trip. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Killarney from 116 runs with an A/E of 0.92, while the jockey has an 11% record from 390 rides with an A/E of 0.82. He usually races handily, on or close to the lead, with medium confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, though he has placed once here without winning.
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9Karrygrant44/100
Karrygrant is a fair 3-year-old with solid recent form including three consecutive seconds and consistent placings at this trip in all four attempts. He has handled yielding to soft ground, placing once from one run, and now tries first-time headgear. The trainer has a 7% strike rate at Killarney from 71 runs with an A/E of 0.51, while the jockey has a 3% record from 92 rides with an A/E of 0.29. He usually races handily, on or close to the lead, with medium confidence in that assessment. With an OR of 77 his recent form figures read 453232.
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10Private Peaceful43/100
Private Peaceful is a lightly raced colt who has shown only modest form in two starts at this trip. He ran sixth on his only visit to Killarney and has yet to place. The trainer has a 6% strike rate at Killarney from 368 runs with an A/E of 0.63, while the jockey has a 7% record from 29 rides with an A/E of 0.54. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven. His recent form figures read 65.
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11Xirivella39/100
Xirivella is a modest performer who has shown consistent form this year, finishing in the first three on three of her five starts. She has been placed at this trip on three of four attempts and holds strong course connections through her trainer. The yard has an 11% strike rate at Killarney from 245 runs with an A/E of 0.64, while the jockey has a 5% record from 22 rides with an A/E of 0.6. She is usually held up and produces her effort late with high confidence in that assessment. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so that is unproven, and she has no course form on record. Carrying an OR of 70 her recent form figures read 63352.
KTB verdict
Saliba is the KTB selection. He has shown consistent form across four starts, most recently finishing second, and drops back to 1m having already been placed at the distance without winning. The combination of his fair level of ability, the trainer and jockey's respective records at the track and his held-up run-style that should suit if the tentative pace materialises all point to him. His main dangers are Gliondar, who brings lightly raced potential and placed form at the trip, and Fleur De Provence, whose consistency and placed efforts at this distance make her a solid contender, while Will You Stop cannot be entirely ruled out with the first-time headgear applied.
KTB Selection Saliba
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Saliba | 11/2 | Bet Victor |
| Gliondar | 10/11 | Bet365 |
| Emberelle | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Fleur De Provence | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Will You Stop | 10/1 | BetTom |
| Caspian | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| Palina | 20/1 | Bet Victor |
| Sron Na Caise | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Karrygrant | 5/1 | Bet Victor |
| Private Peaceful | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Xirivella | 20/1 | Bet Victor |
This is the narrative read of the 1:35 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Killarney results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its racecourse debut in this field?
Caspian is the debutant with no racecourse experience.
Who has the strongest trainer strike rate at Killarney among the principals?
D K Weld has a 23% strike rate at Killarney from 417 runs with an A/E of 1.01 for Fleur De Provence.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Will You Stop and Karrygrant are both wearing first-time headgear.
Which horse has already placed over the course and distance?
Sron Na Caise was a clear second over C&D on his only previous visit here.
Which horse has previous experience of yielding to soft ground?
Karrygrant has placed once from one run on yielding to soft ground.
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