1:47 Redcar
This Class 6 nursery handicap at Redcar over an extended seven furlongs on good to firm ground features a field of ten two-year-olds where the KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top end. Hope of Acklam heads the ratings on 52, closely followed by Dakota Brave and Son of A Fish on 50, with the remainder trailing off modestly from there. The Easterby yard supplies two runners while several trainers have modest records at the track, and most of the field are unproven or yet to show their hand over this trip.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. With the majority of the field, including all five principals, tending to be held up and produce their efforts late, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace. The key question is whether any horse can quicken effectively off a modest gallop over this stiffening trip on fast ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Hope of Acklam KTB Selection52/100
Hope of Acklam is a modest performer who has shown some ability in three starts, most notably when finishing second over 7f here last time. He now steps up to a mile which asks a fresh question, though he drops in class having already placed at this course. The Easterby yard has a modest 5% strike rate at Redcar from 161 runs with an A/E of 0.56. Billy Garritty takes the ride with a 12% strike rate at the track from 90 rides and an A/E of 1.17. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 8 on ground on which he is as yet unproven.
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2Dakota Brave50/100
Dakota Brave has shown modest form in five runs this year, finishing no better than third and looking limited at this level on recent evidence. He too steps up to a mile today which asks a fresh question. Trainer Charlie Johnston has a solid 14% strike rate from 78 runs at Redcar with an A/E of 0.94, while jockey Connor Beasley is making his first appearance at the track. The pair hold a combined trainer-jockey record of 26/140 with an A/E of 1.16. Usually held up, Dakota Brave is drawn in stall 3 and has shown no win or place from two runs on good to firm.
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3Son of A Fish50/100
Son of A Fish is a modest maiden who has shown ordinary form in four runs, finishing no closer than third. He steps up to a mile for the first time today having failed to make an impact on his one previous try at the trip. Trainer Richard Hannon has a solid 17% strike rate from 60 runs at Redcar with an A/E of 1.11. Paul Mulrennan is aboard with a 9% strike rate at the track from 855 rides and an A/E of 0.81. The trainer-jockey combination reads 0/10 with an A/E of 0.00. Usually held up on the balance of limited evidence, he is drawn in stall 5 and has two runs on good to firm without a win or place.
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4Lopefernza44/100
Lopefernza is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date and now steps up to a trip he has never tried. The yard's modest record at Redcar, standing at 4% strike rate from 49 runs with an A/E of 0.43, offers no encouragement. Trainer and jockey hold a combined record of 1/31 with an A/E of 0.35. David Probert rides with a 12% strike rate at the track from 17 rides and an A/E of 0.97. Unproven on good to firm ground and with only modest data confidence available, he is drawn in stall 4.
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5Astral Calling41/100
Astral Calling is a limited performer who has shown a bit more lately, finishing second of ten at this trip last time out. Drawn wide in stall 10 and yet to prove himself on fast ground, he remains vulnerable on balance. Trainer K R Burke has an 11% strike rate from 417 runs at Redcar with an A/E of 0.77 while 3lb claimer Jack Nicholls is making his first appearance at the track. The trainer-jockey record stands at 16/130 with an A/E of 0.72. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has two runs on good to firm without a win or place.
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6King of Persia40/100
King of Persia has shown only modest form in four runs to date and looks limited on the balance of his ratings. He steps up to a mile for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. The Tim Easterby yard has an 8% strike rate from 2356 runs at Redcar with an A/E of 0.77 while David Allan has a solid record at the track. Usually held up on limited evidence, he has two runs on good to firm without a win or place.
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7Craven Force38/100
Craven Force is a limited sort who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing seventh of ten on debut then well beaten twice since. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer's modest record at the track, 5% strike rate from 44 runs with an A/E of 0.43, adds little encouragement. Unproven on good to firm, he is drawn low in stall 2.
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8Right Up My Ali35/100
Right Up My Ali is a limited sort who has shown very little in three starts to date, finishing no better than eighth. He steps up to a mile for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Redcar from 107 runs with an A/E of 0.55 adds little confidence. Usually held up, he has one previous run here when eighth and remains unproven on good to firm.
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9Wells Fargo Stage34/100
Wells Fargo Stage is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date, finishing no closer than ninth. He steps up to a mile for the first time today while wearing first-time headgear. Trainer Tim Easterby has an 8% strike rate from over 2,000 runs at Redcar with an A/E of 0.77. Usually held up, he has one previous run here when tenth and has two runs on good to firm without a win or place.
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10Diplomacy32/100
Diplomacy is a limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date. He steps up to a mile for the first time having been well held over 7f on both latest outings. Trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Redcar from 161 runs with an A/E of 0.56 adds no encouragement. He has two runs on good to firm without a win or place.
KTB verdict
Hope of Acklam is the KTB Selection. He has already shown placed form over 7f at this track and now drops in class while stepping up in trip, with the Easterby team and Billy Garritty holding respectable jockey records here despite the yard's modest course strike rate. The steadily-run race should suit his held-up style if he can find the necessary improvement for the extra furlong. Main dangers are Dakota Brave and Son of A Fish, both dropping in class with solid yard course stats, though both also have questions to answer at the mile. Astral Calling's recent second gives him claims if he can overcome the wide draw and unproven ground.
KTB Selection Hope of Acklam
This is the narrative read of the 1:47 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is dropping in class and has already placed over 7f at Redcar?
Hope of Acklam, who finished second here last time.
How many of the principals are usually held up?
All five principals tend to be held up and produce their effort late.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Wells Fargo Stage.
What is the combined trainer-jockey strike rate at Redcar for the yard of the selection?
The Easterby yard has a 5% strike rate at Redcar from 161 runs with an A/E of 0.56.
Which two horses are making their first appearance at Redcar as jockeys?
Connor Beasley riding Dakota Brave and Jack Nicholls riding Astral Calling.
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