2:10 Catterick
This Class 6 handicap division at Catterick over 5f 212y on soft ground brings together a field of ten limited performers, where the KTB Fit scores range tightly from 54 down to 34. Recent form is mixed and the official ratings sit between 46 and 58, indicating a modest contest in which progression or a return to form could prove decisive. The KTB numbers point to a race that may be decided by those who can race prominently in a muddling, tactical affair.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical, favouring those capable of racing close to the lead or in prominent positions. My Mate Mackley and Eldeyaar both tend to race handily, while Sweet Desire is also usually prominent; these could set a steady tempo that allows them to dictate matters. Held-up runners such as Knicks, Mayflower Rock and Winter Crown will be looking to come from off the pace, but in a tactical race the key question is whether those ridden closer to the speed can maintain their advantage on this soft surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1My Mate Mackley KTB Selection54/100
My Mate Mackley arrives in excellent heart, having shown improved form of late with two wins in its last four starts, one of them at this trip. Though officially rated 56 it remains a limited performer and has not achieved a great deal on soft ground from its one attempt. The yard has a 0% strike rate at Catterick from a small sample of one run, but the 19% trainer-jockey record offers some encouragement. Taryn Langley takes the ride with a 20% strike rate at the track from five rides. Usually prominent, the three-year-old should be able to race handily from draw 8 in a race that is likely to suit those close to the pace. Its recent form figures of 324411 underline the progress made.
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2Knicks52/100
Knicks is a limited performer who has been on the go for a long time and often struggles to land the blows. He has placed once from three runs at Catterick and holds a 1-6 record on soft ground, recording one win and three places from six starts on the surface. Recent form has been patchy with figures of 427304, and he steps back up in trip today from an official rating of 58. The Easterby yard posts an 11% strike rate with Joanna Mason, whose own Catterick record stands at 12% from 164 rides. Usually held up, he will be produced late in what is likely to be a tactical affair.
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3Ski Angel51/100
Ski Angel is a limited performer who has shown little at this track on her one previous visit, finishing seventh. Carrying an official rating of 47, she has two wins from five runs on soft ground and three places from six starts at today's trip, though she steps up in distance today. Recent form of 870225 shows a couple of placed efforts but she remains modest. The yard's 3% strike rate at Catterick from 33 runs is in line with their record elsewhere, yet Clifford Lee brings a strong 22% strike rate at the venue from 100 rides. She typically settles in midfield.
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4Mayflower Rock49/100
Mayflower Rock is a limited performer who has shown little improvement across nine runs and remains winless. He has a placed effort on this track from one visit and has handled soft ground, though six runs at today's trip have produced no win or place. Recent form reads 736446 from an official rating of 46. The Cunha yard records a healthy 24% strike rate at Catterick from 17 runs, and Jack Callan has a 20% strike rate at the track from five rides. Usually held up, the three-year-old will need to produce its effort late in a muddling race.
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5Eldeyaar44/100
Eldeyaar is a limited performer who has been running to form without winning lately, with figures of 385239. He has won at Catterick from three starts and holds a solid record on soft ground with two wins and three places from six runs. Dropping back to a trip he has won over five times from 47 starts looks the right move. The yard's modest 4% strike rate at the track from 76 runs is in line with overall record, while Cam Hardie has a 4% strike rate at Catterick from 323 rides. Usually prominent, he should race handily from draw 5.
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6Winter Crown42/100
Winter Crown is a limited performer who has won twice at today's trip but has otherwise struggled to make an impact. Only one run at Catterick resulted in a midfield finish and the yard's 3% strike rate here is in line with their record elsewhere. Placed once from five starts on soft ground but recent form of 09-867 offers little encouragement. Usually held up.
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7Suzette42/100
Suzette is a limited performer who has shown little spark this year and ran no better than midfield on her only previous visit to Catterick. She has won once from five starts on soft ground and the yard's 7% strike rate at the track is in line with their record elsewhere. The trip has also produced no wins or places from three attempts. Typically settles in midfield.
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8Profiteer41/100
Profiteer is a limited performer who has been out of form for most of this year and finished well beaten on his last three starts. He has placed twice from four runs at Catterick and holds an official rating of 49, while the trainer records a 12% strike rate here from 1,955 runs which sits above their 9% at other tracks. He acts on soft ground with two wins from six starts and has been placed without winning at today's trip. Typically settles in midfield.
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9Container Express36/100
Container Express is a limited performer who has shown ordinary form at best this year, finishing no better than fifth on his last four starts. He has already tried Catterick once without placing and has failed to win or place in two runs on soft ground. Dropping back to a trip he has won at before is the main positive in a race where his overall ability looks modest. Typically settles in midfield.
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10Sweet Desire34/100
Sweet Desire is a limited performer who has shown little in five runs this year and arrives off the back of a poor recent form line of 04860. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 11 runs at Catterick. Steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous attempts at this distance. Usually races handily.
KTB verdict
My Mate Mackley stands out as the KTB Selection. It has shown genuine improvement of late with two wins in its last four starts, one of them over this trip, and its prominent run-style is well suited to the anticipated muddling, tactical pace. While it has achieved little on soft ground from a single attempt and the yard's Catterick record is based on a small sample, its recent form gives it the edge. The main dangers are Eldeyaar, who brings a good Catterick record and a strong soft-ground profile while dropping back to a suitable trip, and Knicks, who has placed at the track and possesses solid form on the going despite patchy recent efforts. Ski Angel and Mayflower Rock add further depth to a modest but competitive race.
KTB Selection My Mate Mackley
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:02am, 27 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| My Mate Mackley | 2/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Knicks | 10/3 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Ski Angel | 9/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Mayflower Rock | 9/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Eldeyaar | 17/2 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Winter Crown | 25/1 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Suzette | 7/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Profiteer | 17/2 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Container Express | 25/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Sweet Desire | 12/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
This is the narrative read of the 2:10 Catterick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Catterick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Catterick results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Catterick racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent winning record at this trip?
My Mate Mackley has shown improved form lately with two wins in its last four starts including success at this trip.
How many course wins does Eldeyaar have at Catterick?
Eldeyaar has won here from three starts.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Catterick for the yard of Mayflower Rock?
The trainer records a 24% strike rate at Catterick.
Which runners are described as limited performers with soft-ground wins?
Knicks holds a 1-6 record on soft ground, Ski Angel has two wins from five runs on soft ground, Eldeyaar holds a solid record on soft ground with two wins and three places from six runs, Suzette has won once from five starts on soft ground, and Profiteer acts on soft ground with two wins from six starts.
Which horse is stepping back in trip after a recent run over further?
Knicks steps back up in trip today.
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