4:44 Ffos Las
This Class 6 handicap division at Ffos Las over a mile on soft ground brings together a field of ten limited performers, most of whom have been in and out of form through the season. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Desiderata heading the numbers on 65, followed closely by Benavente on 63, while the remainder sit between 50 and 39. With no obvious front-runner in a steadily-run, tactical race, the ability to produce a late effort from a handy position looks set to be important.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of natural leader and points to a steadily-run affair in which being handy should pay. Most of the field are held-up types who produce their effort late, so the key question is whether any horse can get into a workable position early enough without using too much energy in a tactical contest. With draw and track position likely to matter on soft ground, those who can weave a path from mid-division or off the pace may hold the advantage as the race unfolds.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Desiderata KTB Selection65/100
Desiderata arrives as the KTB Selection with a Fit rating of 65. This limited performer has been in and out of form this year and brings a recent record of 261315. He drops back to a trip at which he has won twice from seven attempts, while the trainer maintains a solid 18% strike rate at Ffos Las from 22 runs with an A/E of 1.45. The jockey has a 13% strike rate at the track from eight rides with an A/E of 1.5, though the horse has only one run on soft ground which offered little encouragement. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 10, he will need to time his run well in what is expected to be a tactical race.
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2Benavente63/100
Benavente is rated just behind on a KTB Fit of 63. This limited performer has been in and out this year and arrives off the back of a poor effort last time. He drops back to his winning trip today having looked stretched over 1m2f last time out, though he has only one run on soft ground to date. The trainer has a solid 14% strike rate at Ffos Las from seven runs with an A/E of 1.15, while the jockey boasts a 25% strike rate at the track from 16 rides with an A/E of 1.77. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 6, he is dropping in class and could be suited by the steadily-run nature of the race.
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3Kaleidoscope Eyes50/100
Kaleidoscope Eyes is next on a KTB Fit of 50. This limited horse has won twice here from five runs and also has two wins at today's trip. Recent form is mixed but includes a win and a second in the last six outings. The trainer has a modest 9% strike rate at the track from 513 runs with an A/E of 0.84, while the jockey is 0-9 at Ffos Las. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 9, he has two runs on soft ground without winning or placing, yet his course record makes him one to consider in a race lacking a clear pace leader.
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4Revich48/100
Revich holds a KTB Fit of 48. This limited performer has been consistent enough in recent starts without winning, bringing a recent record of 634336. He has placed here before from one run and holds a respectable record on soft ground with one win from nine starts and two places. The trainer has a modest 8% strike rate at Ffos Las from 122 runs with an A/E of 0.7, while the jockey has a 10% strike rate at the track from 118 rides with an A/E of 0.73. Usually held up and producing his effort late from a favourable draw of 2, he drops back from 1m3½f to 1m which asks a fresh question.
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5Naval Ensign47/100
Naval Ensign is rated 47 on KTB Fit. This limited horse has been in and out of form this year and ran respectably when sixth at Windsor last time. He is dropping in class and makes his first appearance at Ffos Las today, while he has never tackled soft ground so both those factors are unknowns. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate at the track from 137 runs with an A/E of 0.79, and the jockey has a 6% strike rate at Ffos Las from 16 rides with an A/E of 0.82. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 3, he will need to overcome several question marks.
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6Yoko46/100
Yoko has a KTB Fit of 46. This limited performer has shown some ability on this track, finishing second and fourth from two starts here. She steps up to 1m for the first time today having looked stretched at 7f last time, which asks a fresh question of her, while she has no runs on soft ground. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate from 20 runs at Ffos Las with an A/E of 0.73 and the jockey has a 12% strike rate at the track from 34 rides with an A/E of 0.81. Usually held up from draw 1.
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7King of The Dance45/100
King of The Dance has a KTB Fit of 45. This limited performer has won once at this track from ten runs and holds a respectable record on soft ground with one win and two places from five starts. He has also won at today's trip though his overall strike rate is modest. The trainer operates at a 9% strike rate here from 513 runs with an A/E of 0.84, while the jockey has a 20% strike rate at Ffos Las from 269 rides with an A/E of 1.07. Usually held up from draw 8.
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8Arvana Belle45/100
Arvana Belle has a KTB Fit of 45. This limited performer has been placed on both starts over this trip and on both visits to Ffos Las. She has shown consistent form on soft ground without winning, being placed on both of two starts, and her recent efforts have been respectable in this grade. The trainer holds a solid 16% strike rate at the track from 246 runs with an A/E of 1.03, while the jockey has a 15% strike rate at Ffos Las from 65 rides with an A/E of 0.82. Usually held up from draw 5.
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9Marisitta40/100
Marisitta is rated 40 on KTB Fit. This limited performer has shown enough to be competitive at this level without winning often. She has placed on soft ground, being placed once from four starts, and at this trip though she steps up from 7f today which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a modest 8% strike rate here from 111 runs with an A/E of 0.79, while the jockey has a 12% strike rate at Ffos Las from 52 rides with an A/E of 1.06. Run-style is held up though with only medium confidence from draw 4.
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10Freedom Bay39/100
Freedom Bay has a KTB Fit of 39. This limited performer has shown just modest ability in 17 starts and looks no better than that on recent form. He has won over this trip but is 0 from 2 on soft ground and the yard has failed to score from five runners at Ffos Las. First run here today adds another unknown. Usually held up from draw 7.
KTB verdict
Desiderata is the KTB Selection and sets the standard with a Fit rating of 65 in a race full of limited performers. He has winning form at the trip, the trainer has a strong record at Ffos Las, and the steadily-run pace should suit his held-up style if he can time his run from draw 10. Benavente is the most obvious danger as he drops back to his winning trip and is also held up, while Kaleidoscope Eyes cannot be dismissed given his two course wins and recent placed form. Revich and Naval Ensign add depth but both carry question marks over the drop in trip and the unknown of the ground respectively.
KTB Selection Desiderata
This is the narrative read of the 4:44 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ffos Las results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best trainer record at Ffos Las among the principals?
Desiderata's trainer has an 18% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 1.45 from 22 runs.
How many of the field have previous course wins at Ffos Las?
Kaleidoscope Eyes has won twice here from five runs and King of The Dance has won once here from ten runs.
Which horses have placed on soft ground?
Revich has one win from nine on soft with two places, Arvana Belle has been placed on both of two starts on soft, Marisitta has been placed once from four on soft, and King of The Dance has one win and two places from five on soft.
Who has the strongest jockey record at the track?
Nicola Currie has a 25% strike rate at Ffos Las from 16 rides with an A/E of 1.77.
Which runner is stepping up in trip for the first time?
Yoko steps up to 1m for the first time today having looked stretched at 7f last time.
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