Thomas Faulkner
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (15.2%, n=145), clear of the yard's 9.7% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +41.50 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Robert Havlin rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (17%, n=106) and off a 31-60-day break (15.2%, n=79). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 2.4% over 41 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Prince Ali (GB) — 5 wins from 21 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 362 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 362 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 August 2024 to 15 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Thomas Faulkner's strike rate?
- Thomas Faulkner has won 35 of 362 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Thomas Faulkner do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 145 runners (15.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Thomas Faulkner?
- Robert Havlin, with 83 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.8%).
- Is Thomas Faulkner in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Thomas Faulkner's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 362 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.