4:50 Ayr

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Jannas Journey KTB Selection60/100

   Form 481493 · Jim Goldie · Lauren Young(5)

   Jannas Journey arrives with a KTB Fit Score of 60 and is the selection. A 5-year-old with five wins from nine starts at Ayr, he clearly relishes this track and has shown he can win on soft ground with one success and two places from four attempts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in a race where the leader may get an easy time up front. The combination of Jim Goldie and Lauren Young carries a 12% strike-rate together, and the yard's 10% record at Ayr adds further context. Recent form of 481493 suggests he remains competitive at this level, and everything points to him being suited by the conditions and the track.

2. 2Dwindling Funds59/100

   Form 422196 · Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan

   Dwindling Funds is rated just a point behind on KTB Fit at 59. Like the selection he is trained by Jim Goldie and has a fine record at Ayr, with five wins from 13 starts here. He has also shown a liking for soft ground, winning once and placing on three of four attempts. Usually held up, he will be another looking to come from off the pace in what is likely to be a race with an uncontested leader. The trainer-jockey combination with Paul Mulrennan shows a 17% strike-rate, and the yard's 10% record at the track is noted. His recent form figures of 422196 indicate he remains in reasonable order and he should be thereabouts if the race shape plays out as expected.

3. 3Cotai Belle58/100

   Form 222243 · Richard & Peter Fahey · Warren Fentiman(3)

   Cotai Belle is a 3-year-old dropping in class with a KTB Fit Score of 58. She has been largely consistent of late with form figures of 222243, suggesting she is performing at a fair level. Usually held up and producing her effort late with high confidence, she will need to bridge the gap to the leaders in a race likely to be run with one clear leader. The Richard and Peter Fahey yard has a strong 14% strike-rate at Ayr, though the jockey Warren Fentiman is less proven here with a 4% record. She has no experience of soft ground and no course form, which are the main unknowns, yet her progressive profile makes her one of the more interesting contenders.

4. 4Classy Clarets57/100

   Form 111121 · Iain Jardine · Tom Marquand

   Classy Clarets steps up in class having shown strong recent form with figures of 111121. A 5-year-old with a KTB Fit of 57, he is clearly in good heart and boasts a 22% strike-rate for Tom Marquand at Ayr. He has course experience, having been placed on two of three starts here without winning, and the yard has an 11% record at the track. Usually held up, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he will be coming from the rear in a race with an uncontested leader. His record on soft ground is limited to one unplaced run, so that remains a slight question mark, yet his current winning streak gives him obvious claims.

5. 5Quest For Fun56/100

   Form 553032 · Tim Easterby · David Allan

   Quest For Fun is an 8-year-old dropping in class with a KTB Fit Score of 56. He has won once from three starts at Ayr and has shown he can be competitive on soft ground, placing on three of six attempts without winning. Usually held up with high confidence, his run-style aligns with the majority of the field and will see him delivered late. The Tim Easterby and David Allan partnership has an 11% strike-rate at the track, and the yard's overall Ayr record stands at 11%. Recent form of 553032 shows he remains capable at this sort of level, and his course knowledge should stand him in good stead.

6. 6Blakefell56/100

   Form 163223 · Ivan Furtado · Jason Hart

   Blakefell is a 3-year-old usually held up with high confidence and has shown he can handle soft ground by placing on his only attempt. The Ivan Furtado yard has a modest 5% record at Ayr, though Jason Hart is more proven with a 14% strike-rate here.

7. 7Son54/100

   Form 406235 · Tim Easterby · David Egan

   Son is a 5-year-old usually held up with medium confidence and has placed once from three runs on soft ground. Tim Easterby has an 11% strike-rate at Ayr, but David Egan has a lower 8% record at the track.

8. 8Viper53/100

   Form 732196 · Brian Ellison · Oisin Orr

   Viper is the sole front-runner in the field and should be able to set an uncontested lead. A 3-year-old with no experience of soft ground, the Brian Ellison yard has a 12% record at Ayr, though Oisin Orr is less effective here with a 9% strike-rate.

9. 9Gweedore51/100

   Form 704000 · Katie Scott · Tom Eaves

   Gweedore is a 9-year-old with a strong record on soft ground, winning three times and placing on five occasions from 11 starts. He has also won five times from ten starts at Ayr, though his recent form of 704000 is modest.

10. 10King's School48/100

    Form 312585 · Gemma Tutty · Conor Whiteley(5)

    King's School is a 5-year-old with no experience of soft ground and no course form at Ayr. The Gemma Tutty yard has a 14% strike-rate at the track, but the overall profile leaves him with plenty to prove.

11. 11Selection43/100

    Form 675254 · Ivan Furtado · Alex Jary(3)

    Selection is stepping up in class and was fourth on his only start at Ayr. A 4-year-old usually held up with medium confidence, he has one unplaced run on soft ground and the Ivan Furtado yard has a 5% record at the track.

12. 12Sailthisshipalone41/100

    Form 439331 · Ivan Furtado · Marco Ghiani

    Sailthisshipalone is stepping up in class but has won once from two starts at Ayr and boasts a solid record on soft ground with two wins and four places from six attempts. The Ivan Furtado yard has a 5% strike-rate at the track and Marco Ghiani is yet to score from five rides here.