5:23 Redcar
This Class 6 amateur jockeys' handicap at Redcar over 1m2f1y on good ground brings together a field of 14 modest performers, several of whom have shown placed form at the track without winning. The KTB Fit Scores identify Jam Lass as the clear top pick on 68, with Alazwar, Cosmic Man, Boy Named Sioux and Woodleigh completing the principals in a race where class-droppers and course specialists feature prominently. Overall the numbers point to a contest that should be decided by which of the hold-up performers can capitalise if the pace collapses late.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace shape is likely to be strong, as indicated by the high-confidence assessment. Star Start and Eeetee are both inclined to race prominently or make the running, which sets up the possibility of the leaders coming back to the field in the straight. This shape therefore poses the key question of whether any of the numerous hold-up horses can time their effort to pick up the pieces when the front end folds.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Jam Lass KTB Selection68/100
Jam Lass is a modest performer who has won once here from two runs and also has a win on good ground from just two attempts. She drops back from 1m4f to a trip she has won over before, which looks a sensible move on the figures. The yard records a solid 12% strike-rate at Redcar from a decent sample of 84 runs while the jockey has a 33% strike rate at the track from only three rides, giving an A/E of 3.48. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is drawn in stall 10 and steps back to a more suitable distance in this lower grade. Recent form of 96-734 suggests she remains competitive at this level.
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2Alazwar57/100
Alazwar is a modest performer who arrives in decent form having won two of his last three starts. He has a solid record at today's trip and has won on good ground, though the wide draw in stall 12 is far from ideal. Trainer Archie Watson and jockey Miss Brodie Hampson both have good strike rates at Redcar, with the yard posting 21% from 91 runs and the rider 20% from 10 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he steps out from an OR of 61 in a race where his recent sequence of 900211 underlines his current competitiveness. The combination of trainer and jockey stats at the venue adds to his claims.
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3Cosmic Man55/100
Cosmic Man is a modest performer who has shown his best form here at Redcar, finishing a solid third on his only previous run at the track. He has placed on good ground and at today's trip without winning, though he drops back from 1m3f last time. Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 12% strike rate from 739 runs at the course while jockey Mr James Hills has no recorded rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late from stall 7, he steps into this lower grade off an OR of 60. His recent form of 908733 indicates he is competitive at this level when the race falls his way.
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4Boy Named Sioux53/100
Boy Named Sioux is a modest performer who has been largely out of his depth this season and showed little spark in six starts since May. He has already tried this trip twice without success and steps up in distance again today while carrying a 7lb claimer who is yet to trouble the judge from 11 rides at Redcar. The yard have a solid 18% strike-rate here from 28 runs but the horse's own course effort was poor, finishing tenth, and his record on good ground remains unconvincing from three runs. Usually held up and producing his effort late from stall 6, his recent form of 579087 offers limited encouragement at this level.
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5Woodleigh50/100
Woodleigh is a limited performer who has won three times at this trip including once here from seven starts. Has shown enough in recent runs to suggest he can be competitive again from stall one but his overall record in this grade is modest. Trainer Roger Fell has a solid 14% strike-rate at the track from 229 runs though the jockey has had too few rides here to judge from a single ride. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he drops in class off an OR of 58 with recent form of 451625. His three course wins at this trip mark him out as one for the shortlist.
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6Sweet Kiss48/100
Sweet Kiss is a modest performer who has been knocking at the door without winning lately, finishing second twice here at Redcar plus a string of respectable placed efforts. She has won on good ground and at today's trip, though her overall strike-rate remains ordinary. Trainer's modest record at the track is offset by the jockey's solid 13% strike-rate from limited rides here while she drops in class from stall 4.
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7Pedro The Poet47/100
Pedro The Poet is a modest performer who has shown some spark on this track, finishing second here on his only visit. He steps up in trip today having looked stretched at shorter distances lately and his recent form is patchy at best. Trainer has yet to strike at Redcar from six runs while the jockey has only one ride at the track so far.
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8Electric Arc47/100
Electric Arc is a modest performer who has shown steady but unspectacular form in three starts, finishing third of six on his most recent outing. He is now tried in first-time headgear over a trip he has already tackled without success, which asks a fresh question at this level. George Boughey has a solid 30% strike rate at Redcar from 46 runs while the jockey has only one ride here so far.
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9Masekela45/100
Masekela is a limited performer who has shown his best at this track with a second and a fourth from two runs. He drops back from 1m4f to a trip where he has placed without winning and acts on good ground. Trainer's modest record at Redcar adds little confidence while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.
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10Star Start45/100
Star Start is a limited handicapper who has been in and out of form this year with a recent sequence of 212064. He has run twice at Redcar without placing and steps up in trip today having won five times from 27 starts at this distance. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey has had too few rides at the track to judge. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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11Haltonwood43/100
Haltonwood is a limited performer who has shown only modest form across six runs, including two tries at this trip without success. The wide draw in stall 15 adds another negative on a track where the trainer has a solid 11% strike rate from 103 runs. The 5 lb claimer has too few rides here to judge.
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12Eeetee42/100
Eeetee is a limited horse who has won four times at this track from ten runs and also has four wins over today's trip. He steps up in distance today having last run over a mile and his recent form of 80-898 is modest. The trainer has a 3% strike rate from 396 runs at Redcar while the jockey has only four rides here which is too small a sample to judge. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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13Kitsune Power39/100
Kitsune Power is a limited performer who has been running to form without winning lately. He has placed here without success from six runs and holds a solid record on good ground with two wins from 17 starts. He has also won at this trip though the wide draw in stall 14 is far from ideal.
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14Tiberio Force35/100
Tiberio Force is a limited performer who has won once at this trip but has struggled for consistency lately with recent form reading 789137. At this track he has been well beaten on all three starts and the trainer's poor 2% strike-rate from 54 runs at Redcar adds little encouragement. Goes well enough on good ground but overall looks vulnerable in a competitive field.
KTB verdict
Jam Lass stands out as the KTB Selection on her course record and the sensible drop back to a trip she has won over before. A modest performer with a win here from two starts and on good ground from two attempts, she is well suited by the strong pace likely to unfold and can produce her effort late from stall 10. The main dangers are Alazwar, who arrives in decent form despite the wide draw, and Cosmic Man, who has shown his best at Redcar. Woodleigh cannot be dismissed from stall one given his three wins at the trip, while several others have placed form at the track but look vulnerable on balance.
KTB Selection Jam Lass
This is the narrative read of the 5:23 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Redcar racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won at Redcar and on good ground from the smallest number of attempts?
Jam Lass has won here from two runs and has a win on good ground from two attempts.
How does the strong pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace from two or more habitual front-runners could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Redcar among those with at least 40 runs?
George Boughey has a 30% strike rate at Redcar from 46 runs.
Which runners are noted as tending to make the running or race prominently?
Star Start and Eeetee both tend to make the running or race on the pace.
What is the course record of the top-rated horse by KTB Fit?
Jam Lass has won here from two runs.
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