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Trainer profile

Alberto Carrasco

53 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 13 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–53
Wins / Runs
15.1%
Strike rate
n=53
22 (42%)
Placed
1.24
Fair A/E
n=49 · 1.19 incl. margin
+76.10
£1 level stake
n=53 at SP · +143.6%
£181k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
17.4%+2.3
n=23 · A/E 3.16 · £1 +51.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
27.3%+12.2
n=11 · A/E 5.27 · £1 +52.90
Debutants · first career start
12.5%−2.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−15.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−15.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−15.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−15.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 15.1% vs 15.1% · n=53 · A/E 1.24
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 23.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 14 4 28.6% +47.40
Good 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 10 3 30% +29.80
Heavy 10 1 10% +17.90
Soft 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly 8 3 37.5% +42.40
Dax 8 1 12.5% +22.00
Deauville (FR) 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Longchamp (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
La Teste De Buch 4 1 25% +2.30
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 1 33.3% +0.50
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Toulouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Pau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Compiegne (FR) 1 1 100% +26.90

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 3 1 33.3% +8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 14 2 14.3% 0.53 −4.20
4th–6th fav 12 3 25% 2.26 +47.50
7th+ in betting 22 3 13.6% 4.09 +37.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Presa Diretta (FR)from Maurizio Guarnieri 8 2 5 29 Sep 26
Gold Standard (FR)from H-F Devin 6 0 2 21 Oct 26
Sweet Nebula (IRE)from S Pecoraro 5 0 0 26 Oct 26
Don Nicolas (SPA) 5 1 3 8 Oct 26
Curej (IRE)from Maurizio Guarnieri 4 1 2 26 Oct 26
Diego Valor (FR) 4 1 2 3 Apr 16
Modele Absolu (FR)from P & J Brandt 3 0 1 13 Aug 26
Buscavidas (IRE)from I Gomez-Nuevo 3 1 1 3 Apr 16
Ventaron (FR)from D Guillemin · then J Phelippon 3 0 3 18 Jun 15
Key To Success (GER)from Stefan Richter 2 0 0 5 Aug 25
Vamos Espana (SPA) 2 0 0 18 Jun 15
Va'zy Bareliere (FR)from Mlle C Courtade · then J Calderon 1 1 1 8 Dec 20
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Maurizio Guarnieri (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·050185000222500100
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Aurelien Lemaitre 15 3 20% +35.40
Jose Luis Martinez 9 2 22.2% +48.90
Cristian Demuro 4 1 25% +7.00
Nuno Lopes Duarte 3 0 0% −3.00
Guillaume Guedj-Gay 3 0 0% −3.00
Christophe Soumillon 2 0 0% −2.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 2 1 50% +4.30
Vaclav Janacek 2 0 0% −2.00
R N Valle 2 0 0% −2.00
Alejandro Gutierrez Val 2 0 0% −2.00
Mme Camilla Macchieraldo 1 1 100% +2.50
Luca Carboni 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
8
Archived wins
£181k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 3 wins
Presa Diretta (FR) — Prix Chantilly Capitale du Cheval (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Apr 2025
£21,901
Diego Valor (FR) — Grand Prix de la Teste de Buch La Teste De Buch · Aug 2015
£12,403
Presa Diretta (FR) — Prix de la Rue de la Faisanderie (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2025
£11,157
Notable horses
Presa Diretta (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA) Curej (IRE) Diego Valor (FR) Buscavidas (IRE) Va'zy Bareliere (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sidestep (AUS) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9% of 655 runs since 2019 (65 horses).
Le Havre (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,887 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Galileo Gold (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,044 runs since 2021 (174 horses).
Almanzor (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,122 runs since 2021 (283 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 150. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13% from 307.
Kool Kompany (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 16.2% of 74 runs since 2022 (11 horses).
Kuroshio (AUS) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,311 runs since 2018 (120 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 53 · newest first

The latest 50 of 53 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 February 2015 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Ketch10f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 7/1
26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Curej (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Route BellevalClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 18/1
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Alexandre Gavilan Prix D'artigueloutan10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 100/30
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 7/2
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Jacques Meilhan BordesClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 8/1
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Du Hong Kong Jockey ClubClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 7/2
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Presa Diretta (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 8/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Mme Camilla Macchieraldo Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge10f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 5/2
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Luca Carboni Prix Radio Evasion (Prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 5/2
12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Guy ChancelierClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 6th 9/4F
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Presa Diretta (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Villa LucieClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 25/1
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Mesnil-oger9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 13/8F
23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Du Chene De Saint-vincent De Paul10.5f · Very Soft · 6 ran 4th 6/5F
20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Curej (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Cheval De Spectacle (Prix De Fecamp)Class 3 · 7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 10/1
13 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Modele Absolu (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Sumbe Prix Des Chenettes9.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 17/2
05 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855Class 4 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 7/1
26 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Presa Diretta (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Le Journal "Le Veinard"Class 2 · 10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 12/1
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Regia Semper11.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/4
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix F. Ducassou11.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/1
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Modele Absolu (FR)J: Vaclav Janacek Prix Du Conseil Municipal De La Ville De DaxClass 2 · 10.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alberto Carrasco's strike rate?
Alberto Carrasco has won 8 of 53 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Alberto Carrasco in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alberto Carrasco's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 49 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).