What is Caroline Auvray's strike rate?

Caroline Auvray has won 28 of 566 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Caroline Auvray do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 7 wins from 121 runners (5.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Caroline Auvray?

L Boisseau, with 92 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.4%).

Is Caroline Auvray in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Caroline Auvray's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 564 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Caroline Auvray

566 runners in the lifetime window · 51 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

28–566

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=566

117 (21%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=564 · 0.66 incl. margin

−176.10

£1 level stake

n=565 at SP · −31.2%

£477k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 566 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 5.6% L Boisseau: 5.4% from 92 Claiming riders: 6%

The read

L Boisseau rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The stable star of the record: Parfaite Merill (FR) — 5 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.6%+0.7

n=90 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −19.20

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.4%−2.5

n=41 · A/E 0.72 · £1 +2.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.9

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.9

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.8%+6.9

n=17 · A/E 3.41 · £1 +48.50

When favourite

25.9%

n=27 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +31.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6%+1.1

n=84 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +1.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Delphine Santiago 10.5% vs 4.9% · n=38

With C&D winners 2.1% vs 4.9% · n=190

With a new jockey booking 2.7% vs 4.9% · n=224

With new recruits 2.4% vs 4.9% · n=41

With Augustin Madamet 7.1% vs 4.9% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 565 28 5% −175.10

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 353 17 4.8% −68.60

Soft 87 5 5.7% −22.60

Good to Soft 60 3 5% −44.70

Good 33 2 6.1% −17.10

Heavy 32 1 3.1% −22.10

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 197 9 4.6% −63.20

Chantilly (FR) 186 9 4.8% −31.70

Saint-Cloud 121 7 5.8% −57.10

Longchamp (FR) 35 2 5.7% −14.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Dieppe (FR) 8 1 12.5% +9.00

Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Amiens (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Argentan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 16 1 6.3% +1.00

Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 7 25% 1.11 +30.00

2nd–3rd fav 69 7 10.1% 0.77 −24.10

4th–6th fav 115 4 3.5% 0.44 −76.00

7th+ in betting 353 10 2.8% 0.87 −106.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gin Gembre (FR)from Thibault Speicher 51 0 8 3 Nov 26

Parfaite Merill (FR)from P Fleurie 50 5 18 31 Oct 25

Hot Summer (FR)from L Rovisse 39 1 11 27 Dec 25

Zygfryd (FR)from Mme A Budka 35 0 13 30 Oct 26

American Lily (FR)from L Rovisse 33 3 6 29 Dec 23

La Raceuse (IRE)from H Fortineau 33 2 7 24 Sep 21

Salsa Chic (GB)from M Brasme 31 2 5 25 May 24

Ayana (FR)from H Fortineau 26 0 5 16 May 23

Princedeschamps (FR)from C Plisson 25 2 8 24 Apr 26

Puff Dakota (FR)from C Escuder 19 1 4 23 Mar 23

Vent Charlie (FR)from P Fleurie 19 2 7 16 Nov 22

Massa Chop (FR)from J-P Sauvage 17 2 3 28 Oct 26

All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H Fortineau (3) and J-P Sauvage (3); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

280589365355

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderL Boisseau

16% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

L Boisseau 92 5 5.4% −2.90

Thomas Trullier 74 3 4.1% −12.30

Augustin Madamet 56 4 7.1% −22.20

Antoine Hamelin 42 2 4.8% −3.90

Eddy Hardouin 41 2 4.9% −8.00

Delphine Santiago 38 4 10.5% +36.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£477k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 5 wins

American Lily (FR) — Prix de Gonneville (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2021

£10,268

Salsa Chic (GB) — Prix de la Roquette (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2023

£9,292

Parfaite Merill (FR) — Prix de Belloy-en-France (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2024

£9,130

Notable horses

Parfaite Merill (FR) American Lily (FR) La Raceuse (IRE) Salsa Chic (GB) Princedeschamps (FR) Vent Charlie (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–51

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Penny's Picnic (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,453 runs since 2017 (172 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10.1% from 328. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.3% from 428.

Literato (FR) 0% · 0–48

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,062 runs since 2012 (130 horses).

Sommerabend (GB) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,192 runs since 2018 (133 horses).

American Devil (FR) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 7.9% of 546 runs since 2018 (78 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.9% from 144.

Linngari (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 9.2% of 822 runs since 2012 (94 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.7% from 295. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 223.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 566 · newest first

The latest 50 of 566 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2016 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix D'occagnes7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 9/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Gin Gembre (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix D'hablonville7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Chateau De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zygfryd (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix D'essayClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 4/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix D'abbevilleClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Massa Chop (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De PeronneClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 9/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Gin Gembre (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix De La Foret De Bizy7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 9/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Thomas Trullier Prix De La Foret De Bord7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zygfryd (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Massa Chop (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Des Falaises De Craie10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 22/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix De La Pointe Du Hode10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Du Carrefour Du Fond PernantClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 25/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Bois Laris9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 33/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Zygfryd (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Saint-imier9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 4/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Gin Gembre (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La SambreClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 9/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Massa Chop (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Wings Of EagleClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 12/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Dominique GerouxClass 4 · 11f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 11/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Noisy-sur-oise8f · Good · 15 ran 7th 12/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Gin Gembre (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Boran-sur-oise8f · Good · 14 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Caroline Auvray's strike rate?: Caroline Auvray has won 28 of 566 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Caroline Auvray do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 7 wins from 121 runners (5.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Caroline Auvray?: L Boisseau, with 92 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.4%).
Is Caroline Auvray in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Caroline Auvray's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 564 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.