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Trainer profile

Colin Motherway

134 runners in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 94% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
9–134
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=134
24 (18%)
Placed
1.15
n=134 · 0.93 incl. margin
−59.00
£1 level stake
n=134 at SP · −44.0%
£108k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 134 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.7
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.7
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.89 · £1 +2.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%+1.3
n=75 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −24.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 15.6% vs 6.7% · n=32
Off a 15-30-day break 9.8% vs 6.7% · n=41
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.5% vs 6.7% · n=42
On Soft going 4.5% vs 6.7% · n=66
In Hurdle races 8.1% vs 6.7% · n=74 · A/E 1.43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 74 6 8.1% −26.75
Chase 28 2 7.1% −4.00
NH Flat 24 1 4.2% −20.25
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 66 3 4.5% −40.50
Good 25 1 4% −14.00
Good to Soft 22 3 13.6% +8.25
Heavy 21 2 9.5% −12.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 17 1 5.9% −9.50
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Wexford 12 0 0% −12.00
Tramore 12 1 8.3% −4.50
Punchestown 11 2 18.2% +11.25
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 9 2 22.2% +7.75
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Thurles 7 2 28.6% +3.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 3 100% 4.68 +9.00
2nd–3rd fav 24 2 8.3% 0.70 −11.50
4th–6th fav 54 3 5.6% 0.98 −22.50
7th+ in betting 53 1 1.9% 0.83 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.3% completed · 102 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 28 78.6% 3 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 74 86.5% 3 0 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pebble Bleu (IRE) 32 4 7 3 Mar 26
Time To Rocco (IRE) 23 3 6 21 Jan 24
Cool Legacy (IRE) 12 0 1 19 Jun 23
Courtmac Gesture (IRE) 10 0 3 1 Oct 26
Slip Jig (IRE) 9 1 2 10 Apr 25
Thirsty Thursday (IRE) 8 0 0 31 May 23
Rebel Queen (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Nov 26
Image Du Large (FR) 6 0 0 18 Aug 23
Pour One More (IRE) 4 1 2 27 Mar 25
Queen Of The Gales (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Nov 26
Sapphire Jewel (IRE) 3 0 1 2 Oct 26
Little John (IRE) 3 0 0 10 May 26
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Sexton (2); 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
10149090·001360
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Michael Kenneally 27 4 14.8% +7.75
Michael O'Sullivan 14 2 14.3% +2.00
Phillip Enright 13 0 0% −13.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 10 1 10% +3.00
Mr J J Codd 4 1 25% −0.25
Alan O'Sullivan 4 0 0% −4.00
Cian Quirke 4 0 0% −4.00
Aidan Kelly 4 0 0% −4.00
Ian Power 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Flanagan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr J P Collins 3 0 0% −3.00
Liam Quinlan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
9
Archived wins
£109k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Pebble Bleu (IRE) — Horse & Jockey Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Jan 2026
£8,555
Pebble Bleu (IRE) — ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk Mares Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Feb 2026
£8,555
Time To Rocco (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle Fairyhouse · Oct 2022
£7,670

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blue Bresil (FR) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,534 runs since 2013 (462 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,183 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,857 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,030 runs since 2011 (704 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,287 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,631 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 136 · newest first

The latest 50 of 136 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2021 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Colin Motherway's strike rate?
Colin Motherway has won 9 of 134 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Colin Motherway in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Colin Motherway's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 134 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).