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Trainer profile

Colin Motherway

138 runners in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 94% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–138
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=138
25 (18%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=138 · 0.92 incl. margin
−63.00
£1 level stake
n=138 at SP · −45.7%
£110k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 138 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.6%
The read

The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (9.5%, n=42) and off a 15-30-day break (9.5%, n=42). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.84 across 67 runners (4.5% strike, −41.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.5
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.89 · £1 +2.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%+1.1
n=79 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −28.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.5
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 15.2% vs 6.5% · n=33
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.5% vs 6.5% · n=42
Off a 15-30-day break 9.5% vs 6.5% · n=42
On Soft going 4.5% vs 6.5% · n=67
In Hurdle races 7.9% vs 6.5% · n=76 · A/E 1.41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 76 6 7.9% −28.75
Chase 28 2 7.1% −4.00
NH Flat 26 1 3.8% −22.25
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 67 3 4.5% −41.50
Good 26 1 3.8% −15.00
Good to Soft 23 3 13% +7.25
Heavy 22 2 9.1% −13.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 17 1 5.9% −9.50
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Punchestown 13 2 15.4% +9.25
Wexford 12 0 0% −12.00
Tramore 12 1 8.3% −4.50
Tipperary 10 2 20% +6.75
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Thurles 8 2 25% +2.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 3 100% 4.68 +9.00
2nd–3rd fav 24 2 8.3% 0.70 −11.50
4th–6th fav 56 3 5.4% 0.94 −24.50
7th+ in betting 55 1 1.8% 0.80 −36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.7% completed · 104 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 28 78.6% 3 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 76 85.5% 3 0 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pebble Bleu (IRE) 32 4 7 3 Mar 26
Time To Rocco (IRE) 23 3 6 21 Jan 24
Cool Legacy (IRE) 12 0 1 19 Jun 23
Courtmac Gesture (IRE) 10 0 3 1 Oct 26
Slip Jig (IRE) 9 1 2 10 Apr 25
Thirsty Thursday (IRE) 8 0 0 31 May 23
Rebel Queen (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Nov 26
Image Du Large (FR) 6 0 0 18 Aug 23
Sapphire Jewel (IRE) 4 0 1 9 Nov 26
Pour One More (IRE) 4 1 2 27 Mar 25
Queen Of The Gales (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Nov 26
Little John (IRE) 3 0 0 10 May 26
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Sexton (2); 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10148090·001350
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Michael Kenneally 28 4 14.3% +6.75
Michael O'Sullivan 14 2 14.3% +2.00
Phillip Enright 13 0 0% −13.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 10 1 10% +3.00
Mr J J Codd 4 1 25% −0.25
Alan O'Sullivan 4 0 0% −4.00
Cian Quirke 4 0 0% −4.00
Aidan Kelly 4 0 0% −4.00
Ian Power 4 0 0% −4.00
Liam Quinlan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr J P Collins 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr B Lawless 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
9
Archived wins
£110k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Pebble Bleu (IRE) — Horse & Jockey Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Jan 2026
£8,555
Pebble Bleu (IRE) — ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk Mares Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Feb 2026
£8,555
Time To Rocco (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle Fairyhouse · Oct 2022
£7,670
Notable horses
Pebble Bleu (IRE) Time To Rocco (IRE) Slip Jig (IRE) Pour One More (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blue Bresil (FR) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,574 runs since 2013 (472 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,215 runs since 2010 (928 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,875 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,127 runs since 2011 (714 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,657 runs since 2008 (726 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 138 · newest first

The latest 50 of 138 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2021 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Vango At Dawn (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran PU 40/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Sapphire Jewel (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Matchbook 50/50 Series Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 6th 28/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Rebel Queen (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 66/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Queen Of The Gales (IRE)J: Mr J P Collins Start Your Free Trial On Racing Tv Now Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 25/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Vango At Dawn (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 50/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Queen Of The Gales (IRE)J: Mr J P Collins 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 11th 100/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sapphire Jewel (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 28/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Courtmac Gesture (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 25/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Rebel Queen (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 100/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Queen Of The Gales (IRE)J: Mr J P Collins Traynors Of Wexford Mares Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 12 ran 9th 10/1
29 May 26 Tramore Rebel Queen (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Success Days At Kilbarry Lodge Stud Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 25/1
27 May 26 Wexford Away To Paris (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Wexford Racing Again 30th June Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 50/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Away To Paris (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath John Walsh (Mainstown) Memorial Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 5th 11/1
10 May 26 Cork Little John (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Springfort Hall Country House Hotel Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 25/1
29 Apr 26 Punchestown Sapphire Jewel (IRE)J: Mr P W Gleeson Weatherbys General Stud Book Irish EBF Mares Flat Race (Grade 3)16.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 150/1
14 Apr 26 Clonmel Little John (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Botanica International Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 17 ran 6th 50/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Courtmac Gesture (IRE)J: Eoin Staples O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 16/1
02 Apr 26 Clonmel Little John (IRE)J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan Happy Easter To All Our Patrons Flat Race19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 11/1
31 Mar 26 Limerick Sapphire Jewel (IRE)J: Mr P W Gleeson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race19f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 50/1
31 Mar 26 Limerick Rebel Queen (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Ryans Cleaning Fillies Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 9 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Colin Motherway's strike rate?
Colin Motherway has won 9 of 138 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Colin Motherway in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Colin Motherway's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).