D Allard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (49 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (2.9% over 70 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10.2% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.52). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 2.9% over 35 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.80 across 82 runners (4.9% strike, −38.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 173 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 173 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2005 to 2 December 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is D Allard's strike rate?
- D Allard has won 11 of 167 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does D Allard do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 70 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is D Allard's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 158 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.