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Trainer profile

David Loder

67 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2017 99% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–67
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=67
11 (16%)
Placed
0.76
Fair A/E
n=67 · 0.65 incl. margin
−42.92
£1 level stake
n=67 at SP · −64.1%
£30,201
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%−4.2
n=21 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −18.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
14.3%+5.3
n=7 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −4.75
Debutants · first career start
13.3%+4.3
n=15 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −8.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +2.58
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5%−4.0
n=20 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −14.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 9.6% vs 9% · n=52 · A/E 0.85
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 34 3 8.8% −18.67
NH Flat 23 2 8.7% −16.50
Chase 9 1 11.1% −6.75
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 23 2 8.7% −17.67
Good to Soft 17 2 11.8% −6.00
Soft 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Heavy 8 1 12.5% −5.75
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Warwick 8 1 12.5% −5.00
Ludlow 7 1 14.3% −5.17
Uttoxeter 5 1 20% −2.75
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 4 1 25% −0.50
Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Towcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Bangor-on-Dee 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00
Carlisle 2 1 50% +6.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 34 3 8.8% −21.92
Class 6 17 2 11.8% −10.50
Class 5 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.33 +0.58
2nd–3rd fav 26 2 7.7% 0.54 −17.50
4th–6th fav 19 1 5.3% 0.71 −11.00
7th+ in betting 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
67.4% completed · 43 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 9 33.3% 1 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 34 76.5% 2 0 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Western Wave (FR)then Tom George 7 1 3 8 Jan 17
Nancy's Trix (IRE)then Tom George 7 0 1 11 Dec 16
Old Pride (IRE)from Alan McCabe · then Mrs D J Ralph 7 0 1 17 Aug 16
Midnight Tour (GB)from Alan McCabe · then Alan King 6 2 3 18 May 16
Miss Fleming (GB)then Tom George 5 1 1 10 Nov 16
Recently Acquired (GB)from Lady Cecil 5 0 0 6 Sep 16
Hi Vic (IRE)from Alan McCabe 5 1 1 13 Apr 16
Boston De La Roche (FR)from Alain Couetil · then Dan Skelton 3 0 0 23 Mar 16
Shabraque (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Dec 15
Kala Castle (GB) 2 0 0 15 May 17
Electoral (IRE)then Sarah-Jayne Davies 2 0 0 30 Oct 16
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan McCabe (4); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Tom George (3); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00130140050014140
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Noel Fehily 11 2 18.2% −5.75
Nico de Boinville 10 2 20% +1.50
Sam Twiston-Davies 10 0 0% −10.00
Jack Sherwood 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Ciaran Gethings 7 0 0% −7.00
Richard Johnson 3 1 33.3% −1.17
Aidan Coleman 3 0 0% −3.00
Sean Bowen 2 0 0% −2.00
A P Heskin 2 0 0% −2.00
Josh Wall 2 0 0% −2.00
Jim Crowley 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Zac Baker 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
43
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£553k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 37 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Goodricke (GB) — William Hill Sprint Cup (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2005 · Group 1
£138,040
Night Air (IRE) — Lincoln Trial Heritage H'cap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2005 · Class 2
£29,000
Walkonthewildside (GB) — Astute Electronics Handicap Sandown · Jul 2005 · Class 3
£8,737

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Old Vic (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Midnight Legend (GB) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,308 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Westerner (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,815 runs since 2008 (940 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Beat Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,028 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 259 · newest first

The latest 50 of 259 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 15 May 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jan 17 Chepstow Western Wave (FR)J: A P Heskin Bathwick Tyres Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 15th 9/2
11 Dec 16 Southwell The Oppidan (IRE)J: A P Heskin Millie Ann Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Loder's strike rate?
David Loder has won 6 of 67 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is David Loder's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 67 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).