What is Erwan Grall's strike rate?

Erwan Grall has won 56 of 641 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Erwan Grall do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 17 wins from 139 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Erwan Grall?

Geoffrey Re, with 135 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.7%).

Is Erwan Grall in form?

In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.

What is Erwan Grall's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 636 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Erwan Grall

641 runners in the lifetime window · 233 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 92% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

56–641

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=641

166 (26%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=636 · 0.87 incl. margin

+51.91

£1 level stake

n=636 at SP · +8.2%

£2.40m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (147 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 641 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 9% 35.9% when favourite Geoffrey Re: 6.7% from 135 Claiming riders: 15% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Compiegne (FR) (12.2%, n=139), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15% (n=147, Fair A/E 1.59). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 7.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.16 and +67.90 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Geoffrey Re rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 0.83). 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies de Printemps Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2025, £64,711). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9%+0.3

n=199 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +40.10

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%−0.4

n=48 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −13.00

Debutants · first career start

6.4%−2.3

n=187 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +8.51

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−2.4

n=176 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −50.79

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

When favourite

35.9%

n=39 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +6.71

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15%+6.3

n=147 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +150.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.5%−1.2

n=107 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +67.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With claiming riders up 15% vs 8.7% · n=147

With Thomas Journiac 15.8% vs 8.7% · n=38

At Compiegne (FR) 12.2% vs 8.7% · n=139

On last-time-out winners 4.5% vs 8.7% · n=44

With Thomas Beaurain 12.8% vs 8.7% · n=47

At Auteuil (FR) 6.3% vs 8.7% · n=351

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 483 39 8.1% −14.69

Chase 102 11 10.8% −2.40

Flat 50 5 10% +70.70

NH Flat 6 1 16.7% −1.70

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 305 27 8.9% −13.70

Soft 299 26 8.7% +24.41

Good to Soft 21 2 9.5% +13.20

Good 8 0 0% −8.00

Standard (AW) 6 1 16.7% +38.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 351 22 6.3% −27.00

Compiegne (FR) 139 17 12.2% +60.20

Pau (FR) 31 3 9.7% −13.80

Clairefontaine (FR) 14 2 14.3% +16.91

Dieppe (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 12 1 8.3% −7.70

Longchamp (FR) 11 1 9.1% +3.60

Fontainebleau (FR) 9 2 22.2% −1.40

Saint-Malo (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.80

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Nantes (FR) 5 2 40% +3.60

Strasbourg (FR) 5 1 20% +0.20

Chantilly (FR) 5 1 20% +39.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 108 8 7.4% +66.90

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +11.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 3 3 2 66.7% +3.91

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 41 14 34.1% 1.37 +4.71

2nd–3rd fav 110 13 11.8% 0.78 −40.50

4th–6th fav 212 14 6.6% 0.83 −47.80

7th+ in betting 273 14 5.1% 1.53 +135.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.6% completed · 584 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 102 76.5% 11 2 9 0 2

Hurdle 482 79% 25 6 70 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hedenn Bihoue (FR) 14 1 5 16 Nov 25

Fences (FR) 13 3 5 24 Sep 22

Jaguar Du Berlais (FR)from Yannick Fouin 11 2 7 24 Oct 26

Hupeca De Thaix (FR) 11 3 7 17 Nov 24

Just Happy (FR) 9 1 2 17 Oct 26

Saint Bath (FR)from J Merienne 9 3 6 11 Mar 26

Hetre Rouge (FR) 9 0 0 6 Jan 24

Black Boa (FR)from G Elbaz 9 1 4 13 Nov 22

Kesius Du Granit (FR) 8 0 3 17 Oct 26

Jumper Sacre (FR) 8 1 1 24 Dec 25

Jeune Soldat (FR) 8 1 3 19 Jun 25

Gilou Cat (FR)from Adrien Fouassier · then Herve Jumelle 8 2 6 22 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 233 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Francois Nicolle (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 20 10% · +1.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10%

Lifetime base8.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

17910109651171177

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGeoffrey Re

21% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

Geoffrey Re 135 9 6.7% +25.30

Raphael Mayeur 89 9 10.1% +16.40

Thomas Beaurain 47 6 12.8% −2.50

Thomas Journiac 38 6 15.8% +53.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.40m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 15 wins

Jaguar Du Berlais (FR) — Grande Course de Haies de Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 3

£64,711

Jaguar Du Berlais (FR) — Prix Romati (Chase) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · May 2026 · Grade 3

£54,783

Jasmine De Corton (FR) — Prix Santo Pietro (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023 · Listed

£43,805

Notable horses

Fences (FR) Hupeca De Thaix (FR) Saint Bath (FR) Jaguar Du Berlais (FR) Jasmine De Corton (FR) Gilou Cat (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cokoriko (FR) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,291 runs since 2008 (379 horses).

Masked Marvel (GB) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,618 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 283.

No Risk At All (FR) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,125 runs since 2008 (433 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 943.

Bathyrhon (GER) 29.4% · 5–17

Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,172 runs since 2008 (187 horses).

Coastal Path (GB) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 12.9% of 2,208 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.8% from 499. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.

Kapgarde (FR) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,617 runs since 2008 (724 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 641 · newest first

The latest 50 of 641 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 November 2019 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Mec De La Barriere (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix CerillyClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 13/2

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Jaguar Du Berlais (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Grand Steeple-chase De CompiegneClass 1 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 8/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lion Blue (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Petit FontaineClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 6 ran 5th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Mandika De Mai (FR)J: Maximilien Justum Prix Claude Rouget13.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 3rd 18/1

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Dream D'armor (FR)J: Maximilien Justum Prix De Bourgenay13.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 11th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Master Du Large (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix D'auteuil19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 5/2

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Magie Du Roy (FR)J: K Michel Prix D'auteuil19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 9/2

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Riskman (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Francois De Chevigny23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Elle A Tout Ca (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Koktail Bresilien (FR)J: K Michel Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Kesius Du Granit (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Just Happy (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Pierre De LassusClass 1 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Pinot Blanc (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Pierre De LassusClass 1 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 25/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Mitsuko (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 28/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nico Team (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Rue Daguerre (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix De La Societe Des Courses De CraonClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Princesse Irona (FR)J: A Blais Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran UR 50/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Extragalactic (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 1st 11/2

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Ginger Tonic (FR)J: A Blais Prix Archy Bald19f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Kimfly (FR)J: A Blais Prix Des Societaires19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 11/10F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Erwan Grall's strike rate?: Erwan Grall has won 56 of 641 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Erwan Grall do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 17 wins from 139 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Erwan Grall?: Geoffrey Re, with 135 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.7%).
Is Erwan Grall in form?: In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.
What is Erwan Grall's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 636 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.