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Trainer profile

F Pardon

116 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–116
Wins / Runs
8.6%
Strike rate
n=116
35 (30%)
Placed
1.08
Fair A/E
n=112 · 0.86 incl. margin
−10.38
£1 level stake
n=114 at SP · −9.1%
£171k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 116 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.4%+0.8
n=64 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +2.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%−1.9
n=15 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −3.20
Debutants · first career start
33.3%+24.7
n=6 · A/E 2.56 · £1 +4.70
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+11.4
n=5 · A/E 5.25 · £1 +21.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−8.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Eddy Hardouin 14.3% vs 8.6% · n=35
Off a break of 180+ days 10.8% vs 8.6% · n=37
At Deauville (FR) 9.8% vs 8.6% · n=61 · A/E 1.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 81 7 8.6% +11.30
Soft 14 1 7.1% −13.00
Good 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 7 2 28.6% +5.32
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 61 6 9.8% +20.30
Chantilly (FR) 19 1 5.3% −8.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 12 1 8.3% −9.38
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Toulouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 4 1 25% +5.70
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Dax (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Carpentras (FR) 1 1 100% —
Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux 1 0 0% −1.00
Tarbes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 21 3 14.3% 0.95 −2.98
4th–6th fav 28 3 10.7% 1.28 +3.50
7th+ in betting 62 3 4.8% 1.21 −7.90
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vespaman (FR) 13 0 5 5 Nov 22
Baileys Balle (FR)from J Reynier 12 2 5 5 Apr 23
Sainte Colere (IRE) 11 0 3 30 Aug 20
Got Run (FR)from J Heloury 10 2 2 29 Feb 20
Myboyfriend (FR)from D Fechner 8 0 0 8 Oct 26
Mexican Dream (FR)from M Nigge 7 0 1 20 Oct 26
Super Cute (IRE)from Andrew Hollinshead 7 1 1 20 Dec 23
Solitary Man (FR)from H-A Pantall 6 1 1 10 Apr 25
Certaldo (FR)from C Ferland 6 1 3 23 May 20
Bleu Nuit (IRE)from A Fabre 5 1 2 26 Oct 26
Acantos (FR)from J Heloury 5 0 5 4 Feb 16
Ally Pally (FR)from A & G Botti 4 0 0 29 Nov 16
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J Heloury (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000142000101814614
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderEddy Hardouin
30% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 2.38
RiderRWSR£1
Eddy Hardouin 35 5 14.3% +14.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
10
Archived wins
£171k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 3 wins
Karaktair (FR) — Prix de la Croix Verte (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2019
£10,360
Certaldo (FR) — Prix des Pruniers (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Nov 2018
£9,292
Got Run (FR) — Prix des Goderelles (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Oct 2018
£8,407
Notable horses
Baileys Balle (FR) Got Run (FR) Super Cute (IRE) Solitary Man (FR) Certaldo (FR) Bleu Nuit (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elusive City (USA) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,426 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Vespone (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8% of 591 runs since 2009 (82 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.5% from 112. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 179.
Lethal Force (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,269 runs since 2017 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 358.
Literato (FR) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,061 runs since 2012 (130 horses).
Myboycharlie (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,305 runs since 2013 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Wootton Bassett (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 13% of 5,685 runs since 2015 (790 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 116 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 September 2009 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Bleu Nuit (IRE)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De La Cote Pavee10f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/1
20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix Du Commandant Bacque12f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 9/1
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Jacques Meilhan BordesClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 20/1
28 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix D'albretClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 10/1
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite BrunieClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 10/1
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Bleu Nuit (IRE)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Haras Des Granges9.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 13/8
05 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Raymond GuilhemClass 3 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1
02 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Alexandre Gavilan Prix Des ToulousainesClass 3 · 12f · Good · 13 ran 8th 18/1
23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Bleu Nuit (IRE)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Grand Dax 1ere Destination Thermale De France11.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 5th 9/4
10 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix de l'Hippodrome de CompiegneClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 9/1
05 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Du Chateau De ChantegriveClass 3 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 9th 12/1
05 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Bleu Nuit (IRE)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Hotel Des Ventes Du Bassin D'arcachon (jg Larrieu)9f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 6/1
26 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix Casino Partouche Andernos - Le MiamiClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 10/1
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix De La Source Des PauvresClass 3 · 11.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 12/1
15 Jul 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Bleu Nuit (IRE)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Clear Nettoyage8f · Good · 7 ran 5th 11/4
19 Mar 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) The Top Gatsby (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Dunette (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 16 ran 14th 44/5
01 Nov 25 Deauville (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Beaufai (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 24/1
10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Mexican Dream (FR)J: Valentin Seguy Prix Ketch (Handicap) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 9th 14/1
10 Sep 25 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Valentin Seguy Prix Colonel Noe (Handicap) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 18/1
10 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Myboyfriend (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix du Chemin de la Cartouche (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 27/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F Pardon's strike rate?
F Pardon has won 10 of 116 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does F Pardon do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 61 runners (9.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is F Pardon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is F Pardon's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 112 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).