J-M Beguigne
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). In Group and Graded company the record reads 14% (133 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (5.7% over 159 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 14.3% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.89), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.6% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 9.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.52 and −72.10 to a £1 stake over 193 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Olivier Peslier rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.5%, A/E 0.66). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (18.7%, n=134). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.6% over 89 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.68 across 217 runners (6.5% strike, −82.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 31 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Jockey Club Mitsubishi Motors at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2007, £579,122). The stable star of the record: Spirito Del Vento (FR) — 7 wins from 22 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,246 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,246 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is J-M Beguigne's strike rate?
- J-M Beguigne has won 117 of 1,078 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does J-M Beguigne do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 35 wins from 267 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for J-M Beguigne?
- Olivier Peslier, with 240 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.5%).
- Is J-M Beguigne in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is J-M Beguigne's Fair A/E?
- 0.90, from 981 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.