J-P Dubois
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Debutants are a strength: 12% on first career starts (113 runs).
Debutants strike at 12.4% (n=113, Fair A/E 1.71), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.1% (n=79, Fair A/E 0.57). Clement Lecoeuvre rides 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.7% vs 8.7%, A/E 0.66). The yard also reads well on Good going (13.6%, n=88). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.8% over 52 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix la Barka at Auteuil (FR) (Jun 2022, £62,395). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 702 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 702 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 August 2015 to 2 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is J-P Dubois's strike rate?
- J-P Dubois has won 61 of 702 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does J-P Dubois do best at?
- Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for J-P Dubois?
- Clement Lecoeuvre, with 88 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.7%).
- What is J-P Dubois's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 693 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.