Skip to content
Trainer profile

James Walton

503 runners in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 135 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
34–503
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=503
105 (21%)
Placed
0.90
n=502 · 0.78 incl. margin
−257.72
£1 level stake
n=503 at SP · −51.2%
£294k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 503 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Miss Catherine Walton: 7.2% from 208
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.41 and −97.50 to a £1 stake over 115 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Miss Catherine Walton rides 41% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (12%, n=83). The stable star of the record: Cudgel (GB) — 6 wins from 52 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−4.2
n=115 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −97.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.8
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+13.2
n=5 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +0.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=21 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −0.34
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%−1.2
n=266 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −162.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20.6% vs 6.8% · n=34
With debutants 0% vs 6.8% · n=36
On Heavy going 12% vs 6.8% · n=83
With Conor O'Farrell 11.4% vs 6.8% · n=105
With C&D winners 11.4% vs 6.8% · n=79
With horses switching code 2.5% vs 6.8% · n=80
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 283 18 6.4% −162.34
Hurdle 192 16 8.3% −67.38
NH Flat 28 0 0% −28.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 168 12 7.1% −73.63
Soft 128 8 6.3% −60.50
Good to Soft 114 4 3.5% −80.50
Heavy 83 10 12% −33.09
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Hexham 183 16 8.7% −71.75
Kelso 62 3 4.8% −45.84
Carlisle 52 6 11.5% −9.13
Newcastle 51 3 5.9% −21.00
Perth 44 1 2.3% −41.00
Sedgefield 35 2 5.7% −14.50
Catterick 23 0 0% −23.00
Cartmel 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Musselburgh 18 1 5.6% −14.50
Wetherby 6 0 0% −6.00
Ayr 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 1 100% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 243 13 5.3% −156.01
Class 5 180 17 9.4% −51.12
Class 3 45 2 4.4% −32.50
Class 6 31 2 6.5% −14.09
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 29 8 27.6% 1.13 −2.84
2nd–3rd fav 81 16 19.8% 1.22 +5.62
4th–6th fav 189 7 3.7% 0.57 −112.50
7th+ in betting 204 3 1.5% 0.57 −148.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 475 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 283 80.9% 10 8 36 0 0
Hurdle 192 78.6% 1 1 39 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cudgel (GB) 52 6 20 10 Dec 25
Roll Of Thunder (GB)from John Quinn 50 4 16 4 Jun 22
Saddle Pack (IRE)from Chris Grant 36 3 6 2 Jul 15
West Lawn (GB) 34 3 4 21 Jun 26
Rupert Bear (GB) 31 3 8 7 Dec 16
Central Flame (GB) 28 4 11 28 Mar 21
Frankies Fire (GB) 22 0 1 4 Jul 24
Watch The Wind (GB) 22 0 4 29 Jun 11
Dun Faw Good (GB)from Mrs C Walton 21 2 9 1 Jan 20
Ripstick (GB) 18 2 5 5 Mar 20
Merry Minster (GB) 16 0 2 23 Aug 14
Highland Cathedral (GB) 15 1 4 17 Sep 14
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
74131644405085
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
41% of all rides
7.2% SR · A/E 0.98
RiderRWSR£1
Miss Catherine Walton 208 15 7.2% −97.09
Conor O'Farrell 105 12 11.4% −25.13
Jamie Hamilton 55 2 3.6% −42.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
39
Archived wins
£337k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Central Flame (GB) — 888sport AP's Last Ride At Haydock 'Fixed Brush' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Apr 2015 · Class 3
£8,123
Central Flame (GB) — Kirkley Hall Ltd Zoological Gardens Handicap Hurdle Hexham · Apr 2015 · Class 3
£7,148
Ripstick (GB) — Eden Handicap Chase Carlisle · Mar 2020 · Class 4
£6,173

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sulamani (IRE) 10% · 6–60
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,246 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Antonius Pius (USA) 8% · 4–50
Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2009 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.
Minster Son (IRE) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Westlake (GB) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 10.3% of 107 runs since 2017 (5 horses).
Rambling Bear (GB) 9.7% · 3–31
Progeny have won 6.6% of 362 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 600 · newest first

The latest 50 of 600 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 21 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 May 26 Hexham That One (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Port Of Blyth Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 22/1
21 Feb 26 Newcastle That One (GB)J: Callum Bewley Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 9/1
03 Feb 26 Carlisle That One (GB)J: Callum Bewley Watch Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 8/1
10 Dec 25 Hexham Cudgel (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Tant Pis Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 3/1
13 Nov 25 Sedgefield West Lawn (GB)J: Harry Reed Resolve Group UK Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Walton's strike rate?
James Walton has won 34 of 503 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Walton do best at?
Carlisle by strike rate: 6 wins from 52 runners (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Walton?
Miss Catherine Walton, with 208 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.2%).
What is James Walton's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 502 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).