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Trainer profile

M Aubry

80 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2022 91% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–80
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=80
15 (19%)
Placed
1.76
Fair A/E
n=80 · 1.48 incl. margin
+97.40
£1 level stake
n=80 at SP · +121.8%
£88,942
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.3%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 13.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.7%+1.9
n=28 · A/E 3.05 · £1 +76.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
14.3%+5.5
n=7 · A/E 5.93 · £1 +32.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
33.3%+24.5
n=3 · A/E 28.25 · £1 +36.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.3%+4.5
n=30 · A/E 3.33 · £1 +57.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 4.7% vs 8.8% · n=43
With claiming riders up 13.3% vs 8.8% · n=30
On Standard (AW) going 6.3% vs 8.8% · n=32
In Flat races 9.6% vs 8.8% · n=73 · A/E 1.81
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 73 7 9.6% +104.40
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 32 2 6.3% +27.80
Soft 22 3 13.6% +50.30
Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% +29.00
Good 9 1 11.1% −3.70
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Saint-Cloud (FR) 24 4 16.7% +63.60
Deauville (FR) 23 0 0% −23.00
Chantilly (FR) 12 2 16.7% +47.80
Longchamp (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Auteuil (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 5 1 20% +25.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 2 20% 1.67 +3.60
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 61 5 8.2% 2.67 +102.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Maestro Chop (FR)from S Dory · then Thibault Speicher 21 1 3 31 Oct 22
Shine For Me (GB)from F Poulsen 14 0 2 5 Feb 15
Kaabamix (FR)from D Windrif 11 4 5 24 Mar 22
Tevennec (FR) 6 0 0 11 Apr 19
American Way (FR)then F Vermeulen 6 1 2 28 Dec 16
Alamona (GER)from P Chevillard 3 1 2 22 May 13
Sermandakfi (FR)from N Caullery · then Jean-Pascal Ricoce 2 0 0 31 Oct 22
Grey Bee De Monty (FR) 2 0 0 25 Jun 20
Break Fort (FR)from J Merienne · then Noam Chevalier 2 0 1 28 Jun 16
La Messalina (FR)from D Windrif 2 0 0 10 Apr 16
Fan De Sixty (FR)from Yannick Fouin 2 0 0 10 Jan 15
Hortensia (ITY)from A & G Botti 2 0 0 10 Oct 14
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Windrif (4); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0330202500·0000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Tony Piccone 10 1 10% +10.80
Mlle Mickaelle Michel 8 3 37.5% +39.60
Mlle Laurie Foulard 6 1 16.7% +34.00
Flavien Prat 6 0 0% −6.00
Axel Baron 5 0 0% −5.00
Alexandre Roussel 5 0 0% −5.00
David Breux 5 0 0% −5.00
Emmanuel Etienne 4 1 25% +26.00
Erwann Lebreton 3 0 0% −3.00
Thomas Messina 2 1 50% +37.00
Mlle Zoe Pfeil 2 0 0% −2.00
Angelo Gasnier 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
7
Archived wins
£88,942
Prize money
2019
Best season · 2 wins
Kaabamix (FR) — Prix de la Lomagne (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2019
£9,459
Kaabamix (FR) — Prix de Saint-Germain de la Grange (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Apr 2021
£9,375
Maestro Chop (FR) — Prix de la Route des Genets (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2022
£8,403
Notable horses
Kaabamix (FR) Maestro Chop (FR) American Way (FR) Alamona (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kheleyf (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,547 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Carlotamix (FR) 36.4% · 4–11
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,032 runs since 2010 (114 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15% from 160. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 270.
American Post (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Panis (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,980 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.2% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.
Sholokhov (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,267 runs since 2008 (422 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 80 · newest first

The latest 50 of 80 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 September 2012 to 31 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix du Vert Clos (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 15th 9/1
31 Oct 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sermandakfi (FR)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix du Vert Clos (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 14th 56/1
11 Oct 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix des Yvelines (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 41/5
16 Sep 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de Massy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 5th 14/1
21 Jul 22 Longchamp (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix de Charenton (Handicap) (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf)11f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 24/1
09 Jun 22 Longchamp (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix des Mathurins (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)14f · Very Soft · 15 ran 9th 12/1
19 May 22 Longchamp (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Mercedes-Benz Paris (Prix du Ruisseau des Sablons) (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post)13.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 63/10
12 May 22 Longchamp (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix du Petit Bois (Handicap) (5yo+) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 16/1
04 May 22 Longchamp (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix du Chateau de Longchamp (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)15f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/1
20 Apr 22 Chantilly (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix du Chemin de la Cartouche (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)11f · Good · 16 ran 9th 32/1
08 Apr 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Mr Thibaud Mace Prix Henri de Vesian (Handicap) (4yo+) (Gentleman Amateur Riders) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 18 ran 16th 32/1
31 Mar 22 Chantilly (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix du Pays de Thelle (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 51/10
24 Mar 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Kaabamix (FR)J: Mlle Mickaelle Michel Prix Balmoral (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 16/1
24 Feb 22 Chantilly (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de Villaines-Sous-Bois (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 15 ran 2nd 47/10
15 Feb 22 Chantilly (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de la Route des Genets (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 198/10
04 Feb 22 Deauville (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix du Pont des Vaux (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 32/1
12 Jan 22 Deauville (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix de Rugles (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 23/1
12 Jan 22 Deauville (FR) Sermandakfi (FR)J: Maximilien Justum Prix de Rugles (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 33/1
07 Jan 22 Deauville (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix de Beaufosse (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 17/1
23 Dec 21 Deauville (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix de Danestal (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 19/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Aubry's strike rate?
M Aubry has won 7 of 80 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M Aubry's Fair A/E?
1.76, from 80 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).