M Figge
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (112 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.3% over 60 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.7% (n=85, Fair A/E 0.80). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.67 and +43.30 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Antoine Hamelin rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Soft going (15.9%, n=88). The record reads poorly on Good going — 1.2% over 83 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.33 across 59 runners (1.7% strike, −42.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Daphnis at Compiegne (FR) (Jul 2013, £32,520). The stable star of the record: Lord Emery (GER) — 5 wins from 12 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 341 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 341 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 August 2009 to 20 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is M Figge's strike rate?
- M Figge has won 27 of 341 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does M Figge do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 52 runners (9.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for M Figge?
- Antoine Hamelin, with 53 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.5%).
- What is M Figge's Fair A/E?
- 1.20, from 324 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.