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Trainer profile

Michelle Bryant

102 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 45 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–102
Wins / Runs
1%
Strike rate
n=102
16 (16%)
Placed
0.20
Fair A/E
n=102 · 0.17 incl. margin
−93.50
£1 level stake
n=102 at SP · −91.7%
£22,608
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.20).

Deterministic profile computed from 102 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 1.6%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.0
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.6%+0.6
n=62 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −53.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 1% · n=53 · A/E 0.00
At Plumpton 2% vs 1% · n=50 · A/E 0.42
On Good going 1.9% vs 1% · n=53 · A/E 0.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 1 1.3% −71.50
Chase 22 0 0% −22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 53 1 1.9% −44.50
Good to Firm 21 0 0% −21.00
Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 50 1 2% −41.50
Fontwell 35 0 0% −35.00
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00
Towcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Taunton 1 0 0% −1.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Fakenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Folkestone 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 79 1 1.3% −70.50
Class 4 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.82 −0.50
4th–6th fav 32 0 0% 0.00 −32.00
7th+ in betting 60 0 0% 0.00 −60.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.4% completed · 102 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 22 72.7% 0 0 5 0 1
Hurdle 80 83.8% 1 0 11 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hawk Gold (IRE)from Mark Usher 39 1 12 29 May 16
Churchtown Glen (IRE)from Michael Winters 16 0 2 22 Sep 24
Better Moment (IRE)from David Pipe 10 0 1 20 Aug 09
Monash Lad (IRE)from Paddy Butler 8 0 0 23 Feb 12
Elusive Cowboy (USA)from Paddy Butler 6 0 0 10 Dec 18
Killabraher Cross (IRE)from Paddy Butler 5 0 0 21 Oct 19
Ron Waverly (IRE)from Paddy Butler 4 0 0 21 Oct 19
My Lord (GB)from Paddy Butler · then Paddy Butler 3 0 0 20 Nov 17
Sutton Sid (GB)from Paddy Butler · then Paddy Butler 3 0 0 8 May 16
Night Groove (IRE)from Paddy Butler 3 0 1 23 Sep 12
Lady Romanov (IRE)from David Bridgwater · then Paddy Butler 2 0 0 11 Jun 09
Glorious Mist (IRE)from Paddy Butler 1 0 0 20 Sep 26
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paddy Butler (8); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Paddy Butler (3); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·00050000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Marc Goldstein 21 0 0% −21.00
Robert L Butler 7 0 0% −7.00
Conor Shoemark 6 1 16.7% +2.50
Miss Brodie Hampson 6 0 0% −6.00
Kielan Woods 6 0 0% −6.00
Miss Zoe Lilly 5 0 0% −5.00
Miss Michelle Bryant 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr Ashley Bird 4 0 0% −4.00
David Bass 4 0 0% −4.00
James Davies 3 0 0% −3.00
Kieren Buckley 3 0 0% −3.00
Tabitha Worsley 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£31,860
Prize money
2013
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Hawk Gold (IRE) — Award Winning Extech IT Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · May 2013 · Class 5
£2,738
Fireside Legend (IRE) — Selling Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Apr 2005 · Class 5
£2,618
Notable horses
Hawk Gold (IRE) Fireside Legend (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tendulkar (USA) 2.6% · 1–39
Progeny have won 6.8% of 311 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,979 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Turtle Island (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.
General Monash (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 5.8% of 120 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Elusive Quality (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.
Kasmayo (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 4.8% of 84 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 146 · newest first

The latest 50 of 146 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2005 to 20 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Sep 26 Plumpton Glorious Mist (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 40/1
22 Sep 24 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 125/1
14 May 23 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: James Davies Lulu And Peter Mendoza Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 12 ran PU 66/1
15 Nov 22 Fakenham Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom Greshams Prep Racing To School Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran PU 10/1
31 Oct 22 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Tie The Knot Wedding Catering Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 25/1
14 Jun 22 Stratford Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Finn Lambert Watch On Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/2
25 May 22 Warwick Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Howkins & Harrison Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 3/1
04 May 22 Fontwell Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Kielan Woods At The Races App Form Study Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 14/1
18 Apr 22 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Remembering David Lees Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 12/1
29 Mar 22 Fontwell Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Cazoo Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 6th 16/1
05 Nov 21 Fontwell Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Harry Kimber Casumo Proud To Support British Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 4th 25/1
18 Oct 21 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Aldaniti Partnership Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 17/2
05 May 21 Fontwell Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/1
04 Apr 21 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Sky Sports Racing Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 10/1
20 Mar 21 Fontwell Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Fontwell Remembers The Newsman Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 10/1
28 Feb 21 Fontwell Tommo (IRE)J: James Best Taste Champagne At champagnepiaff.com Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 26f · Soft · 16 ran PU 200/1
07 Dec 20 Plumpton Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: Niall Houlihan Sky Sports Racing Attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 22/1
06 Nov 20 Fontwell Churchtown Glen (IRE)J: James Davies Star Sports Owner's Club 20K Guarantee Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 80/1
21 Oct 19 Plumpton Ron Waverly (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Onethreefivenotout Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 100/1
21 Oct 19 Plumpton Killabraher Cross (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Nick Embiricos Memorial 2019 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 5 ran REF 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michelle Bryant's strike rate?
Michelle Bryant has won 1 of 102 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michelle Bryant do best at?
Plumpton by strike rate: 1 wins from 50 runners (2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Michelle Bryant's Fair A/E?
0.20, from 102 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).