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Jockey profile

Miss Zoe Lilly

107 rides in the lifetime window · 68 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2014
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–107
Wins / Runs
7.5%
Strike rate
n=107
15 (14%)
Placed
1.31
Fair A/E
n=106 · 1.09 incl. margin
−16.50
£1 level stake
n=107 at SP · −15.4%
£25,811
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, across both codes, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.31). First rides on a horse are a strength: 10% on the first captured pairing (60 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 10% Claiming: 8.8%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.65). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 2.5% over 40 rides, 5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%+2.5
n=60 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +13.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
42.9%+35.4
n=7 · A/E 4.77 · £1 +13.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.5%+3.0
n=19 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +3.50
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −0.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.8%+1.3
n=80 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −6.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.9%−4.6
n=34 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −27.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 2.5% vs 7.5% · n=40
On Good to Firm going 2.9% vs 7.5% · n=34
With Paddy Butler 4.5% vs 7.5% · n=44
In Class 5 10.4% vs 7.5% · n=48
On first rides for the horse 10% vs 7.5% · n=60
In Flat races 5.8% vs 7.5% · n=52 · A/E 1.15
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 55 5 9.1% +4.50
Flat 52 3 5.8% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 34 1 2.9% −17.00
Good 26 2 7.7% −18.00
Good to Soft 14 3 21.4% +6.50
Soft 14 1 7.1% −3.00
Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +31.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 16 2 12.5% +29.00
Fontwell 10 0 0% −10.00
Salisbury 9 1 11.1% −2.00
Huntingdon 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Newbury 5 1 20% +2.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Towcester 4 1 25% −1.50
Newton Abbot 3 0 0% −3.00
Ludlow 3 0 0% −3.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Beverley 2 1 50% +15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 48 5 10.4% +13.50
Class 4 30 2 6.7% −18.00
Class 6 25 1 4% −8.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.62 −0.50
2nd–3rd fav 14 5 35.7% 2.92 +23.00
4th–6th fav 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
7th+ in betting 72 2 2.8% 0.83 −21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Wondersobright (IRE) 10 2 2 15 Feb 10
Ghaill Force (GB) 6 0 2 23 May 10
Keep Guessing (GB) 4 0 0 11 May 11
Cemgraft (GB) 4 0 0 10 May 10
Lady Romanov (IRE) 4 0 0 1 Dec 09
Kilburn (GB) 3 0 0 30 Aug 13
Canni Thinkaar (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Mar 08
Night Groove (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Sep 12
Slatey Hen (IRE) 2 0 1 3 May 12
Corlough Mountain (GB) 2 0 0 4 Aug 11
Free Falling (GB) 2 0 1 23 Jan 11
Pocketwood (GB) 2 2 2 16 Dec 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01322800017017014
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPaddy Butler
41% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 1.09
TrainerRWSR£1
Paddy Butler 44 2 4.5% +1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£42,460
Prize money
2010
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Beauchamp Star (GB) — Cadale Lady Riders' Handicap Hurdle Huntingdon · Mar 2007 · Class 4
£3,253
Pocketwood (GB) — Frank Osgood Memorial Lady Jockeys' Handicap (For Lady Amateur Riders) Newbury · Oct 2010 · Class 5
£3,123
Gross Prophet (GB) — David Broad '40 Years' Lady Amateur Riders' Handicap Salisbury · Aug 2010 · Class 5
£3,123
Notable horses
Wondersobright (IRE) Pocketwood (GB) Cemgraft (GB) Take It There (GB) Meglio Ancora (GB) Gross Prophet (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Magical Wonder (USA) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 12.8% of 94 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Piccolo (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Grand Lodge (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
In The Wings (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,518 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 231. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.4% from 114.
Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 150 · newest first

The latest 50 of 150 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 February 2005 to 23 June 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Jun 14 Lingfield (AW) Royal Mizar (SPA)T: Alastair Lidderdale 32Red Amateur Riders' Selling StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 16/1
30 Aug 13 Salisbury Kilburn (GB)T: Alastair Lidderdale 4Com Plc Lady Riders' Handicap (Lady Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 25/1
27 Jun 13 Leicester Ryan Style (IRE)T: Lisa Williamson Langham Ladies' Handicap (Lady Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 11/2
10 May 13 Lingfield Kilburn (GB)T: Alastair Lidderdale Ladbrokes Handicap (Lady Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 4th 16/1
05 May 13 Salisbury Prophet In A Dream (GB)T: Paddy Butler Betfred Mobile Sports Lady Riders' Handicap (Amateurs)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 50/1
27 Apr 13 Doncaster Azrael (GB)T: Alan McCabe crownhotel-bawtry.com AJA Lady Riders' Handicap (Amateurs)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 9/1
23 Sep 12 Plumpton Night Groove (IRE)T: Michelle Bryant Betfair. Don't Settle For Less Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran PU 25/1
20 Aug 12 Thirsk Overwhelm (GB)T: Alan McCabe Thirsk Races Family Day Friday 31st August Lady Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 9th 12/1
16 Aug 12 Beverley Meglio Ancora (GB)T: Alastair Lidderdale White Rose Saddlery Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 1st 16/1
09 Aug 12 Brighton Jordaura (GB)T: Gay Kelleway Gay Kelleway Funownership With smileswithhiseyes.co.uk Lady Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 4th 7/1
21 Jul 12 Ascot Haadeeth (GB)T: David Evans Longines Handicap (Ladies' Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 24 ran 24th 50/1
06 May 12 Salisbury Resplendent Alpha (GB)T: Alastair Lidderdale Betfred Bonus King Bingo Lady Riders' Handicap (Amateurs)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 6/1
03 May 12 Lingfield (AW) Slatey Hen (IRE)T: Richard Guest toteplacepot Lady Riders' Handicap (Amateurs)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 10/3
28 Apr 12 Doncaster Levitate (GB)T: Alan McCabe AJA Lady Riders' Handicap (Amateurs)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 17/2
21 Apr 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Slatey Hen (IRE)T: Richard Guest 32 Free At 32red.com Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 25/1
21 Dec 11 Ludlow Esteem (GB)T: David Evans Tanners Cava Lady Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 12/1
19 Dec 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Royal Alcor (IRE)T: Alastair Lidderdale toteplacepot Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 6/1
04 Aug 11 Brighton Corlough Mountain (GB)T: Paddy Butler Spiffing Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Lady Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 3 ran 3rd 16/1
30 Jul 11 Thirsk Exceedingly Good (IRE)T: Roy Bowring White Rose Saddlery Lady Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 10/1
26 Jul 11 Beverley Visions of Johanna (USA)T: Richard Guest Lady Jane Bethell Memorial Lady Riders' Handicap (Lady Amateurs) (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Zoe Lilly's strike rate?
Miss Zoe Lilly has won 8 of 107 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Zoe Lilly's Fair A/E?
1.31, from 106 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).