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Trainer profile

Mlle Gaelle Gernay

100 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 119 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–100
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=100
10 (10%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=100 · 0.76 incl. margin
−33.50
£1 level stake
n=100 at SP · −33.5%
£77,024
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 100 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.3%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 8.3% (n=36, Fair A/E 2.09). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (8.7%, n=46).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%+4.3
n=36 · A/E 2.09 · £1 −2.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 8.7% vs 4% · n=46
With claiming riders up 8.3% vs 4% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 86 4 4.7% −19.50
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 50 2 4% −29.20
Deauville (FR) 38 2 5.3% +7.70
Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 24 3 12.5% 1.81 +9.50
7th+ in betting 71 1 1.4% 0.50 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Moonwalker (FR) 23 0 0 26 Mar 26
I Excel (FR)from M Bouckaert 18 2 4 11 Jun 24
Kenartic (FR)from Cedric Rossi 12 2 2 28 Apr 23
Danarosa (IRE)from V Devillars 9 0 2 21 Jan 23
La Cotilienne Grey (FR) 6 0 1 28 Apr 23
Pont D'Ouilly (FR)from Cedric Rossi 5 0 1 15 Apr 22
Franky Forever (FR) 4 0 0 3 Feb 24
Brave Zita (FR) 4 0 0 20 Jan 23
Odonnell's Orchard (IRE)from Tom Dascombe 3 0 0 15 Jun 26
Miss Cosy (FR)from C Ferland 3 0 0 9 Dec 23
Coase (GB)from Michael Wigham 3 0 0 5 Nov 23
On The Sea (GB)from N Caullery 3 0 0 14 May 23
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Cedric Rossi (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00117000000013
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Anthony Crastus 12 0 0% −12.00
Gerald Mosse 10 0 0% −10.00
Delphine Santiago 10 2 20% +12.00
Mme Marie Velon 8 1 12.5% +3.50
Hugo Lebouc 6 0 0% −6.00
Aurelien Lemaitre 6 0 0% −6.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 5 1 20% +28.00
Sebastien Maillot 5 0 0% −5.00
Eddy Hardouin 4 0 0% −4.00
Cesar Belmont 4 0 0% −4.00
Dorian Provost 3 0 0% −3.00
Sylvain Ruis 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
7
Archived wins
£103k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
I Excel (FR) — Prix de l'Operation Neptune (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Apr 2023
£11,947
Zanhill (FR) — Prix du Palais Galliera (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jun 2019
£11,712
I Excel (FR) — Prix Esso (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2023
£10,177
Notable horses
I Excel (FR) Kenartic (FR) Danarosa (IRE) Zanhill (FR) Fanciful Turbo (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Taareef (USA) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11% of 209 runs since 2022 (27 horses).
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,034 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Slickly (FR) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8% of 3,072 runs since 2008 (318 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11% from 310. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 243.
Clodovil (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Prince Gibraltar (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.4% of 880 runs since 2019 (130 horses).
Chichi Creasy (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 3.5% of 370 runs since 2012 (46 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 123 · newest first

The latest 50 of 123 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 May 2018 to 8 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jul 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Odonnell's OrchardJ: T Piccone Prix De Coulommiers Claiming Stakes3 · 6.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 9/1
15 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Odonnell's Orchard (IRE)J: Anthony Crastus Prix du Pont Au Change (Conditions) (Turf)7f · Good · 7 ran 7th 29/1
12 May 26 Chantilly (FR) Odonnell's Orchard (IRE)J: Anthony Crastus Prix de Montagny (Handicap) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 16 ran 15th 26/1
26 Mar 26 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de la Rue de la Machine (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 11/1
12 Mar 26 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Saturne (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 17/1
20 Feb 26 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix de la Route du Milieu (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 18/1
31 Jan 26 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix du Temple Gallo-Romain (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 14/1
21 Jan 26 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix du Chemin de Chantilly (Handicap) (All Weather)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 34/1
09 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix de la Catene de Containers (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 23/1
03 Dec 25 Deauville (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix de Gold Beach (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 23/1
03 Dec 25 Deauville (FR) Sun Dancer Girl (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix le Polisson (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 11/1
18 Nov 25 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Mme Sophie Chuette Prix de l'Horloge Astronomique (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 19/1
13 Jun 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix de l'Etang du Corra (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good · 11 ran 9th 45/1
30 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix du Donjon de Clermont (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 11/1
13 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix des Meulieres (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 59/10
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix du Bois d'Enfer (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 9/1
09 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix de Lignerolles (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 67/1
24 Oct 24 Deauville (FR) Moonwalker (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix de l'Ecluse Francois I ER (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 78/1
08 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Odonnell's Orchard (IRE)J: Christophe Soumillon Prix Fede des Eleveurs du Galop (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Slow · 11 ran 4th 10/1
11 Jun 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) I Excel (FR)J: Gerald Mosse Prix de Montesson (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 17th 17/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mlle Gaelle Gernay's strike rate?
Mlle Gaelle Gernay has won 4 of 100 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mlle Gaelle Gernay do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 38 runners (5.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mlle Gaelle Gernay's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 100 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).