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Trainer profile

Ms Alice Curran

110 runners in the lifetime window · 10 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 179 days ago 94% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–110
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=110
19 (17%)
Placed
0.72
n=110 · 0.58 incl. margin
−42.50
£1 level stake
n=110 at SP · −38.6%
£84,947
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.72).

Deterministic profile computed from 110 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Soft going (6.8%, n=44). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 32 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.6
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%+13.1
n=6 · A/E 8.88 · £1 +28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−1.7
n=53 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −36.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 3.6% · n=32
On Soft going 6.8% vs 3.6% · n=44
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.7% vs 3.6% · n=35
With claiming riders up 1.9% vs 3.6% · n=53 · A/E 0.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 67 3 4.5% −16.50
Chase 27 1 3.7% −10.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 44 3 6.8% +6.50
Good 29 0 0% −29.00
Heavy 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 11 0 0% −11.00
Gowran Park 10 0 0% −10.00
Thurles 10 2 20% +11.50
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.49 −9.50
4th–6th fav 31 1 3.2% 0.59 −14.00
7th+ in betting 63 2 3.2% 1.41 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83% completed · 94 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 27 77.8% 1 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 67 85.1% 2 1 6 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rock On Bach (IRE)from John E Kiely · then Thomas P Cummins 31 0 4 5 Oct 17
Jacksons Gold (IRE) 30 3 8 27 Dec 24
Glorious Singer (IRE)then Ms M Flynn 14 0 3 12 Mar 23
Padraigs Boy (IRE) 10 0 1 7 Mar 26
Lisrose (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 8 1 1 5 Apr 15
Rilo Tang (IRE) 4 0 1 7 May 26
Flamingos Rock (IRE) 3 0 0 3 Jul 16
Morning Express (IRE) 2 0 0 16 May 26
Golden Pockets (IRE)from Robert Murphy 1 0 0 11 Jan 18
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01480000140090
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian Power 25 3 12% +25.50
Mr A T Feeney 10 0 0% −10.00
Jack G Gilligan 10 0 0% −10.00
A E Lynch 6 0 0% −6.00
Jody McGarvey 6 1 16.7% +11.00
J J Slevin 5 0 0% −5.00
Conor Walsh 4 0 0% −4.00
David Splaine 3 0 0% −3.00
Ambrose McCurtin 3 0 0% −3.00
Emmet McNamara 3 0 0% −3.00
Stephen Gray 3 0 0% −3.00
Adam Short 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
4
Archived wins
£84,947
Prize money
2020
Best season · 2 wins
Lisrose (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Novice Chase Thurles · Feb 2014
£13,110
Jacksons Gold (IRE) — Bar One Racing 'Free Bet New Account Offer' Handicap Hurdle Naas · Mar 2021
£12,390
Jacksons Gold (IRE) — I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Rated Novice Hurdle Thurles · Nov 2020
£9,735

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bach (IRE) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Gold Well (GB) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,217 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Double Eclipse (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.1% of 616 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 229.
Beneficial (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Windsor Castle (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 6.7% of 326 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.9% from 110.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 110 · newest first

The latest 50 of 110 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2014 to 16 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms Alice Curran's strike rate?
Ms Alice Curran has won 4 of 110 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ms Alice Curran's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 110 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).