What is Conor Walsh's strike rate?

Conor Walsh has won 14 of 241 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Conor Walsh's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 241 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Conor Walsh

241 rides in the lifetime window · 133 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2020 91% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

14–241

Wins / Runs

5.8%

Strike rate

n=241

45 (19%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=241 · 0.69 incl. margin

−104.59

£1 level stake

n=241 at SP · −43.4%

£113k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 241 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −67.09 to a £1 stake over 133 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (18.2%, n=33) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (10.8%, n=83). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.48 across 95 rides (3.2% strike, −70.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.3%−0.5

n=133 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −67.09

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.3%+7.5

n=15 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −8.59

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−5.8

n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00

When favourite

14.3%

n=14 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −7.59

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.4%−0.4

n=224 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −107.59

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.6%−0.2

n=142 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −46.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.8

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 18.2% vs 5.8% · n=33

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 10.8% vs 5.8% · n=83

On Good to Soft going 9.7% vs 5.8% · n=31

Over 1m5f – 2m 3.2% vs 5.8% · n=95

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 176 12 6.8% −51.59

Chase 25 0 0% −25.00

Flat 22 1 4.5% −15.00

NH Flat 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 81 4 4.9% −42.00

Heavy 55 3 5.5% −33.09

Good 49 2 4.1% −34.00

Good to Soft 31 3 9.7% −9.50

Good to Firm 19 2 10.5% +20.00

Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Clonmel 20 2 10% −1.00

Navan 19 0 0% −19.00

Limerick 16 1 6.3% −7.00

Fairyhouse 14 0 0% −14.00

Gowran Park 13 0 0% −13.00

Punchestown 11 2 18.2% +4.50

Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00

Tramore 11 1 9.1% −1.00

Down Royal 10 0 0% −10.00

Cork 9 1 11.1% +8.00

Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00

Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00

Naas 6 0 0% −6.00

Kilbeggan 6 1 16.7% +1.00

Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 20 1 5% −18.09

Class 5 11 2 18.2% +2.00

Class 6 6 1 16.7% −1.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 3 16.7% 0.70 −6.59

2nd–3rd fav 23 2 8.7% 0.57 −10.00

4th–6th fav 62 7 11.3% 1.64 +7.00

7th+ in betting 138 2 1.4% 0.50 −95.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.1% completed · 201 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 25 52% 2 4 6 0 0

Hurdle 176 88.6% 5 3 12 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sacre Malta (FR) 21 1 7 5 May 16

War Of The Pennys (IRE) 11 2 3 28 Dec 16

Westerners Son (IRE) 9 1 2 15 Mar 14

Big Generator (GB) 6 1 3 11 May 14

Gortmore Express (IRE) 5 0 0 25 Jul 14

Butchers'boy (IRE) 5 0 0 10 May 13

Tomcoole Lad (IRE) 4 0 0 14 Jan 17

Persian Breeze (GB) 4 0 0 30 Oct 16

Rock On Bach (IRE) 4 0 2 1 Oct 16

Oscar Prairie (IRE) 4 0 1 8 Dec 15

Sullane Chief (IRE) 4 2 3 25 Jan 14

Alizari (IRE) 4 0 1 3 May 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 133 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

60300068105414

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPaul Nolan

18% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 1.25

TrainerRWSR£1

Paul Nolan 44 2 4.5% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

£113k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 5 wins

War Of The Pennys (IRE) — Chia Bia Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Tramore · Aug 2016

£7,995

Sullane Chief (IRE) — Paddy Power Shops - Your Best Bet For National Hunt Action Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Cork · Nov 2013

£7,590

War Of The Pennys (IRE) — Derrygrath Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Clonmel · Sep 2016

£7,380

Notable horses

War Of The Pennys (IRE) Sullane Chief (IRE) Sacre Malta (FR) Westerners Son (IRE) Big Generator (GB) Bobbythegangster (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Discover D'auteuil (FR) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.

Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Presenting (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Westerner (GB) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,837 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Beneficial (GB) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Craigsteel (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 241 · newest first

The latest 50 of 241 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 June 2010 to 27 February 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Feb 20 Clonmel Raveloe (GB)T: P A Fahy Cloneen Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 66/1

06 Feb 20 Thurles Raveloe (GB)T: P A Fahy Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 33/1

15 Nov 17 Fairyhouse Peacocks Secret (IRE)T: Emmet Mullins Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 16th Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 7th 50/1

30 Oct 17 Wexford Chateauneuf Du Pap (GB)T: Anthony Mullins Iris First For Racing Footage In Ireland Rated Novice Hurdle16f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 8/1

11 Sep 17 Listowel Kemboy (IRE)T: Patrick Neville Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 12/1

08 Sep 17 Kilbeggan Peacocks Secret (IRE)T: Emmet Mullins September 8th Celebration Race Meeting (pro/am) Flat Race19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/1

08 Sep 17 Kilbeggan Chateauneuf Du Pap (GB)T: Anthony Mullins Summer Party Pack Discount Group Booking Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 11/8F

07 Sep 17 Clonmel Athdara Steeler (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Giantsgrave Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 18 ran 17th 25/1

23 Jul 17 Tipperary Courtin Bb (IRE)T: Patrick J Duffy Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 4th 9/1

17 Jul 17 Killarney Waittillisee (IRE)T: R Donohoe Thanks For The Memories Colm The Gooch Cooper Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 100/1

06 Jul 17 Tipperary Waittillisee (IRE)T: R Donohoe Buy Online At TipperaryRaces Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 20 ran 12th 100/1

17 Mar 17 Down Royal Nerual (IRE)T: Liz Doyle Daily Mirror Handicap Hurdle (80-109)22f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 7th 9/2

17 Mar 17 Down Royal Backinthesaddle (IRE)T: Benjamin Arthey Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 5th 9/1

02 Mar 17 Clonmel Landofhopendreams (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Carrick-on-suir Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 33/1

18 Feb 17 Gowran Park Asitsohappens (IRE)T: Moses McCabe Live Music After Racing Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 17 ran 11th 14/1

11 Feb 17 Naas Asitsohappens (IRE)T: Moses McCabe Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 22/1

14 Jan 17 Punchestown (IRE) Tomcoole Lad (IRE)T: E Sheehy Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase20f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 14th 33/1

14 Jan 17 Punchestown (IRE) Moonunderwater (IRE)T: R Donohoe sportinglife.com Beginners Chase20f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran PU 100/1

28 Dec 16 Leopardstown War Of The Pennys (IRE)T: Donald Cashman Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier)24f · Yielding · 25 ran 24th 33/1

27 Dec 16 Limerick Sea Scorpion (IRE)T: Liz Doyle Roches Feeds Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 17 ran PU 4/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Conor Walsh's strike rate?: Conor Walsh has won 14 of 241 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Conor Walsh's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 241 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.