What is Stephen Gray's strike rate?

Stephen Gray has won 34 of 1,207 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Stephen Gray do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 61 rides (6.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Stephen Gray ride most for?

G A Kingston, with 107 rides since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).

What is Stephen Gray's Fair A/E?

0.63, from 1,206 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Stephen Gray

1,207 rides in the lifetime window · 635 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2019 97% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

34–1,207

Wins / Runs

2.8%

Strike rate

n=1,207

169 (14%)

Placed

0.63

Fair A/E

n=1,206 · 0.46 incl. margin

−896.09

£1 level stake

n=1,207 at SP · −74.2%

£666k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.63). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (47 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,207 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Jan G A Kingston: 4.7% from 107 LTO winners: 10.6% Claiming: 2.9%

The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (6.6%, n=61) and Cork (6.2%, n=97) — all clear of the rider's 2.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 10.6% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.11). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.30 and −213.00 to a £1 stake over 254 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. G A Kingston supplied 9% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.91). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (6%, n=84). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Arthur Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway (Jul 2009, £150,500). Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.3%−1.5

n=607 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −521.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10.6%+7.8

n=47 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +10.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.2%−1.6

n=254 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −213.00

When favourite

24%

n=25 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −1.59

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

2.9%+0.1

n=1,115 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −826.59

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.8%+0.0

n=848 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −632.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.4%+0.6

n=59 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With T J Nagle Jr 9.5% vs 2.8% · n=95

On last-time-out winners 10.6% vs 2.8% · n=47

At Fairyhouse 6.6% vs 2.8% · n=61

At Cork 6.2% vs 2.8% · n=97

With Patrick J Flynn 6.3% vs 2.8% · n=64

Off a 0-7-day break 6% vs 2.8% · n=84

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 890 20 2.2% −710.42

Chase 280 13 4.6% −155.67

Flat 36 1 2.8% −29.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 405 13 3.2% −299.59

Heavy 330 12 3.6% −213.00

Good 246 7 2.8% −175.00

Good to Firm 107 2 1.9% −89.50

Good to Soft 86 0 0% −86.00

Firm 27 0 0% −27.00

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 97 6 6.2% −29.00

Punchestown 90 2 2.2% −69.50

Limerick 89 0 0% −89.00

Clonmel 80 3 3.8% −57.00

Thurles 78 4 5.1% −50.25

Down Royal 67 1 1.5% −62.67

Downpatrick 66 3 4.5% −44.50

Navan 63 0 0% −63.00

Fairyhouse 61 4 6.6% −28.50

Tramore 52 2 3.8% −38.00

Gowran Park 48 1 2.1% −41.00

Ballinrobe 45 2 4.4% −21.00

Naas 40 1 2.5% −33.00

Kilbeggan 39 0 0% −39.00

Tipperary 34 0 0% −34.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 60 2 3.3% −24.00

Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 35 8 22.9% 1.35 −0.59

2nd–3rd fav 104 11 10.6% 0.92 −31.00

4th–6th fav 196 5 2.6% 0.41 −151.50

7th+ in betting 872 10 1.1% 0.42 −713.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.1% completed · 1,170 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 280 73.6% 22 9 43 0 0

Hurdle 890 86.1% 13 11 89 7 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ros Brin (IRE) 25 3 7 26 Dec 13

Lisclogher Lad (IRE) 18 1 8 1 Apr 17

The Sneezer (IRE) 18 2 8 16 Dec 10

Alickadoo (IRE) 16 4 6 31 Oct 10

Lord Tee (IRE) 16 1 5 28 Oct 09

Bar The Rest (IRE) 13 2 5 14 Apr 10

Robertstown Rover (IRE) 13 1 5 24 Feb 10

High Amenity (IRE) 9 0 4 18 Nov 10

My Matador (IRE) 8 0 0 20 Jun 16

Banana Flambe (IRE) 8 0 1 25 Aug 15

Binocular (GB) 8 1 3 17 Mar 12

Mac Robin (IRE) 8 1 3 1 Oct 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 635 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

624122104255

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardG A Kingston

9% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

G A Kingston 107 5 4.7% −64.50

E J O'Grady 102 2 2% −88.00

T J Nagle Jr 95 9 9.5% −10.75

Patrick J Flynn 64 4 6.3% −31.17

Gerard Keane 61 3 4.9% −22.00

James M Barrett 45 0 0% −45.00

Andrew Slattery 30 1 3.3% −20.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£849k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 13 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bahrain Storm (IRE) — Arthur Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap Galway · Jul 2009 · Grade A

£150,500

Clar Na Mionn (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123) Leopardstown · Dec 2015

£12,765

Alickadoo (IRE) — Bennettsbridge Handicap Chase (0-123) Gowran Park · Oct 2008

£12,093

Notable horses

Alickadoo (IRE) Ros Brin (IRE) The Sneezer (IRE) Bar The Rest (IRE) Robertstown Rover (IRE) Lisclogher Lad (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Brian Boru (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 11% of 4,123 runs since 2008 (285 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Flemensfirth (USA) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Arctic Lord (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 5.5% of 795 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12% from 117. Weakest on Heavy going: 1.4% from 147.

Muhtarram (USA) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 12.3% of 837 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 17.8% from 270. Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 156.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,726 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,726 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 27 December 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Dec 19 Limerick Knockraha Boss (IRE)T: Richard Anthony Foley Convermax Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 8/1

26 Dec 19 Limerick Little Stone (IRE)T: G T Lynch Guinness 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 100/1

16 Dec 19 Naas Royal Recital (IRE)T: Andrew Slattery 2020 Naas Membership Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 24 ran 18th 80/1

08 Dec 19 Cork Rebel Waltz (IRE)T: T J Nagle Jr Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 24 ran 5th 66/1

28 Nov 19 Thurles Dont Say A Thing (IRE)T: Andrew Slattery Holycross Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 17 ran 7th 100/1

21 Nov 19 Thurles Dont Say A Thing (IRE)T: Andrew Slattery Thurles Racecourse Supporters Club Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 66/1

17 Nov 19 Cork Knockraha Boss (IRE)T: Richard Anthony Foley Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 66/1

09 Nov 19 Naas Rocconrockall (IRE)T: E J O'Grady Irish Stallion Owners Ebf Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 9th 66/1

27 Oct 19 Galway Ard Cregg (IRE)T: V T O'Brien Glenman Corporation Handicap Chase (0-102)22.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 33/1

24 Oct 19 Thurles Kilkarney Mai (IRE)T: T Shanahan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran PU 66/1

07 Oct 19 Tipperary The Girl That Sang (IRE)T: E J O'Grady Follow Tipperary Races On Facebook Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 17 ran 11th 40/1

14 Sep 19 Listowel Great Khan (IRE)T: E J O'Grady M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 10th 33/1

07 Sep 19 Wexford Spittal Field (IRE)T: V T O'Brien Garry Flood Landscaping Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Good · 13 ran 13th 50/1

05 Sep 19 Clonmel My Midnight (IRE)T: Andrew Slattery Kilsheelan Mares Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 2/1

27 Aug 19 Ballinrobe Time Won't Wait (IRE)T: D McNamara Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 33/1

23 Aug 19 Killarney Lagenod (IRE)T: Rodger Sweeney Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 17 ran 15th 12/1

03 Aug 19 Galway Scardura (IRE)T: Andrew Slattery O'Leary Insurances Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 18 ran 5th 66/1

31 Jul 19 Galway Allardyce (GB)T: E J O'Grady Tote Proud Sponsor Of The Galway Races Handicap Hurdle (88-123)21f · Good · 20 ran 19th 50/1

15 Jul 19 Downpatrick Downthecellar (IRE)T: E J O'Grady Irish Jockeys In Support Of Downpatrick Racecourse Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 8 ran 4th 12/1

06 Jul 19 Bellewstown Josie Wing (IRE)T: Andrew Slattery Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 16 ran PU 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Gray's strike rate?: Stephen Gray has won 34 of 1,207 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephen Gray do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 61 rides (6.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Stephen Gray ride most for?: G A Kingston, with 107 rides since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).
What is Stephen Gray's Fair A/E?: 0.63, from 1,206 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.