N Perret
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (32 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.
It is weakest at Vichy (FR) (5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.31), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.3% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.74). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −89.40 to a £1 stake over 187 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 11.7pts below the 11.7% baseline). Anthony Crastus rides 18% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.5% vs 11.7%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (19.6%, n=107). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.2% over 77 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Criterium De Lyon at Lyon Parilly (FR) (Sep 2026, £27,450). Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 515 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 515 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2021 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is N Perret's strike rate?
- N Perret has won 60 of 515 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does N Perret do best at?
- Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 17 wins from 112 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for N Perret?
- Anthony Crastus, with 94 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.5%).
- Is N Perret in form?
- In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 11.7% since 2008.
- What is N Perret's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 514 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.