What is Shelley Birkett's strike rate?

Shelley Birkett has won 100 of 1,290 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shelley Birkett do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 17 wins from 143 rides (11.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shelley Birkett ride most for?

Julia Feilden, with 703 rides since 2008 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (8.3%).

What is Shelley Birkett's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,283 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shelley Birkett

1,290 rides in the lifetime window · 435 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

100–1,290

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=1,290

282 (22%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,283 · 0.81 incl. margin

−404.52

£1 level stake

n=1,290 at SP · −31.4%

£801k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (112 rides). Rode mostly for Julia Feilden — 54% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,290 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Jan 29.5% when favourite Julia Feilden: 8.3% from 703 LTO winners: 13.4% Claiming: 8.1% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (11.9%, n=143), clear of the rider's 7.8% baseline. It is weakest at Chelmsford City (AW) (2.4% over 85 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.4% (n=112, Fair A/E 0.87). Julia Feilden supplied 54% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Coral Sprint Trophy at York (Oct 2016, £62,250). The standout partner of the record was Limerick Lord (IRE) — 5 wins from 43 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−2.3

n=435 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −229.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.4%+5.6

n=112 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −52.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.4%−0.4

n=190 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −41.00

When favourite

29.5%

n=61 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −8.77

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.3

n=1,059 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −344.02

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.4%−0.4

n=176 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −25.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

33.3%+25.5

n=3 · A/E 5.11 · £1 +10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 13.6% vs 7.8% · n=235

With debutants 0% vs 7.8% · n=38

With Nigel Tinkler 0% vs 7.8% · n=35

On last-time-out winners 13.4% vs 7.8% · n=112

At Chelmsford City (AW) 2.4% vs 7.8% · n=85

At Lingfield 11.9% vs 7.8% · n=143

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 616 49 8% −190.93

Good to Firm 282 26 9.2% −44.59

Good 176 13 7.4% −61.50

Good to Soft 112 6 5.4% −53.00

Soft 72 3 4.2% −47.00

Firm 22 1 4.5% −19.50

Heavy 10 2 20% +12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Yarmouth 161 18 11.2% −20.84

Lingfield 143 17 11.9% +28.66

Wolverhampton (AW) 136 7 5.1% −87.25

Southwell (AW) 126 15 11.9% −10.59

Kempton (AW) 101 5 5% −47.75

Chelmsford City (AW) 85 2 2.4% −72.00

Brighton 57 3 5.3% −32.00

Nottingham 40 3 7.5% −14.00

Doncaster 35 3 8.6% +4.00

Redcar 29 1 3.4% −18.00

Newcastle (AW) 25 3 12% −2.00

York 25 2 8% −2.00

Newmarket 21 1 4.8% −15.00

Carlisle 20 2 10% +3.50

Thirsk 20 1 5% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 560 43 7.7% −185.02

Class 5 405 27 6.7% −198.00

Class 4 185 13 7% −70.25

Class 2 61 4 6.6% −13.50

Class 3 59 7 11.9% +29.50

Class 7 16 5 31.3% +23.75

Class 1 3 1 33.3% +10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 83 25 30.1% 1.19 −1.27

2nd–3rd fav 216 28 13% 0.87 −57.25

4th–6th fav 445 29 6.5% 0.86 −146.00

7th+ in betting 546 18 3.3% 0.98 −200.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Limerick Lord (IRE) 43 5 15 5 Jan 20

The Ducking Stool (GB) 30 4 11 3 Aug 16

Silver Alliance (GB) 28 4 6 9 Aug 17

Attain (GB) 28 3 9 2 Dec 16

Majestic Moon (IRE) 25 1 10 29 Apr 19

Handheld (GB) 23 3 6 5 Oct 16

Go On Gal (IRE) 22 2 8 29 Dec 18

Candesta (USA) 16 1 5 29 Oct 18

Oud Metha Bridge (IRE) 15 1 8 7 Jan 20

Intisaab (GB) 15 4 9 28 Oct 17

Automotive (GB) 15 2 3 14 Jan 16

Steel Train (FR) 14 2 4 11 Nov 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 435 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

989888686599

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJulia Feilden

54% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.97

TrainerRWSR£1

Julia Feilden 703 58 8.3% −180.51

David O'Meara 164 14 8.5% −1.25

Nigel Tinkler 35 0 0% −35.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

100

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£801k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 27 wins

Intisaab (GB) — Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) York · Oct 2016 · Class 2

£62,250

Noble Protector (GB) — Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered As The Aphrodite Stakes) (Fillies' Listed) Newmarket · Jul 2014 · Listed

£22,684

Steel Train (FR) — Betfred Lotto '100k Cash Giveaway' Apprentice Handicap Doncaster · Nov 2016 · Class 3

£15,563

Notable horses

Limerick Lord (IRE) Sabre Rock (GB) The Ducking Stool (GB) Silver Alliance (GB) Intisaab (GB) Attain (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lord Shanakill (USA) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,619 runs since 2014 (108 horses).

Observatory (USA) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.

Dansili (GB) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Approve (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,687 runs since 2014 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 554.

Where Or When (IRE) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,578 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.1% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.6% from 151.

Born To Sea (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,289 runs since 2016 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 970. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 867. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,290 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,290 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2010 to 12 January 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Jan 20 Southwell (AW) Sea Shack (GB)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 16/1

11 Jan 20 Lingfield (AW) Wilson (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 66/1

11 Jan 20 Lingfield (AW) Windy Cove (GB)T: James Eustace Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 50/1

09 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Big Bang (GB)T: Julia Feilden Bet In Play At totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1

08 Jan 20 Kempton (AW) War Empress (IRE)T: Julia Feilden 32Red.com HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 4th 10/1

07 Jan 20 Southwell (AW) Oud Metha Bridge (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 16/1

05 Jan 20 Southwell (AW) Limerick Lord (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

02 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Big Bang (GB)T: Julia Feilden Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 50/1

14 Dec 19 Newcastle (AW) War Empress (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 11/1

10 Dec 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Big Bang (GB)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier Golden Beer Selling HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 66/1

29 Nov 19 Southwell (AW) Limerick Lord (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 20/1

28 Nov 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Highway Robbery (GB)T: Julia Feilden Havens Hospice HandicapClass 6 · 13.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 14/1

27 Nov 19 Kempton (AW) Oud Metha Bridge (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Join Racing Tv Now HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 10th 16/1

21 Nov 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Big Bang (GB)T: Julia Feilden Christmas Party Nights At CCR Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 66/1

09 Nov 19 Southwell (AW) Limerick Lord (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 8/1

08 Nov 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Miss Green Dream (GB)T: Julia Feilden Bet At Totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 13.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1

05 Nov 19 Kempton (AW) War Empress (IRE)T: Julia Feilden 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 66/1

05 Nov 19 Kempton (AW) Lily Bonnette (GB)T: Julia Feilden Close Brothers Business Finance NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 66/1

30 Oct 19 Nottingham Paintball Wizard (IRE)T: Julia Feilden MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice StakesClass 4 · 14f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 14/1

30 Oct 19 Nottingham Oud Metha Bridge (IRE)T: Julia Feilden MansionBet Proud To Support British Racing HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shelley Birkett's strike rate?: Shelley Birkett has won 100 of 1,290 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shelley Birkett do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 17 wins from 143 rides (11.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shelley Birkett ride most for?: Julia Feilden, with 703 rides since 2008 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (8.3%).
What is Shelley Birkett's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,283 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.