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Trainer profile

T Hogan

126 runners in the last 5 seasons · 20 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
6–126
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=126
26 (21%)
Placed
0.81
n=126 · 0.65 incl. margin
−61.42
£1 level stake
n=126 at SP · −48.7%
£112k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (60 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 126 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.7%
The read

The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (9.8%, n=41) and off a 15-30-day break (9.8%, n=41). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.69 across 67 runners (3% strike, −30.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2014, £207,856). The stable star of the record: Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — 15 wins from 96 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.8
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+1.9
n=60 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −2.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 9.8% vs 4.8% · n=41
Off a 15-30-day break 9.8% vs 4.8% · n=41
On Soft going 7% vs 4.8% · n=43
In Flat races 3% vs 4.8% · n=67 · A/E 0.69
With a new jockey booking 3.1% vs 4.8% · n=65 · A/E 0.82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 67 2 3% −30.75
Hurdle 41 4 9.8% −12.67
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 43 3 7% +8.33
Good 41 2 4.9% −30.00
Good to Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −10.75
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 11 1 9.1% −6.67
Navan 10 2 20% +37.00
Roscommon 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% −6.75
Ballinrobe 8 0 0% −8.00
Sligo 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Thurles 6 0 0% −6.00
Curragh 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Dundalk (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.46 −0.92
4th–6th fav 30 2 6.7% 0.83 −10.50
7th+ in betting 79 1 1.3% 0.52 −45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Share The Treasure (IRE) 28 1 3 7 Oct 26
Cast A Spell (IRE) 24 3 9 2 Feb 25
Hopeful Hero (IRE) 17 2 9 9 Oct 26
White Strand (IRE) 12 0 1 11 Aug 23
Benerville (IRE) 8 0 0 30 Aug 23
Nebo (IRE)from Charles Hills 5 0 0 20 Sep 22
More Tart (IRE) 4 0 0 27 May 22
Suil Curuil (IRE) 3 0 0 16 Aug 25
Aliym (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 3 0 0 4 Jul 22
Moylussa (IRE)then Maike Magnussen 2 0 0 23 Jul 24
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary & Josh Moore (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Maike Magnussen (4); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
170000046013140
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 11 1 9.1% −8.75
Donagh Meyler 11 1 9.1% −6.50
Cian Quirke 9 2 22.2% +8.33
Alan O'Sullivan 9 1 11.1% −2.50
Michael Kenneally 7 0 0% −7.00
Robert Whearty 6 0 0% −6.00
Ben Coen 5 0 0% −5.00
Andrew Slattery 5 0 0% −5.00
Wesley Joyce 5 1 20% +29.00
Jack Cleary 4 0 0% −4.00
Joe Doyle 4 0 0% −4.00
Mark McDonagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
179
Archived wins
21
Pattern / graded wins
£4.12m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 34 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Oct 2014 · Group 2
£207,856
Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — Qatar Prix de la Foret (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2012 · Group 1
£142,850
Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2013 · Group 1
£141,775

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Raven's Pass (USA) 6.7% · 3–45
Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,936 runs since 2008 (453 horses).
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,628 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Alhebayeb (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,632 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.
Aclaim (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10% of 2,528 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 386.
Progeny have won 13% of 509 runs since 2008 (105 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 163.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,601 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,601 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T Hogan's strike rate?
T Hogan has won 6 of 126 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is T Hogan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is T Hogan's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 126 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).