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Trainer profile

R Fradet

187 runners in the lifetime window · 50 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–187
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=187
46 (25%)
Placed
0.73
n=185 · 0.59 incl. margin
−44.90
£1 level stake
n=187 at SP · −24.0%
£371k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.73).

Deterministic profile computed from 187 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (0% over 32 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.39). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (11.8%, n=34). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.6% over 39 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 54 runners (3.7% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix la Camargo at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Mar 2026, £21,870).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%−3.4
n=66 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −41.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.4
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Debutants · first career start
3.7%−2.7
n=27 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −17.80
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12%+5.6
n=25 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +16.20
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
18.8%
n=16 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −4.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−6.4
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.8%+5.4
n=17 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Chantilly (FR) 0% vs 6.4% · n=32
Off a 31-60-day break 11.8% vs 6.4% · n=34
With Mickael Barzalona 11.1% vs 6.4% · n=36
Off a 61-180-day break 2.6% vs 6.4% · n=39
On Standard (AW) going 3.7% vs 6.4% · n=54
On Soft going 8.9% vs 6.4% · n=56
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 56 5 8.9% +26.50
Standard (AW) 54 2 3.7% −43.00
Heavy 32 2 6.3% −10.80
Good to Soft 30 2 6.7% −10.60
Good 15 1 6.7% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 32 0 0% −32.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 28 4 14.3% +0.90
Deauville (AW) 26 1 3.8% −21.00
Longchamp (FR) 23 1 4.3% −15.00
Vichy (FR) 20 1 5% −3.00
Marseille Borely (FR) 16 1 6.3% +18.00
Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Salon-de-Provence (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Toulouse (FR) 6 1 16.7% +13.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 5 2 40% +19.20
Lyon Parilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Dax (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 20 2 10% +12.00
Class 4 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 3 7 2 28.6% +44.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 3 18.8% 0.86 −4.10
2nd–3rd fav 40 3 7.5% 0.52 −21.00
4th–6th fav 58 3 5.2% 0.69 −16.80
7th+ in betting 73 3 4.1% 1.03 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Max Verst (FR) 24 3 10 5 Nov 26
Baklawa (FR) 11 1 2 2 Nov 26
Mokka Latte (FR)from J Boisnard 9 1 2 5 Nov 26
Saint Hellier (FR)from P Cottier · then P Cottier 8 0 0 28 Apr 25
Soupir (GB)from C Laffon-Parias 6 1 3 11 Nov 26
Il Capo (FR) 6 1 1 11 Nov 26
Kristal (FR) 6 0 1 7 Nov 26
Stunning Angel (FR)then Nathalie Sigaud 6 0 0 10 Jun 25
Vaticana (FR)then P Cottier 5 1 3 27 Jun 26
Lights Come On (FR)from P Cottier 5 0 2 26 Oct 24
Investisseur (FR)from J Reynier 5 1 3 2 Jun 24
Le Vicomte (IRE) 4 0 1 7 Nov 26
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from L Rovisse (3) and C Laffon-Parias (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Louis Bernhardt (2) and M Boutin (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 10
Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0401410006057150
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
19% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 0.78
RiderRWSR£1
Mickael Barzalona 36 4 11.1% −16.10
M Grandin 31 2 6.5% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
12
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£371k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 6 wins
Vaticana (FR) — Prix la Camargo () (Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2026 · Listed
£21,870
Baklawa (FR) — Prix de la Californie () (Turf) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2026 · Listed
£21,870
Coupe D'europe (FR) — Prix Du Colonel Maldran Marseille Borely (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 3
£12,949

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stunning Spirit (GB) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 7% of 186 runs since 2024 (29 horses).
Ultra (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 7.5% of 385 runs since 2021 (63 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.5% from 144.
Wooded (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 7.4% of 529 runs since 2024 (116 horses).
Le Havre (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,892 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Al Wukair (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,113 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 213.
Sealiway (FR) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.4% of 121 runs since 2026 (36 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 187 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2023 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Baklawa (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix CeresClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R Fradet's strike rate?
R Fradet has won 12 of 187 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R Fradet do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 0 wins from 32 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is R Fradet in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is R Fradet's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).