No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
17–376
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=376
71 (19%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=372 · 0.74 incl. margin
−218.42
£1 level stake
n=376 at SP · −58.1%
£118k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.4%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (125 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 376 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Aug–SepClaiming riders: 7.2%
The read
The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (9.2%, n=65) and Chepstow (8.8%, n=34) — all clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.8%, n=39). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 39 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Yorkshire Bank Mares' Only Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham (Apr 2007, £13,970). The stable star of the record was Party Palace (GB) — 8 wins from 93 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.4%−3.1
n=69 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −64.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.26 · £1 +3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%+2.7
n=125 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −43.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break12.8% vs 4.5% · n=39
With Giles Hawkins13.3% vs 4.5% · n=30
At Newton Abbot9.2% vs 4.5% · n=65
Over 2m5f – 3m0% vs 4.5% · n=39
With C&D winners8.5% vs 4.5% · n=59
At Chepstow8.8% vs 4.5% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat18073.9%−125.00
Hurdle169105.9%−66.42
NH Flat1700%−17.00
Chase1000%−10.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good11076.4%−23.00
Good to Firm10743.7%−88.75
Standard (AW)5723.5%−41.00
Good to Soft5024%−39.00
Soft2613.8%−21.67
Firm1815.6%+3.00
Heavy800%−8.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot6569.2%−24.92
Bath4512.2%−24.00
Chepstow3438.8%−19.00
Exeter2827.1%−12.50
Kempton (AW)2700%−27.00
Wolverhampton (AW)1815.6%−9.00
Hereford1715.9%+17.00
Salisbury1600%−16.00
Taunton1600%−16.00
Wincanton1616.3%−3.00
Lingfield (AW)1218.3%−5.00
Cheltenham1000%−10.00
Ffos Las10110%−7.00
Newbury700%−7.00
Stratford600%−6.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 412886.3%−69.92
Class 511165.4%−64.50
Class 68511.2%−76.00
Class 34324.7%+1.00
Class 1600%−6.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite8450%2.40+6.75
2nd–3rd fav27414.8%0.99−7.17
4th–6th fav8467.1%0.96−18.00
7th+ in betting25731.2%0.41−200.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f10987.3%−53.42
1m5f – 2m7933.8%−23.00
1m2f – 1m4f6734.5%−53.00
2m5f – 3m3900%−39.00
1m – 1m1f3226.3%−21.00
6f – 7f2800%−28.00
Under 6f1715.9%+4.00
Over 3m500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20087534%−37.00
20097833.8%−57.50
20107234.2%−27.50
20114212.4%−38.50
20122613.8%−21.67
201328517.9%+8.75
20142600%−26.00
20152913.4%−19.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps260145.4%−131.25
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners12554%−58.25
8-10 runners11365.3%−78.67
14-16 runners6723%−33.00
5-7 runners5846.9%−35.50
17+ runners1100%−11.00
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 31 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 26 had their first archived run for this yard.
8 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim Best (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
06456439700·
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
24
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£200k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Silver Charmer (GB) — Yorkshire Bank Mares' Only Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Cheltenham · Apr 2007 · Listed
£13,970
Uig (GB) — Henry Streeter Fillies' Handicap Lingfield · Jul 2005 · Class 3
£9,419
Party Palace (GB) — City Of Exeter Challenge Cup Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Mar 2015 · Class 3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Beckett (IRE)0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 4.6% of 281 runs since 2008 (32 horses).
Bien Bien (USA)4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 12.8% of 180 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Sir Harry Lewis (USA)4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 579 · newest first
The latest 50 of 579 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 20 October 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Stuart Howe's strike rate?
Stuart Howe has won 17 of 376 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stuart Howe do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 6 wins from 65 runners (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Stuart Howe's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 372 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Stuart Howe·SR 4.5%·A/E 0.88
KTB
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