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Trainer profile

Stuart Howe

376 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2015
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
17–376
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=376
71 (19%)
Placed
0.88
n=372 · 0.74 incl. margin
−218.42
£1 level stake
n=376 at SP · −58.1%
£118k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (125 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 376 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Sep Claiming riders: 7.2%
The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (9.2%, n=65) and Chepstow (8.8%, n=34) — all clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.8%, n=39). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 39 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Yorkshire Bank Mares' Only Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham (Apr 2007, £13,970). The stable star of the record was Party Palace (GB) — 8 wins from 93 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.4%−3.1
n=69 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −64.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.26 · £1 +3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%+2.7
n=125 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −43.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 12.8% vs 4.5% · n=39
With Giles Hawkins 13.3% vs 4.5% · n=30
At Newton Abbot 9.2% vs 4.5% · n=65
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 4.5% · n=39
With C&D winners 8.5% vs 4.5% · n=59
At Chepstow 8.8% vs 4.5% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 180 7 3.9% −125.00
Hurdle 169 10 5.9% −66.42
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 110 7 6.4% −23.00
Good to Firm 107 4 3.7% −88.75
Standard (AW) 57 2 3.5% −41.00
Good to Soft 50 2 4% −39.00
Soft 26 1 3.8% −21.67
Firm 18 1 5.6% +3.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 65 6 9.2% −24.92
Bath 45 1 2.2% −24.00
Chepstow 34 3 8.8% −19.00
Exeter 28 2 7.1% −12.50
Kempton (AW) 27 0 0% −27.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 18 1 5.6% −9.00
Hereford 17 1 5.9% +17.00
Salisbury 16 0 0% −16.00
Taunton 16 0 0% −16.00
Wincanton 16 1 6.3% −3.00
Lingfield (AW) 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Cheltenham 10 0 0% −10.00
Ffos Las 10 1 10% −7.00
Newbury 7 0 0% −7.00
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 128 8 6.3% −69.92
Class 5 111 6 5.4% −64.50
Class 6 85 1 1.2% −76.00
Class 3 43 2 4.7% +1.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 4 50% 2.40 +6.75
2nd–3rd fav 27 4 14.8% 0.99 −7.17
4th–6th fav 84 6 7.1% 0.96 −18.00
7th+ in betting 257 3 1.2% 0.41 −200.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Party Palace (GB)from Jamie Osborne 84 8 27 20 Oct 15
Boogie Dancer (GB)then Jim Best 53 3 13 25 Sep 12
Ashkalara (GB) 35 3 11 16 Aug 14
Mangonel (GB)then Jim Best 28 0 1 13 Jul 11
Uig (GB) 24 1 5 12 Nov 09
My Legal Lady (GB) 21 1 7 12 Aug 15
Blushing Maid (GB) 18 1 1 22 Jul 10
Bobsleigh (GB)from Hughie Morrison 12 0 1 30 Aug 08
Kayf Charmer (GB)then Linda Blackford 11 0 0 8 Oct 15
Zaftil (IRE) 11 0 0 6 Oct 11
Stumped (GB)from Andrew Haynes · then Milton Harris 9 0 3 25 Mar 10
Mixed Meaning (IRE) 8 0 0 5 Nov 13
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim Best (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
06456439700·
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKirsty Milczarek
8% of all rides
3.2% SR · A/E 0.61
RiderRWSR£1
Kirsty Milczarek 31 1 3.2% −10.00
Rodi Greene 30 1 3.3% −20.00
Giles Hawkins 30 4 13.3% −2.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
24
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£200k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Silver Charmer (GB) — Yorkshire Bank Mares' Only Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Cheltenham · Apr 2007 · Listed
£13,970
Uig (GB) — Henry Streeter Fillies' Handicap Lingfield · Jul 2005 · Class 3
£9,419
Party Palace (GB) — City Of Exeter Challenge Cup Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Mar 2015 · Class 3
£6,498

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Auction House (USA) 9.5% · 8–84
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,734 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 10% from 100.
Tobougg (IRE) 5.2% · 3–58
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 7.1% · 3–42
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,783 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Beckett (IRE) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 4.6% of 281 runs since 2008 (32 horses).
Bien Bien (USA) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 12.8% of 180 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 579 · newest first

The latest 50 of 579 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 20 October 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 15 Exeter Party Palace (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Ilfracombe Food Service Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 14/1
02 Sep 15 Bath Party Palace (GB)J: Cam Hardie Ultimate Finance Groups Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 13f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 28/1
12 Aug 15 Newton Abbot My Legal Lady (GB)J: Tom Scudamore Paignton Zoo Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 26f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 14/1
18 Jun 15 Ffos Las Party Palace (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Castell Howell Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 14/1
22 May 15 Bath Party Palace (GB)J: Cathy Gannon Dribuild Keynsham Train Station HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 12/1
21 Apr 15 Exeter Party Palace (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Exeter Interactive Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stuart Howe's strike rate?
Stuart Howe has won 17 of 376 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stuart Howe do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 6 wins from 65 runners (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Stuart Howe's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 372 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).