T Civel
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).
It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (2.7% over 220 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.8% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −56.80 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alexis Acker rode 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.80). The record read poorly off a 0-7-day break — 0% over 33 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.37 across 129 runners (1.6% strike, −110.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Gras Savoye Mediterranee/moyen Orient at Auteuil (FR) (May 2011, £135,776). The stable star of the record was Grand Charly (FR) — 6 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 605 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 605 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 2 November 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is T Civel's strike rate?
- T Civel has won 32 of 530 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does T Civel do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 267 runners (7.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for T Civel?
- Alexis Acker, with 102 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (5.9%).
- What is T Civel's Fair A/E?
- 0.70, from 478 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.