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Trainer profile

William P Murphy

486 runners in the lifetime window · 81 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
31–486
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=486
84 (17%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=486 · 0.77 incl. margin
−105.75
£1 level stake
n=486 at SP · −21.8%
£326k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 486 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance B M Cash: 8.9% from 168
The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (13.3%, n=60) and Tramore (13.2%, n=38) — all clear of the yard's 6.4% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2% (n=205, Fair A/E 0.32). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −85.50 to a £1 stake over 141 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. B M Cash rides 35% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.9% vs 6.4%, A/E 1.33) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (11.5%, n=78). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.5% over 79 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Velocity Boy (IRE) — 5 wins from 34 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−2.1
n=141 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −85.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.5%+6.1
n=16 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +11.50
Debutants · first career start
6.5%+0.1
n=62 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +0.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.4%−2.0
n=45 · A/E 0.88 · £1 +7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13.3%+6.9
n=15 · A/E 1.90 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=18 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −9.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2%−4.4
n=205 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −159.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Simon Torrens 15% vs 6.4% · n=40
At Limerick 13.3% vs 6.4% · n=60
At Tramore 13.2% vs 6.4% · n=38
With claiming riders up 2% vs 6.4% · n=205
Off a 31-60-day break 11.5% vs 6.4% · n=78
Off a break of 180+ days 2.5% vs 6.4% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 222 16 7.2% +9.50
Chase 199 14 7% −76.25
NH Flat 47 1 2.1% −21.00
Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 179 15 8.4% +8.00
Heavy 177 11 6.2% −57.50
Good 85 3 3.5% −19.00
Good to Soft 28 1 3.6% −24.00
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% −11.25
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 60 8 13.3% +42.00
Fairyhouse 45 2 4.4% +3.00
Tramore 38 5 13.2% +2.00
Cork 37 1 2.7% −29.00
Punchestown 36 3 8.3% −22.75
Navan 32 1 3.1% −25.50
Thurles 28 0 0% −28.00
Downpatrick 28 2 7.1% −13.00
Clonmel 25 0 0% −25.00
Down Royal 20 2 10% +42.00
Naas 19 0 0% −19.00
Tipperary 16 3 18.8% +26.00
Sligo 14 2 14.3% +19.50
Gowran Park 13 0 0% −13.00
Wexford 11 1 9.1% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 3 13.6% 0.69 −9.50
2nd–3rd fav 80 15 18.8% 1.42 +5.75
4th–6th fav 142 7 4.9% 0.76 −65.00
7th+ in betting 242 6 2.5% 0.86 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.3% completed · 421 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 199 70.9% 11 6 38 3 0
Hurdle 222 88.7% 4 1 19 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sacre Malta (FR)from James M Barrett · then Dominic Ffrench Davis 35 2 8 20 Jan 16
Velocity Boy (IRE) 34 5 12 3 Apr 21
Clonmeen (IRE) 28 3 6 2 May 26
Wild Salmon (IRE) 23 0 2 1 May 14
Burnt Oil Babe (IRE) 20 3 8 22 Oct 11
Robbie Kaydee (IRE) 19 0 4 28 Dec 13
Twice The Craic (IRE) 16 2 5 1 Feb 12
Vinnie (IRE) 13 3 4 16 Feb 12
Barton Snow (IRE)then J J O'Shea 12 0 2 28 Aug 24
Johnny Sue (IRE) 12 0 2 28 Jan 20
Madame Mado (FR)from Nicky Henderson 12 2 4 16 Dec 12
Revolut Ned (IRE) 11 0 2 14 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 81 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nicky Henderson (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Peter Bowen (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
546410001089312
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderB M Cash
35% of all rides
8.9% SR · A/E 1.33
RiderRWSR£1
B M Cash 168 15 8.9% −29.50
Simon Torrens 40 6 15% +126.00
Mr P A King 30 2 6.7% +0.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
34
Archived wins
£349k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Clonmeen (IRE) — Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Apr 2026
£15,314
Velocity Boy (IRE) — Book Online At www.limerickraces.ie Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Apr 2016
£14,760
Burnt Oil Babe (IRE) — www.punchestown.com For Better Value Handicap Chase (0-130) Punchestown · Oct 2011
£10,005
Notable horses
Velocity Boy (IRE) Clonmeen (IRE) Burnt Oil Babe (IRE) Vinnie (IRE) Sacre Malta (FR) Twice The Craic (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Alkaadhem (GB) 1.8% · 1–55
Progeny have won 10% of 789 runs since 2010 (75 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.7% from 307. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 160.
Tiraaz (USA) 11.6% · 5–43
Progeny have won 17.3% of 300 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Discover D'auteuil (FR) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.
Westerner (GB) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,851 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Stowaway (GB) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Kotashaan (FR) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 7.8% of 232 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 506 · newest first

The latest 50 of 506 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 July 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Leading Rose (IRE)J: Niall Moore Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 5 ran 5th 66/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr A P Kennedy Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Leading Rose (IRE)J: Niall Moore Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 10th 16/1
08 Jun 26 Roscommon Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr P A King Roscommon (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 7th 6/1
30 May 26 Tramore Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr P A King Tramore Handicap Chase (0-100)22f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/2
02 May 26 Punchestown Clonmeen (IRE)J: Daniel King Palmerstown House Estate Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed)24.5f · Yielding · 21 ran PU 66/1
28 Apr 26 Punchestown Grange Soldier (IRE)J: Mr P A King Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 33/1
06 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Clonmeen (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase24.5f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 1st 40/1
21 Feb 26 Fairyhouse Clonmeen (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Get Your Easter Festival Tickets Now Handicap Chase24f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 28/1
04 Feb 26 Punchestown Grange Soldier (IRE)J: Mr P A King ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk P.P. Hogan Memorial Cross Country Chase25f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 9th 125/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr P W Gleeson Grant Thornton Maiden Hunters Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 12th 33/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Pour Me A Double (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Grant Thornton Maiden Hunters Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 6th 80/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Clonmeen (IRE)J: Niall Moore Tim & Martin Molony Veterans Handicap Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 9th 20/1
14 Dec 25 Navan Clonmeen (IRE)J: Niall Moore Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Chase24f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 6th 33/1
13 Dec 25 Fairyhouse Elsa Bay (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Fairyhouse Christmas Party Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft · 11 ran PU 125/1
30 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Clonmeen (IRE)J: Niall Moore BAR 1 Betting Porterstown Handicap Chase (Listed)30f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 33/1
21 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Grange Soldier (IRE)J: Mr P A King INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Hunters Chase24f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 50/1
21 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Elsa Bay (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 80/1
01 Nov 25 Down Royal Clonmeen (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Racing TV Handicap Chase24f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 31 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is William P Murphy's strike rate?
William P Murphy has won 31 of 486 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William P Murphy do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 8 wins from 60 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for William P Murphy?
B M Cash, with 168 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (8.9%).
Is William P Murphy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William P Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 486 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).