1:35 Leopardstown
The 1:35 at Leopardstown is the Ballylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes, a Listed contest for two-year-olds over seven furlongs on good ground. An field of eleven runners assembles for what the KTB numbers suggest will be a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being well placed should count. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Ibelieveicanfly on 58, with four others between 51 and 53, underlining the competitive nature of this Class 1 event.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical race in which being handy is likely to pay. Most of the principals are held-up types who produce their effort late, though Maire Rua is the notable prominent runner from a wide draw. The key question is whether the race will develop enough pace for the closers to land their late challenges or whether the prominent runners can steal an advantage in a slowly-run affair.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Ibelieveicanfly KTB Selection58/100
Ibelieveicanfly is the KTB selection. A twice-raced winner with solid placed efforts, this two-year-old brings the highest KTB Fit score of 58 and has the benefit of the inside draw. Trained by A P O'Brien, who has a 20% strike rate at Leopardstown, the colt is ridden by Ryan Moore, who boasts a 33% strike rate at the track. Usually held up and producing its effort late, the horse is competitive on good ground having been placed once from two starts, though it has yet to win or place in one previous run here. The market read positions it with SP in a field of 11.
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2Apollo's Comet53/100
Apollo's Comet arrives with a KTB Fit of 53. This two-year-old has shown useful form, including a win, and is well suited by good ground having scored once and placed on both starts. Trained by Mrs John Harrington, who operates at a 10% strike rate at Leopardstown, the colt is partnered by Shane Foley with an 11% strike rate at the track. Usually held up and producing its effort late, it has already won here from one run at the course. The market read positions it with SP in a field of 11.
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3Bellesque52/100
Bellesque carries a KTB Fit of 52. A winner here from two starts at Leopardstown, this two-year-old has shown ability on good ground with one win and two places from four starts. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien, who has a 13% strike rate at the track, the filly is ridden by Declan McDonogh who has a 9% strike rate here. Usually held up and producing its effort late, its course-and-distance record is a positive. The market read positions it with SP in a field of 11.
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4Maeda Matsu51/100
Maeda Matsu is rated 51 on KTB Fit. Lightly raced with a win and a second from two starts, this two-year-old has performed well on good ground with one win and two places. Trained by Ms Sheila Lavery, who has a 7% strike rate at Leopardstown, the colt is ridden by Rory Cleary with a 6% strike rate at the track. Usually held up and producing its effort late, it has no course form on record. The market read positions it with SP in a field of 11.
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5Maire Rua51/100
Maire Rua also scores 51 on KTB Fit. A winner here from one start at Leopardstown, this two-year-old has shown strong form on good ground with one win and two places from two starts. Trained by G M Lyons, who has an 11% strike rate at the track, the filly is ridden by Colin Keane with a 14% strike rate here. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, it is the most prominent of the principals. The market read positions it with SP in a field of 11.
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6Blonde Over Blue50/100
Blonde Over Blue has a KTB Fit of 50. A winner here from two starts at Leopardstown, this two-year-old has two runs on good without a win or place. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien with a 13% strike rate at the track, it is ridden by J M Sheridan who has a 7% strike rate here. Usually held up and producing its effort late.
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7Snowing47/100
Snowing has a KTB Fit of 47. This two-year-old is competitive on good ground having been placed once from two starts but has no course form on record. Trained by A P O'Brien with a 20% strike rate at Leopardstown, it is ridden by Pierre-Charles Boudot who has no record at the track. Usually held up though with limited evidence.
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8Timeless Tale46/100
Timeless Tale has a KTB Fit of 46. A winner on its only start on good ground, this two-year-old has no course form on record. Trained by W McCreery with a 7% strike rate at Leopardstown, it is ridden by W J Lee who has an 8% strike rate here. Usually held up though with limited evidence.
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9Lady Patrona45/100
Lady Patrona has a KTB Fit of 45. Competitive on good ground having been placed twice from four starts, this two-year-old has no course form on record. Trained by Mrs John Harrington with a 10% strike rate at Leopardstown, it is ridden by Keithen Kennedy who has a 12% strike rate here. Usually held up and producing its effort late.
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10Miss Cashman Hooke42/100
Miss Cashman Hooke has a KTB Fit of 42. This two-year-old has one run on good without a win or place and has no course form on record. Trained by Miss Natalia Lupini with a 3% strike rate at Leopardstown, it is ridden by Ben Coen who has a 7% strike rate here. Typically settles in midfield though with limited evidence.
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11Shi Yang41/100
Shi Yang has a KTB Fit of 41. This two-year-old has three runs on good without a win or place and has no course form on record. Trained by Robson De Aguiar with a 0% strike rate at Leopardstown, it is ridden by David Egan who has a 13% strike rate here. Usually held up though with limited evidence.
KTB verdict
Ibelieveicanfly emerges as the KTB Selection with the highest Fit score and the benefit of the inside draw in a race that looks tactical. The colt brings solid recent form, the powerful combination of Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore at a track where both have strong records, and the ability to come from off the pace in what is likely to be a steadily-run contest. The main dangers are Apollo's Comet, who has already won here and handles the ground, Bellesque with its course win, and the prominent Maire Rua who could take advantage if the pace stays modest.
KTB Selection Ibelieveicanfly
This is the narrative read of the 1:35 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leopardstown results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course-and-distance experience among the principals?
Bellesque has won here from two starts at Leopardstown.
Who is the most prominent runner among the top five on KTB Fit?
Maire Rua usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Leopardstown among those represented in the top five?
A P O'Brien has a 20% strike rate at Leopardstown.
How many of the principals are usually held up?
Four of the top five principals are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which horse has the best recent course record at Leopardstown among the principals?
Apollo's Comet and Maire Rua have both won here from one run at the course.
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